Submitted by Jim Hurley on Saturday, September 28, 2019 at 12:00 AM
THE NFL WEEK 4 REPORT –
TRACKING THE 3-AND-OH SQUADS
AND SHOWCASING PATS-BILLS SHOWDOWN
PLUS, THE SUNDAY NIGHT TILT BETWEEN ‘BOYS-SAINTS
The 1972 Miami Dolphins are not quaking in their high tops just yet … but that all change a few months down the line.
There’s plenty of chit-chat making the rounds that this here-and-new New England Patriots’ squad could be “perfect” at year’s end (promise we won’t say one word about 2007!) but let’s not sleep on the fact that heading into Sunday’s action there are a grand total of six NFL teams with 3-and-oh SU (straight-up) records and we’re gonna take a few moments to analyze their games in today’s weekend edition of Jim Sez.
P.S., the 3-0 San Francisco 49ers have a bye week.
Extra, extra …
Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers get you all the College Football, NFL Week 4 and down-to-this-last-weekend stretch Major-League Baseball winners all this weekend. Just call us at our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 or get the winners right here online at www.jimhurley.com – just keep piling up the profits on the gridiron and on the diamond!
In Sunday’s NFL Week 4 action, it’s …
NEW ENGLAND (3-0) at BUFFALO (3-0) – 1 p.m. ET, CBS
Shake your head and nod if you thought the Buffalo Bills – projected to win seven games this NFL season – would be tied atop the AFC East standings with the always-mighty New England Patriots after three full weeks of play. The Bills’ splashy 3-0 SU / 2-1 ATS (against the spread) start has been a wonderful story so far but how will the Bills fare here against a Pats’ squad that’s 30-3 SU in head-to-head showdowns with QB Tom Brady at the controls and with a NE defense that has not yielded a single offensive TD this year?
Keep in mind that Buffalo ranks fifth in the league in total defense (allowing 299.7 yards per game) and this unit is surrendering just 15.7 ppg games through wins against the NY Jets, NY Giants and Cincinnati … so there!
Spread Note – New England has covered eight of its last 10 trips to Buffalo including a 25-6 win / cover last year as 13-point road favorites.
KANSAS CITY (3-0) at DETROIT (2-0-1)—1 p.m. ET, Fox
At last check, the number’s been bumped up to a “full TD” (that’s seven points) that the Chiefs are laying in Motown … and ask yourself the following question: How do the Lions know what QB Patrick Mahomes target will get hot here?
In Kansas City’s first three games, it’s truly been a spread-the-wealth theme with WRs Sammy Watkins (198 yards receiving and 3 TDs in Week 1), WR Demarcus Robinson (174 yards receiving and two TDs in Week 2) and rookie WR Mecole Hardman (83-yard touchdown grab in Week 3) taking turns being stars as overall Mahomes has thrown for 10 TDs and 0 INTs this season. Ship ‘em another MVP trophy, will ‘ya!
Spread Note – The KC Chiefs are 3-0 spreadwise so far this year and a collective 28-15-1 ATS since the midway point of the 2016 season (folks, that’s a .651 winning rate).
TAMPA BAY (1-2) at LOS ANGELES RAMS (3-0) – 4:05 p.m. ET, Fox
The reigning NFC champ Rams have won /covered their first three games of the year … and truth is they have not even come near playing their best ball!
Sure, it’s exciting to watch the revival of the QB Jared Goff-to-WR Cooper Cupp (23 catches and 2 TDs so far) tandem but we’re waiting to see when Rams’ coach Sean McVay allows RB Todd Gurley to “cut it loose” with a 23-to-25 carry game (or is that balky knee preventing such a workload?).
A pointspread ditty to drop your way: The Bucs have failed to cover their last six in a row versus the Rams.
Spread Note – The Hollywood Rams have covered seven of their last eight games overall with the lone pointspread loss coming in Super Bowl 53 last February.
On Sunday Night, it’s …
DALLAS (3-0) at NEW ORLEANS (2-1) – 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC
True, it’s hardly been a “who’s who” of opponents for the Cowboys thus far with “America’s Team” striking up SU / ATS wins against the NY Giants, Washington and Miami but the soft landing provided for RB Ezekiel Elliott’s return (see 289 yards rushing and 2 TDs in ’19) since his re-sign has helped and have you noticed where Dallas sports four pass-catchers with 10-or-more grabs already?
If Dallas QB Dak Prescott (70-of-94 passing for 920 yards with 9 TDs) makes a few plays with his legs here too, then the 2.5-point home pup N’Orleans Saints could be playing “chase” all night long.
Spread Note – Dallas is a tasty 9-3-1 versus the vig overall while dating back to the middle of the 2018 campaign.
NOTE: Catch our NFL Week 4 recaps plus all the NCAA Football News / Notes in the next edition of Jim Sez.