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Submitted by Jim Hurley on Friday, October 11, 2019 at 12:00 AM












The New England Patriots don’t really care about “style points”.

Nope, head coach Bill Belichick’s crew likes to get in and then get out with wins … they’ve won all six of its games so far in this here-and-now 2019 season and last night the Pats managed to cover their fourth game in six tries with a not-so-dominant 35-14 win / cover against the 17-point underdog New York Giants team that was shy on star players and all too big on turnovers. Three picks of rookie Jints’ QB Daniel Jones helped do the Giants in but all Belichick cares about is 10 days off before playing the next crummy New York football teams.

Hmm, that team with six Super Bowl crowns is inching closer to a 16-0 season.


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#6 OKLAHOMA (5-0) vs. #11 TEXAS (4-1) – 12 p.m. ET, Fox

The Texas State Fair could be the backdrop of one of college football’s highest scoring games this season: Note the 75.5-point “totals price” here and don’t be surprised if OU Sooners transfer QB Jalen Hurts (1,523 yards passing with 14 TDs and 2 INTs) and the country’s top-ranked offense come out no-huddle and with a breakneck tempo. Can Longhorns’ cocky QB Sam Ehlinger (1,448 yards passing with 17 TDs and 2 INTs) stay step-for-step with Boomer Sooner here?

Spread Note – Texas has covered six of the last seven head-to-head showdowns against uber-rival Oklahoma.


#1 ALABAMA (5-0) at #24 TEXAS A&M (3-2) – 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS

Let’s face it: Neither ‘Bama nor A&M is setting the world on fire spreadwise these days as they are a combined 4-5-1 ATS (against the spread) this year but the Crimson Tide sports the country’s third-best passing attack and lefty zinger Tua Tagovailoa (1,718 passing with 23 TDs /O INTs) has been absolutely flawless so far. But a 17-point road favorite here? Hmm, the Aggies better “shorten” this tilt or it could get super ugly.

Spread Note – Alabama is a disappointing 9-10-1 ATS in SEC games since the start of the 2017 season.


#10 PENN STATE (5-0) at #17 IOWA (4-1) – 7:30 p.m. ET, ABC

Here’s a little inside information: The Penn State Nittany Lions are akin to the wolves ‘round the proverbial hen house ‘cause it could well be the case where James Franklin’s team is 10-0 SU (straight-up) while heading into the game at Ohio State on Nov. 23rd and then they’ll be playoff talk galore regarding the Happy Valley gents. P.S. we watched Michigan snag a 10-3 win against Iowa last week and can tell you Hawkeyes’ QB Nate Stanley (three picks / sacked eight times) is no pro prospect. So there!

Spread Note – Did you realize that Penn State has covered four of its last five matchups against Iowa since 2011? The Nittany Lions, however, are just 5-7-1 spreadwise in last baker’s dozen games overall.


USC (3-2) at #9 NOTRE DAME (4-1) – 7:30 p.m. ET, NBC

Consider that the ND Fighting Irish need / want to blow out any and all foes this year just to stay on the fringes of this year’s four-team playoff race – so be careful when thinking about going with anti-Irish plays the rest of the. If the 10.5-point home favs have a “master plan” here it’s get QB Ian Book some open looks downfield to WR Chase Claypool (4 TDs) who is a lead-pipe cinch first-round draft pick one of these years.

Spread Note – Notre Dame’s covered its last four consecutive games since that season-opening non-cover win at Louisville. P.S., home teams have covered seven of the last 10 games in this historic USC vs.Notre Dame series.


#7 FLORIDA (6-0) at #5 LSU (5-0) – 8 p.m. ET, ESPN

The Associated Press Top 25 rankings has the LSU Tigers at #5 in the poll – we happen to think they’re the true numero uno team in the land at this very minute but laying a two-TD price against this feisty Florida bunch may be a major challenge … true, Gators’ QB Kyle Trask has some ankle woes but Bengals slinger Joe Burrow (1,864 yards passing with 22 TDs and 3 INTs – and he’s completed 78.4 percent of his aerials) can’t be picture-perfect every weekend, can he?

Spread Note – LSU is a solid 6-3-1 versus the vig in its last 10 duels against Florida but take note that the “mighty” Gators roll into this clash on modest three-game ATS winning streak (versus Tennessee, Towson and Auburn).



Play Ball, Round II!

The National League Championship Series – it’s a best-of-seven, remember – gets rollin’ tonight at Busch Stadium and the league’s #1 and #2 seeds are gone, gone, gone.

No Los Angeles Dodgers; no Atlanta Braves.

So, here come the karma kids –the Washington Nationals – as the minus 130 betting favorites in this round against the St. Louis Cardinals and your Game 1 matchup on the mound is veteran RHP Anibal Sanchez for the Nats and Miles Mikolas for the Redbirds. Hey, all the star pitchers are exhausted from those five-game sets in the last round.

Two keys here in this NLCS:

The Cardinals need to trust LHP reliever Andrew Miller to get out both 3B Anthony Rendon and LF Juan Soto (a combined 11 ribbies this post-season) in the late innings because counting on “closer” Carlos Martinez will be hazardous to their health and – two – St. Loo needs supporting characters such as OF Dexter Fowler and SS Paul DeJong to have solid series at the plate because then the likes of 1B Paul Goldschmidt will see better pitches to hit.



NOTE: Catch our key NFL Week 6 game previews in the next edition of Jim Sez.


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