Alabama has won 11 games or more every year since 2010 under the leadership of Nick Saban. The only other time they were below 11 was in Saban’s first year, way back in 2007. Why is this important? Because Las Vegas has posted Alabama’s Over/Under for wins at 10.5, and charges just a modest (-120) price if you bet the Over.

It isn’t that the market is down on Alabama—to the contrary, they’re a 4-1 favorite to win the national championship in Atlanta this coming January. No other team has an Over/Under higher and Ohio State is the only…