Submitted by Jim Hurley on Monday, October 14, 2019 at 12:00 AM
THE NFL WEEK 6 REPORT –
WHO SAID ANYTHING ‘BOUT
ANY “HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE” AS
HOST SQUADS LOSE $$$ ONCE AGAIN …
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PREVIEW:
LIONS-PACKERS CLASH AT LAMBEAU …
THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL NOTEBOOK —
GEORGIA’S STUNNING LOSS HAS FOLKS TALKIN’
Memo to the betting public:
NFL Home Teams have been an absolutely rotten investment this season and we’ve got the numbers to prove it:
Following last night’s action – see the Pittsburgh Steelers 24, the non-competitive 6.5-point home favorite Los Angeles Chargers 17 – NFL Home Teams stood at 34 pointspread covers, 56 spread losses and one measly push … folks, that’s a .378 winning percentage for all NFL home squads this 2019 campaign.
Not very good.
In fact, we’ll head into tonight’s game in Green Bay with Home Teams at just 6-7 ATS (against the spread) here in Week 6 play but get a load of the week-by-week breakdown for the year at hand:
NFL HOME TEAMS
Week # HOME AWAY TIE PCT
Week 1 5 11 0 .313
Week 2 5 11 0 .313
Week 3 6 10 0 .375
Week 4 6 9 0 .400
Week 5 6 8 1 .428
Week 7 6 7 0 .462
Total 34 56 1 .378
Gotta say we cannot remember – ever – a time when NFL Home Teams were such a rotten weekly play. Heck, Home Favs have not snagged a single / solitary winning week thus far and all you have to do is keep a mind that $100 per-play wagers on all NFL Home Teams have produced a fat negative dollar amount of $2,760 … gulp!
Take note …
Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers have the Side & Totals winners of tonight’s NFL Week 6 tilt between the Detroit Lions at the Green Bay Packers plus cash in big with Major-League Baseball too as it’s Game 3 of the National League Championship Series between the St. Louis Cardinals at the up-two-games-to-love Washington Nationals (first pitch here is at 7:38 p.m. ET) – just call us at our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 or get the winners right here online at www.jimhurley.com and keep piling up the profits.
Tonight, it’s …
DETROIT (2-1-1) at GREEN BAY (4-1) – 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN
Once upon a time the GB Packers absolutely dominated this rivalry inside the confines of historic Lambeau Field – remember Green Bay won 24 games in a row SU (straight-up) in this building against the Lions before Detroit finally snapped the streak back in 2015 and now it’s actually won three of the last four tilts here.
The here-and-now tells us Green Bay’s favored by that standard “home-field advantage” margin of 3.5 points – so what’s gonna spell the difference here in what’s considered pretty much a dead-even matchup?
Well, the Packers are counting on their pair of “Aaron’s” – as in QB Rodgers (1,307 yards passing with 6 TDs and 1 INT) and RB Jones (four scores in last weekend’s 34-24 win at 3-point fav Dallas) – to power their way to the winner’s circle here while the Lions (idle since Sept. 29th) need oft-erratic QB Matthew Stafford (see 1,122 yards passing with 9 TDs and 2 INTs) to keep the chains moving and make sure those red-zone visits result in “7’s” and not “3’s”.
Spread Notes – Green Bay has covered four of its first five games so far this year but overall the Packers have failed to cover their last four head-to-head tilts against Detroit. Note that the Lions are 3-1 versus the vig this season and the Motowners enter this prime-time affair at just 10-13-1 ATS in divisional games the past four-plus seasons.
In other NF Week 6 games played Sunday …
The aforementioned wire-to-wire Steelers’ upset win at the LA Chargers last night is the kind of stuff that gets head coaches fired – so maybe third-year boss Anthony Lynn should be keeping one eye on the “help wanted” columns out there. The Chargers surrendered the game’s first 24 points and made do-it-all RB James Conner look like a modern-day version of Jim Brown – Conner bounced off LA tacklers regularly and wound up with 119 scrimmage yards and two TDs while it sure looks like Chargers’ RB Melvin Gordon (eight carries for 18 yards) has mucho rust on his game after that early-season holdout …
Strange-but-true factoids resulting from yesterday’s games – the Kansas City Chiefs have lost back-to-back home games and that hadn’t happened since the 2013 season. KayCee’s funky 31-24 home loss against 3.5-point underdog Houston “featured” QB Patrick Mahomes’ first pick of the year and just 53 yards rushing. Looks like the 4-and-Chiefs are gonna be chasing after 6-and-oh New England all year long now when it comes to home field …
And don’t dare ask us what’s wrong with the defending NFC champion Los Angeles Rams who were slam-dunked in Week 6 by the tune of 20-7 to the 3-point underdog San Francisco 49ers. Okay, so Rams’ QB Jared Goff threw for only 79 yards (he had only 35 yards passing by early in the fourth quarter) and an early goal-line stand really set the tone for this NFC West bash. Stat of the Day: The 49ers and Rams combined for zero passing TDs (call it an old-style NFL game).
THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEKEND RECAPS
Seventh-ranked Florida was “supposed” to lose its SEC game this past Saturday;
Third-ranked Georgia was not.
And, so believe what you will from ESPN studio analyst Joey Galloway – he claimed that Georgia’s national championship hopes might not really be affected at all … really?
The truth is Georgia (5-1 SU / 3-3 ATS) has zero wiggle room now if it wants to get back into the playoffs for the second time in three years plus Kirby Smart’s club must get some help from within SEC-land. Now Georgia needs either / both LSU and Alabama to lose at least one game or the Dawgs are never gonna get back into the conversation.
Georgia’s last-play missed field goal at the end of the second overtime in that 20-17 home loss against three-TD dog South Carolina – we still can’t believe PK Rodrigo Blankenship missed a pair of FGs including that 42-yarder that sent the SC Gamecocks into a wild celebration – could be the single-biggest play in college football this year and be sure the loss also kayoed any /all hopes of QB Jake Fromm (3 INTs) winning this year’s shiny Heisman Trophy.
One note on the Florida Gators:
They were game in that 42-28 loss at 14-point fav LSU as three long touchdown drives had the Bengals on the ropes but – let’s face it, Florida – you don’t deserve to win a game of this nature when you surrender 500+ yards and don’t force a turnover or collect a single sack …
Finally, College Football Betting Favorites finished the just-completed weekend at 28-21-3 ATS. For the year, College Betting Favorites are 175-151-12 with one Pick ‘Em game for a hearty .537 winning rate.
NOTE: Plenty of College Football News & Notes in the next Jim Sez – so don’t miss out!