One of the trickiest challenges for oddsmakers is figuring out how to price the fourth game of an NBA playoff series.

Everyone knows that the market is going to respect the home team in Game Three, particularly if that squad is down 2-0. Sharps that emphasize historical trends know this is often a peak outing for the host. Recreational bettors like taking teams in a must-win situation as long as they can walk and chew gum (squares will avoid home dogs in a 1-8 type matchup, but they like taking “cheap favorites” who should be fired up).

That Game Three phenomenon is…