Submitted by Jim Hurley on Monday, September 23, 2019 at 12:00 AM
THE NFL WEEK 3 REPORT –
BROWNS BLUNDER AWAY
THE SUNDAY NITE GAME
PLUS, WE’VE GOT A MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
BEARS-REDSKINS GAME PREVIEW STRAIGHT AHEAD …
COLLEGE FOOTBALL NOTEBOOK:
OKAY, SO ALABAMA IS #2, GEORGIA’S #3 BUT IS
#4 LSU REALLY THE BEST TEAM IN THE SEC
(AND MAYBE THE SECOND-BEST TEAM IN THE LAND)?
Hey, Cleveland Browns, this is no way to go about things if you expect to be playing in Super Bowl LIV the first Sunday in February!
Last night’s painful 20-13 home loss to the 4.5-point favorite Los Angeles Rams – the second Browns’ home loss of the year already – featured some real shoddy play-calling by novice head coach Freddie Kitchens (hey, lose the gum in the post-game press conference, Freddie!) and some of the worst insde-the-10-yard line offense imaginable.
The Browns (1-2) had four shots to score a late-game touchdown and not once did they throw in to WR Odell Beckham, Jr. and not once did they try to rush the ball despite the fact RB Nick Chubb ran it for 96 yards on 23 carries (a solid 4.2 yards a pop).
Here’s all you really need to know about the excuse-making Browns (okay, they had a brand-new secondary here but we’re talking what’s wrong with that O-line and QB Baker Mayfield): They were not-ready-for-prime-time players before this 2019 began and they’re reinforcing things with their three games played thus far. No, we’re not handing out any medals for that sleepy 23-3 win / cover at the New York Jets in Week 2.
From a wagering standpoint, the Browns were listed as a 12-to-1 choice to win this year’s Super Bowl and most “in-the-know” folks believed this was a team that should get to double-digit wins in regular-season play.
But take a step back now and note the Browns are in Baltimore this Sunday and then at 3-and-oh San Francisco these next two weekends before getting dangerous Seattle at home. Is it possible that Cleveland will be no better than 2-4 SU (straight-up) and no better than 2-4 ATS (against the spread) while heading into the club’s Week 7 bye? Yikes!
And now hear this …
Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers have the Side / Totals winners in tonight’s Chicago Bears at Washington Redskins game plus straight ahead there’s a load of College Football, NFL Week 4 and Major-League Baseball down-the-stretch and post-season winners! If you weren’t aboard for this past weekend in NCAA Football, then you missed out on a bunch of winners including SMU’s 41-38 upset win at 8-point favorite TCU and Auburn’s 28-20 triumph at 4-point fav Texas A&M. Go ahead and call us at our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 or get the winners right here online at www.jimhurley.com – just keep on cashin’ all month long!
Tonight, it’s …
CHICAGO (1-1) at WASHINGTON (0-2) – 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN
No doubt about it: The Bears were a popular pick to win SB 54 as one recently published report claimed Las Vegas wrote up a slew of Bears “win it all” slips but so far this Chitown team hardly looks the part: Second-year head coach Matt Nagy’s team has scored just one offensive touchdown while scoring only 19 total points in season-starting spread losses versus Green Bay and Denver, so the Bears are keeping fingers crossed that tonight QB Mitchell Trubisky (just 348 passing yards this year) can get his act together.
Meanwhile, Washington’s coming off back-to-back divisional duels – a 32-27 backdoor cover but SU loss at Philly in Week 1 followed by last week’s 31-21 home loss versus Dallas – and you really can’t blame journeyman QB Case Keenum who has thrown for 601 yards with five TDs and no picks in ’19.
First team to 20 points wins?
Spread Notes – Chicago has started out a season 0-3 against the odds twice in the last four years (see 2015 and ’16) and that’s what this NFC North crew is hoping to avoid here. The Bears are 0-2 ATS as betting favorites this year after registering a 9-4 spread log as chalk last season; On the flip side, the ‘Skins are a tidy 13-7 vig-wise when playing non-divisional teams the past two-plus seasons.
In other NFL Week 3 News / Notes …
Okay, so the start of the QB Daniel Jones Era with the New York Giants started out great with that scintillating 32-31 come-from-way-behind win at 5.5-point fav Tampa Bay. Jones threw for 336 yards with 2 TDs and ran for another two scores including the game winner but don’t ‘ya think Jones and Co. owe a gift basket to Bucs’ PK Matt Gay for missing that chip-shot 34-yarder (and don’t you know that the delay-of-game penalty assessed against T-Bay was a killer ‘cause Gay’s kick would have snuck inside the goal post from 29 yards out!)? Funny how the Vegas line for that game had Tampa Bay favored by 6.5 points when it was expected Eli Manning would stay put as Giants’ quarterback early in the week and then the number dropped to 5.5 points with Jones announced as the starter? Hmm …
Finally, speaking of pointspreads, the NFL Week 3 Betting Favorites head into tonight’s game at 6-9-0 ATS – and for the season they’re 19-26-0 with two Pick ‘Em affairs. Note that there are five teams in the league that are a perfect 3-0 spreadwise: Dallas, Green Bay, Indianapolis, Kansas City and the Los Angeles Rams.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL NOTEBOOK
Let’s get up to snuff on College Football’s Pointspread Breakdown in a week-by-week look here in today’s Jim Sez:
Week # Favorites Underdogs Push Pick ‘Em
Week 0 / Week 1 22 22 1 0
Week 2 24 18 4 0
Week 3 27 21 0 0
Week 4 28 20 1 0
Total … 101 81 6 0
Okay, so that’s a solid .555 winning percentage so far for the College Betting Favorites out there and – in case you were wondering – double-digit betting favs churned out a decent 14-10-0 spread mark this last weekend.
In other College Football News / Notes …
Pretty sure that all the assorted College Football Top 25 rankings will stay the same at the top … Clemson #1, Alabama #2, Georgia #3.
But could you make the argument that the 4th-ranked LSU Tigers – 4-0 SU an 3-1 ATS at this very minute – might be the best team in the SEC and just a notch below defending national champ Clemson?
Gotta say that it’s refreshing to see LSU’s offense cranking out yards / points like crazy as the Bayou bunch is averaging 57.8 points per game with QB Joe Burrow fresh off a school-record six-TD pass performance in the weekend’s 66-38 win / cover against 24-point underdog Vanderbilt.
Don’t look now but Burrow has thrown for 17 TDs (and just 2 INTs) so far and he’s neck-and-neck (in our mind) with Wisconsin RB Jonathan Taylor for the early lead in the Heisman Trophy race.
LSU has to do everything in its power to play it “one game at a time” before it gets to the Nov. 9th battle at Alabama but – from what we’ve seen so far – LSU’s a better team than #2 ‘Bama or #3 Georgia (the latter didn’t exactly wow us in Saturday’s 23-17 non-cover win against Notre Dame) … yes, another one of those Jim Hurley Network winners!
NOTE: Catch our Bears-Redskins recap and lots more in tomorrow’s jam-packed edition of Jim Sez – and make sure you’re winning with the Jim Hurley Network all week!