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Submitted by Jim Hurley on Thursday, January 16, 2020 at 12:00 AM

 

 

NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME –

IT’S PACKERS-49ERS IN

BATTLE BY THE BAY FOR SB 54 BERTH …

PLUS, THERE’S MORE COLLEGE HOOP CHATTER

 

Can you say, “Play it Again, Sam”?

The Green Bay Packers and the San Francisco 49ers are gearing up to buck heads for an eighth time in NFL Playoff history – and note all of ‘em since the 1996 season – and this time it’s a long-awaited Super Bowl berth that’s on the line.

News flash: The Packers have not been in a Super Bowl since the 2010 season (see Green Bay 31, Pittsburgh 25) and the 49ers have not been to a Super Bowl since the 2012 campaign (see Baltimore 34, San Fran 31) … so, the moment of truth has arrived in Santa Clara where already in the 2019 regular season the host 49ers slammed the Packers 37-8.

Let’s see if the Niners “play it again” … or will local-boy-made-good Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers get some sweet revenge?

The Las Vegas oddsmakers have ping-ponged this price tag between 7 and 7.5 points all week long … hmmm.

  

Now hear this …

Jim Hurley’s Network of Handicappers and Bloggers will continue to pile up the profits this Sunday with the AFC and NFC Championship games from Kansas City and San Francisco – go ahead and get the Sides & Totals winners when you call us on game day at the toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 or go online right here. And remember to cash in big with NBA and NCAA basketball plays each and every day of the week!

 

On Sunday, it’s …

NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME –

GREEN BAY (14-3) at SAN FRANCISCO (14-3) – 6:40 p.m. ET, Fox

Let’s examine some of the facts here while heading into this title tilt out West:

The 49ers have the extra day of rest – they beat Minnesota at home last Saturday 27-10 in NFC Divisional Playoff action; Green Bay won at home last Sunday against Seattle 28-23 in the other NFC Divisional Playoff game – and SF didn’t have to travel while the Pack made the 2,228.4-mile trip to San Francisco.

Advantage: 49ers.

On the flip side, Packers’ QB Rodgers has all the experience in the world when it comes to post-season games – heck, this will be his 17th post-season game since the start of that brilliant 2010 run while San Francisco QB Jimmy Garappolo will be making his second post-season start.

Advantage: Green Bay

Consider that the visiting Packers are a middle-of-the-pack offense this year (15th in the NFL in rushing, 19th in passing) and have not shown many explosive signs while the 49ers rank second in the league in total defense and second in pass defense – plus there’s a sense that Garappolo and Company “get it” when it comes to head coach Kyle Shanahan’s offense and you get some sense of why San Fran’s a TD-or-more betting favorite here.

 

X-Factor – Simply put, can Green Bay DC Mike Pettine “take away” the 49ers’ three-headed running back corps of Tevin Coleman, Raheem Mostert and Matt Breida (a combined 42 carries for 180 yards in last week’s win /cover against Minnesota) and thus force QB Garappolo to beat ‘em? Remember last weekend Garappolo threw the ball just 19 times (131 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT) and didn’t throw a single pass on one long touchdown drive.

 

Spread Notes – San Francisco is 11-6 ATS (against the spread) overall this year and that includes a 5-4 ATS mark at home and a 6-6 spread split as betting favorites. The 49ers enter this NFC Divisional Playoff Game on a spiffy 6-2 spread run since mid-November and note that San Fran is 8-3 against the odds when playing a non-NFC West foe this season and that – of course – includes the 37-8 beatdown of the 3-point road underdog Packers back on November 24th. Meanwhile, Green Bay is 10-6-1 ATS this year including last weekend’s 28-23 win / pointspread push against 5-point pup Seattle in that NFC Divisional Playoff game. The Packers are 5-3 versus the vig away and they’ve covered three of their four games when placed in the underdog role and that includes outright wins in Chicago, Dallas and Minnesota. Overall, Green Bay is a mucho profitable 10-4-2 against the Las Vegas prices in all post-season games this past decade (that’s a riveting .714 winning rate).      

 

Here’s the game-by-game results for the Green Bay Packers and then the San Francisco 49ers:

 

GREEN BAY PACKERS

WEEK #          OPP                        SPREAD          RESULT

1                      at Chicago             + 3                   W 10-3

2                      MINNESOTA         - 3                   W 21-16

3                      DENVER                 - 7                   W 27-16

4                      PHILADELPHIA     - 3.5                L 27-34

5                      at Dallas                + 3                   W 34-24

6                      DETROIT                - 3.5                L 23-22

7                      OAKLAND              - 5.5                W 42-24

8                      at Kansas City       - 5                   W 31-24

9                      at LA Chargers      - 4.5                L 11-26

10                   CAROLINA             - 5                   W 24-16

11                    Bye

12                   at San Francisco   + 3                   L 8-37

13                   at NY Giants          - 6.5                W 31-13

14                   WASHINGTON      - 13                 L 20-15

15                   CHICAGO               - 4.5                W 21-13

16                   at Minnesota        + 4.5               W 23-10

17                   at Detroit               - 13.5              L 23-20

DIV                  SEATTLE                 - 5                   T 28-23

NFC                 at San Francisco                          

 

DIV = Divisional Playoff

NFC = NFC Championship Game

 

 

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

WEEK #          OPP                        SPREAD          RESULT

1                      at Tampa Bay        + 1                   W 31-17

2                      at Cincinnati          PK                   W 41-17

3                      PITTSBURGH         - 6                   L 24-20

4                      Bye

5                      CLEVELAND           - 5                   W 31-3

6                      at LA Rams            + 3                   W 20-7

7                      at Washington     - 10                 L 9-0

8                      CAROLINA             - 4                   W 51-13

9                      at Arizona              - 10                 L 28-25

10                   SEATTLE                 - 6.5   (ot)       L 24-27

11                   ARIZONA               - 9.5                W 36-26

12                   GREEN BAY           - 3                   W 37-8

13                   at Baltimore          + 5.5               W 17-20

14                   at New Orleans    + 1.5               W 48-46

15                   ATLANTA               - 10                 L 22-29

16                   LA RAMS                - 7                   L 34-31

17                   at Seattle               - 3.5                W 26-21

DIV                  MINNESOTA         - 7                   W 27-10

NFC                 GREEN BAY

 

DIV = Divisional Playoff

NFC = NFC Championship Game

 

 

COLLEGE HOOP NEWS & NOTES

Hey, there’s really somethin’ brewing in the great state of New Jersey:

The Seton Hall Pirates (13-4, 5-0 Big East) and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights (13-4, 4-2 Big 10) are hot-hot-hot these days.

On Wednesday night, The Hall (13-4 ATS this season) popped 4.5-point home fav Butler 78-70 as do-everything G Myles Powell poured in 29 points and so now Kevin Willard’s team – ranked #18 in this week’s Associated Press Top 25 poll – roar into Saturday’s game at Madison Square Garden against St. John’s riding a seven-game winning streak while Rutgers – fresh off its 59-50 home win / cover against 3.5-point dog Indiana – moved to 11-5 vig-wise on the year and remember the Scarlet Knights have not enjoyed a winning season since 2005-06.

 

                                       

Note: There’s more NFL Championship Game Sunday goodies coming in the next Jim Sez.

 

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