Submitted by Jim Hurley on Saturday, November 2, 2019 at 12:00 AM
NFL WEEK 9 SUNDAY GOODIES
Let’s get right down to it:
More or less, we’re at the halfway point of this here-and-now 2019 NFL season and there’s a batch of teams that have been major pointspread flops … can they wind up turning a profit the second half of this season? We’ll see:
The Chicago Bears are 2-5 ATS (against the spread) and that includes five-of-six spread losses when in the favorite’s role;
The Cleveland Browns also own a 2-5 ATS mark at this stage and did you know this AFC North crew is 1-5 vig-wise playing outside the division;
The Los Angeles Chargers are 2-5-1 against the odds this year and the Bolts have failed to cover all four of their home games;
The New York Jets are 2-5 spreadwise and that includes four-of-five spread setbacks against AFC opponents;
And the Tampa Bay Bucs are the last of the league’s 2-and-5 (or 2-5-1 ATS) sides with TB at 0-4 ATS when the Las Vegas line is anywhere between +3 and – 3.
Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers are hot-hot-hot after slamming the books last weekend and we’ll have all this week’s College Football Winners plus get all the NFL Week 9 games and the NBA too – and don’t forget College Basketball tips off on Tuesday night – and so just call us at our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 or else get the winners right here online at www.jimhurley.com and keep on piling up the profits.
On Sunday, it’s …
MINNESOTA (6-2) at KANSAS CITY (5-3) – 1 p.m. ET, Fox
As one sports web site called it, this is a “will-he-or-won’t-he play” game for KayCee QB Patrick Mahomes (dislocated kneecap) who has been out since early in the Chiefs’ Week 7 game at Denver. There hasn’t been a pointspread posted all week long for this clash at Arrowhead Stadium (KC minus a deuce or so seems to be the price tag should Mahomes play) but it all might be mute if Vikings’ slinger Kirk Cousins stays hot – Cousins (1,997 yards passing with 13 TDs and 3INTs) has been playing to a 137.1 QB Rating the past four weeks.
Pointspread Note – Minnesota is 57-31-3 ATS under sixth-year head coach Mike Zimmer.
GREEN BAY (7-1) at LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (3-5) – 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS
Okay, if we spent the early portion of this Jim Sez column dissing the league’s worst spread sides, then how about a “hip-hip-hooray” for the GB Packers who enter this game 6-2 against the juice … QB Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 2,324 yards (second-best in the NFL) with 16 TDs and 2 INTs and that “other” Aaron – that’s RB Aaron Jones -- already owns 11 TDs.
If the 3.5-point pup Chargers are gonna revive any playoff hopes, then LA’s ground game (less than 40 yards per in last four games) better get movin’. Note that one-time holdout RB Melvin Gordon is averaging 2.5 yards a pop (that’s 112 rushing yards / 44 carries) … ugh!
Pointspread Note – Green Bay’s covered seven of its last eight games played against AFC competition.
On Sunday Night, it’s …
NEW ENGLAND (8-0) at BALTIMORE (5-2) – 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC
Here’s the unquestioned marquee matchup on this NFL Week 8 card:
The visiting Patriots enter this prime-timer having covered 17 of their last 24 games in all; the host Ravens are 0-3 spreadwise in their own backyard this year (pointspread losses versus Arizona, Cleveland and Cincinnati).
So, what gives here?
No doubt New England wishes to stay on that perfect path – it’s the first time since 2015 that New England started out at 8-0 or better (see 10-0 start in ’15) but not everything is picture perfect for Bill Belichick’s club (ranked 23rd in the league in rushing and still missing a tight end target).
Maybe QB Tom Brady (2,251 yards passing with 13 TDs and 4 INTs) can play a little ball-control passing game against a Ravens’ defense that ranks a lowly 25th in the league in pass defense.
Pointspread Note – The Patriots are 3-0-2 ATS in their last five regular-season meetings against the Ravens (but Baltimore’s 3-0 ATS against N’England in the last three post-season showdowns since 2009).