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Submitted by Jim Hurley on Wednesday, November 13, 2019 at 12:00 AM











Gotta admit that we don’t often “buy into” these odds to make the playoffs on a week-to-week basis but we just saw a stat that said the 5-and-4 Pittsburgh Steelers now sport a 67.5 percent chance of making it to the post-season.

Hey, can someone tell us what those playoff odds were for the Steelers following that dreadful 0-and-3 SU (straight-up) start? Egads!

The bottom line is the Steelers roll into Cleveland for the NFL Week 11 Thursday Night Football tilt riding a four-game SU winning streak and let’s be reminded that Mike Tomlin’s team is a heady 5-1-1 ATS (against the spread) since Sept. 22nd. So there!


PITTSBURGH (5-4) at CLEVELAND (3-6) – 8:20 p.m. ET, Fox and NFL Network

Better believe these next-door neighbors will be getting to know one another quite well the next few weeks – they’ll play again at Heinz Field on Dec. 1st in Week 13 action – but first things first as the 3-point underdog Steelers (ranked 27th rushing / 29th passing / 28th overall on offense) rely on “game manager” QB Mason Rudolph and a born-again defense starring DB Mitzah Fitzpatrick who seemingly scores a touchdown every week.

The Browns, meanwhile, rank a lowly 27th in rush defense (allowing 135 ground yards per game) and so the possible return to action of Pittsburgh RB James Conner is big news here. Cleveland’s 0-3-1 vig-wise in its home games this year but last weekend’s 19-16 win / push against Buffalo may give Freddie Kitchens’ crew a little jolt after QB Baker Mayfield aired the go-ahead TD strike from seven yards out with only 1:44 left.

Any life here, Brownies?

Spread Notes – Pittsburgh’s 5-3-1 ATS (against the spread) overall this year but did you know the Steelers are an electric 9-1-1 vig-wise as underdogs since the start of the 2017 campaign? Cleveland enters this prime-time tussle at just 2-6-1 against the odds overall and the Brownies are just 7-16 ATS versus fellow AFC North foes the past four-plus seasons.



Okay, so we have not updated our NFL Pointspread Standings in more than a month, so here goes with a team-by-team account while heading into NFL Week 11 play:


TEAM                     WON      LOST       TIE           PCT.

Arizona                  7              3              0              .700

Green Bay             7              3              0              .700

LA Rams                6              3              0              .667

New England        6              3              0              .667

New Orleans         6              3              0              .667

Oakland                 6              3              0              .667

Buffalo                   5              3              1              .625

Pittsburgh             5              3              1              .625

Minnesota             6              4              0              .600

Carolina                 5              4              0              .556

Dallas                     5              4              0              .556

Denver                   5              4              0              .556

Houston                 5              4              0              .556

Indianapolis          5              4              0              .556

Jacksonville           5              4              0              .556

Miami                    5              4              0              .556

San Francisco        5              4              0              .556

Kansas City            5              5              0              .500

Seattle                    5              5              0              .500

Baltimore              4              4              1              .500

Detroit                   4              5              0              .444

Philadelphia          4              5              0              .444

Tennessee             4              5              1              .444

Atlanta                   3              6              0              .333

Chicago                  3              6              0              .333

Cincinnati              3              6              0              .333

NY Jets                   3              6              0              .333

Washington          3              6              0              .333

LA Chargers           3              6              1              .333

NY Giants              3              7              0              .300

Cleveland               2              6              1              .250

Tampa Bay            2              7              0              .222




Last week the College Football Underdogs really rock-n-rolled with a 30-17-0 ATS mark (that’s a .638 winning rate) but – for the 2019 season – the chalk still leads the way. As we head into Thursday night’s college tilts – that’s Buffalo at Kent State and North Carolina at Pittsburgh – the College Football Betting Favorites are 276-259-14 with 3 Pick ‘Em games tossed into the mix (a .516 winning percentage for the favs).


In other College Football pointspread-related items, note the following (all figures below are ATS, of course) …

Akron is a rotten-to-the-core 0-10

Arkansas has failed to cover its last five games in a row

Boston College is 5-1 as an underdog side

Central Michigan is a tasty 7-2-1 on the year

Clemson is 7-3 as a double-digit betting fav

Florida is 5-1-1 in its last seven games

Illinois has copped five consecutive spread verdicts

Kansas State is 7-2 under first-year coach Chris Kleiman

Liberty is 6-1-1 since mid-September

Louisiana Tech has covered six of its last seven games

Michigan is 5-1 since late September

Michigan State’s failed to cover its last five in a row

Minnesota has covered its last six games

Navy is 6-2 on the year including two-of-three as dogs

Nebraska is 1-8 for the ’19 season

Northwestern’s failed to cover seven of its first nine games

Ohio State is 8-0 since a season-opening spread setback

Oklahoma State’s covered seven of its first nine games

Purdue is 5-1 since early October

San Jose State is 6-1-1 since mid-September

Syracuse has dropped seven of its last eight spread decisions

Tennessee has covered five in a row

Tulane is 6-1 since Sept. 14th

UCF’s failed to cover six of its last seven games

UL-Lafayette is 8-1 this year

UMass is 1-9 in 2019

Vanderbilt’s dropped eight of its first nine games

West Virginia is 2-5 as a dog

Western Kentucky is 6-1 the last seven weeks and

Wyoming’s covered six of its first nine games this year.




NOTE: College Football’s top game previews – featuring new #1 LSU at Ole Miss – in the next edition of Jim Sez, so don’t miss out!



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