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Submitted by Jim Hurley on Wednesday, January 15, 2020 at 12:00 AM

 

 

AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME –

IT’S TITANS-CHIEFS IN BATTLE ROYAL

AT DECIBEL-ROCKIN’ ARROWHEAD ON SUNDAY …

PLUS, MORE COLLEGE B-BALL SPREAD STATS

 

It’s true, it’s true.

Gotta go all the way back to the 2010 NFL season to find the last time the New England Patriots weren’t a part of the AFC Championship Game and so this sure feels strange without ‘em, eh?

What really will feel strange — let’s face it – is if the touchdown-underdog Tennessee Titans, a 45-to-1 choice to win it all this year at the very start of this season, bang their way to a third consecutive road playoff win as we haven’t seen that happen since (there we go again) the 2010 campaign (see the Green Bay Packers).

The Titans will be forced to battle a Kansas City Chiefs’ team that has scored 30+ points on eight different occasions – and may we remind you that KayCee is 5-2-1ATS (against the spread) whenever scoring 30-or-more points this year – plus a raucous Arrowhead Stadium crowd that gets kudos for last week when “Chiefs Nation” never gave up on the home team despite getting into that huge 24-0 hole against Houston.

In other words, the Titans here have to get another stat-crazy ground game from RB Derrick Henry, somehow contain Chiefs’ QB Patrick Mahomes and deal with this KC crowd … hmm, so why is Tennessee “only” a 7-point underdog here in this AFC Championship Game? Good question!

 

Now hear this …

Jim Hurley’s Network of Handicappers and Bloggers will continue to pile up the profits this Sunday with the AFC and NFC Championship games from Kansas City and San Francisco – get the Sides & Totals winners when you call us on game day at the toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 or go online right here. And remember to cash in big with NBA and NCAA basketball plays each and every day of the week!

 

On Sunday, it’s …

AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME –

TENNESSEE (11-7) at KANSAS CITY (13-4) – 3:05 p.m. ET, CBS

It’s been 50 long years since the Kansas City Chiefs won their one-and-only Super Bowl crown:

Come Sunday, it’ll be nearly one year to the day (see January 19, 2019) that KC had its last shot at making it to the “promised land”.

Okay, so the Chiefs fell short 37-31 in overtime against those above-mentioned NE Patriots who won the overtime coin flip and proceeded to march their way to a 13-play, 75-yard touchdown drive capped by a RB Rex Burkhead two-yard score … remember Kansas City?

Now, the Chiefs want / need to get over the AFC Championship Game hump here and – to do so – the first order of business is not to get behind multiple scores as was the case last week against the oft-clueless Houston Texans. Folks, just the first score alone here is key ‘cause Henry (195 yards rushing against Baltimore last weekend in that stunning 28-12 AFC Divisional Playoff road win) can chew up yards / clock like nobody else and it’s uber-imperative here for the Chiefs to force Tennessee QB Ryan Tannehill to throw the ball here – can Tannehill deliver the goods on a batch of third-and-long plays?

On the flip side, the Chiefs dropped way too many of QB Mahomes passes last week in that stirring 51-31 comeback win / cover and yet the 2018 league MVP still threw for 321 yards and 5 TDs. Now, if Mahomes can get WRs Tyreek Hill and Mecole Hardman to “leak out” for some deep throws here, it could be the Titans playing catch-up for most of the day.

 

X-Factor – If Titans’ P Brett Kern can pin KC inside its 10- or 5-yard lines here with a few of his punts, then the Chiefs high-precision offense will have to succeed in “digging out” from some poor field position or else it’ll be Tennessee looking to score on the “short field”.

 

Spread Notes – Kansas City is 11-5-1 ATS overall this season /post-season and that includes a snazzy 9-4-1 against-the-odds record when in the favorite’s role and a 5-3-1 ATS mark when playing at home. The Chiefs – who are just 3-5 spreadwise in playoff games under Reid – have failed to cover their last three in a row against the Titans including that 22-21 loss in an AFC Wild Card Round game two years ago. P.S., KayCee zooms into play here with a 6-0-1 ATS run since Nov.18th. On the flip side, Tennessee is 10-7-1 versus the vig overall this year and note the Titans are an electric 7-2 against the odds since Nov. 10th. This AFC South squad is 5-3 ATS whenever in the underdog role and the Titans are a collective 7-3 spreadwise away including the back-to-back playoff outright wins in New England and in Baltimore. Dig a bit deeper and you’ll see HC Vrabel’s team is 7-4-1 ATS when playing outside its division this year.

   

Editor’s Note – Catch our NFC Championship Game preview in the next edition of Jim Sez.

 

Here’s the game-by-game results for the Tennessee Titans and then the Kansas City Chiefs:

 

TENNESSEE TITANS

WEEK #          OPP                        SPREAD          RESULT

1                      at Cleveland          + 5.5               W 43-13

2                      INDIANAPOLIS      - 3                   L 17-19

3                      at Jacksonville      - 1.5                L 7-20

4                      at Atlanta              + 3                   W 24-10

5                      BUFFALO               - 3                   L 7-14

6                      at Denver              + 1                   L 0-16

7                      LA CHARGERS       - 3                   T 23-20

8                      TAMPA BAY           - 1.5                W 27-23

9                      at Carolina             + 3.5               L 20-30

10                   KANSAS CITY         + 5.5               W 35-32

11                   Bye

12                   JACKSONVILLE      - 4.5                W 42-20

13                   at Indianapolis     - 1                   W 31-17

14                   at Oakland            - 3                   W 42-21

15                   HOUSTON             - 3                   L 21-24

16                   NEW ORLEANS     + 3                   L 28-38

17                   at Houston            - 10                 W 35-14

WC                  at New England    + 5                   W 20-13

DIV                  at Baltimore          + 10                W 28-12

AFC                 at Kansas City

 

WC = Wild Card

DIV = Divisional Playoffs

AFC = AFC Championship Game

 

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

WEEK #          OPP                        SPREAD          RESULT

1                      at Jacksonville      - 3.5                W 40-26

2                      at Oakland            - 6.5                W 28-10

3                      BALTIMORE          - 4.5                W 33-28

4                      at Detroit               - 7.5                L 34-30

5                      INDIANAPOLIS      - 10.5              L 13-19

6                      HOUSTON             - 3.5                L 24-31

7                      at Denver              - 3                   W 30-6

8                      GREEN BAY           + 5                   L 24-31

9                      MINNESOTA         + 5.5               W 26-23

10                   at Tennessee        - 5.5                L 32-35

11   ^              vs. LA Chargers     - 6                   W 24-17

12                   Bye

13                   OAKLAND              - 11                 W 40-9

14                   at New England    + 3                   W 23-16

15                   DENVER                 - 9.5                W 23-3

16                   at Chicago             - 7                   W 26-3

17                   LA CHARGERS       - 10                 T 31-21

DIV                  HOUSTON             - 10                 W 51-31

AFC                 TENNESSEE                                                                   

 

^ = at Mexico City

DIV = Divisional Playoffs

AFC = AFC Championship Game

 

COLLEGE B-BALL SPREAD STATS

Let’s now get you the best spread teams from N-thru-Z …

 

Northern Iowa is 10-4

North Texas is 11-4

Oregon State is 11-5

Rutgers is 10-5

San Diego State is 12-4

Seton Hall is 12-4

Stanford is 12-4

Yale is 11-2

 

                                               

Note: More Championship Game Sunday goodies coming in the next Jim Sez.

 

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