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Submitted by Jim Hurley on Saturday, September 8, 2012 at 12:09 PM

It’s been awhile since college football fans could really be excited about any late night Pac 12 telecasts from Arizona and Arizona State. But, both of those teams have new head coaches, new attitudes, and TV showcase opportunities Saturday Night that could allow each to make a statement.

*Arizona and new head coach Rich Rodriguez host #18 Oklahoma State at 10:30 p.m. ET in a game that will be televised by the new Pac 12 Network. Arizona struggled to win their opener last week vs. feisty MAC contender Toledo. If you didn’t see the game or the boxscore, you may not be aware that Arizona actually dominated the stats! Arizona won total yardage 624-358 while passing for almost 400 yards. It was a nailbiter because of Arizona turnovers. You have to figure that miscues will become more rare as the players grasp the new system. It’s a great sign for the team that they gained over 600 yards in a debut spot. Vegas has installed potent Oklahoma State as a favorite of -10.5 off their blowout win of lowly Savannah State. You know Rodriguez would love to step up and upset a ranked team as a double digit dog. That would really ignite the Wildcats program.

*Arizona State and new head coach Todd Graham host Illinois from the Big Ten at 10:30 p.m. ET in a game that ESPN has picked up for national broadcast. Arizona State crushed Northern Arizona last week in a tune-up. Illinois posted a good result over Western Michigan, winning 24-7 as 10-point favorites. But starting quarterback Nathan Scheelhause was hurt in that game and may not be able to go at full speed (or play much at all) tonight in the desert. ASU opened as a 2-point favorite, but is now laying in the 4-4.5 range because of the news on Scheelhause.

Coach Rodriguez and Coach Graham are far from clones. But, they are similar in terms of their aggressiveness on offense.

*Both like to attack from the get-go rather than pounding away

*Both are trying to create big plays every time the ball is snapped

*Both like to put points on the board in flurries to discourage opponents

*Both will run up the score if they get a chance to

*Both have made names for themselves by bullying lesser conferences

 

And, as a result of those tendencies, they have similar negatives.

*Both tend to run offenses that get turnover prone vs. quality

*Both tend to let their QB’s get hit too often by aggressive defenses

*Both have had issues building defenses they can trust

*Both tend to wear down their own defenses by playing shootouts

*Both have burned bridges with career coaching moves

Rodriguez was “the next big thing” when he was at West Virginia in the eyes of many. Michigan hired him, and found out right away that he wasn’t ready for the big time. Winning in the Big East is one thing. Winning in the Big 10 is tougher, particularly if you’re trying to compete for the title by asking your QB to do everything.

Graham followed a similar path on a slightly delayed basis. He became a hotshot coaching prospect at Tulsa, running up the score against weak CUSA defenses. Pittsburgh hired him hoping to rejuvenate their boring program. Graham fled after a year because he couldn’t recruit to his style (among a few other reasons). He didn’t temporarily destroy his own reputation the way Rodriguez did at Michigan. But, he didn’t do himself any favors leaving so quickly after talking a big game. He may be in the process of destroying his own reputation!

That’s what makes this year in the desert, and tonight’s TV action so fascinating. We have dramas playing out at both Arizona schools that could end up with both returning to importance in a Pac 12 that’s trying to regain its star status in the sport…or that could end up with more failures for head coaches who aren’t currently threats to have anybody build statues of them.

 

As you check out the action, keep an eye on:

*Each offense’s ability to protect its quarterback

*Each quarterback’s ability to make smart choices amongst his options

*Each team’s ability to move the chains when needed (AZ struggled at 33% last week)

*Each defense’s ability to hang tough and get opponents off the field

*Each team’s maturity if these games are still up in the air in the fourth quarter

You’ve probably already made your game day selections and purchases from our VSM experts by the time you read this. What you learn tonight will help you make picks next week and through the rest of the season as the Arizona schools work to become big stories in the Pac 12 South alongside Utah and UCLA chasing down USC at the top.

Be sure you visit the VSM home page every day for big play announcements. Additional information is available on the “Buy Picks” page, including details on full season packages for all of our industry legends. Many of our VSM handicappers have already posted Sunday’s NFL for you. Take care of business NOW so the lines don’t move against you Sunday morning!

At VegasSportsMasters, hot handicappers are always waiting to hear from you!

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