Submitted by Jim Hurley on Friday, September 20, 2019 at 12:00 AM
THE JIM SEZ WEEKEND UPDATE:
#7 NOTRE DAME AT #3 GEORGIA IS
MARQUEE MATCHUP DELUXE
HERE ON A GREAT COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEKEND …
NFL WEEK 3 GETS KICKED OFF
WITH JACKSONVILLE’S 20-7 SLEEPY WIN VS. TENNESSEE
Let’s be truthful, folks:
The first three weeks of this here-and-now NCAA Football season has been rather light on great head-to-head matchups as we’ve witnessed way too many “cupcakes” on the respective schedules of the nation’s top-ranked teams.
So, how does #7 Notre Dame at #3 Georgia “between the hedges” grab ‘ya on Saturday night?
It’s a really tall task for the “wake up the echoes” gang from South Bend – right now Mr. Oddsmaker has Georgia favored by a whopping 14.5 points and the last time the Fighting Irish was that big of a dog was the season finale in 2016 (see 17-point fav USC 45, ND 27).
#7 NOTRE DAME (2-0) at #3 GEORGIA (3-0) – 8 p.m. ET, CBS
If you’ve followed the Las Vegas line moves here then you know that Georgia opened up as an 11.5-point betting favorite, immediately shot up to -13.5 and now is on the “other side” of that two-TD mark … gulp, you’re telling us a Notre Dame team that is mere months removed from the FBS playoffs is now a two-TD plus pup? Yup!
If the Irish are gonna “hang around” here or – dare we say – snag the outright upset, then QB Ian Book must lead the nation’s 22nd-ranked offense to a minimum of four TDs against a Bulldogs defense that has surrendered a grand total of 23 points against lesser lights Vanderbilt / Murray State / Arkansas State.
Georgia’s QB Jake Fromm has been picture perfect so far this year – he’s thrown for 601 yards with 5 TDs and 0 INTs – while this UGa ground game averages 7.6 yards a pop and you’ll be hearing plenty about RB D’Andre Swift who is averaging nearly a first down every time he touches it.
Let’s see if Irish eyes are smiling – or cryin’ – at the end of this prime-time clash.
Spread Notes – Georgia is an electric 21-9 ATS (against the spread) since the start of the 2017 campaign and take note the Dawgs have covered seven of their last 10 non-SEC affairs. On the flip side, Notre Dame enters this hoedown at 16-12 vig-wise when in the underdog role during the Brian Kelly Era that started in 2010.
Take note …
Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers will be banging out lots of winners this weekend with College Football, NFL Week 3 and Major-League Baseball and so go ahead and call us at our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 or get the winners right here online at www.jimhurley.com – just keep on cashin’ all month long!
Tonight, it’s …
AIR FORCE (2-0) at #20 BOISE STATE (3-0) – 9 p.m. ET, espn2
Lots of rumblings about the notion that blue-turfed Boise State could be that “Group of Five” team that makes a legit run at the playoffs – yes, the UCF folks are getting red in the face right about now! – but Air Force could be a dangerous road foe with QB Donald Hammond III beginning to master the triple option. Note Boise State opened as 9.5-point favorites, it’s now down to 7.
Spread Note – Boise State is a rotten 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven head-to-head showdowns with the AF Fly Boys.
#10 UTAH (3-0) at USC (2-1) – 9 p.m. ET, FS1
Which side of the story here gets you more riled up:
The fact that Utah could become the only Pac-12 team – other than the 2016 Washington Huskies – to make it to the FBS playoffs the past five years or the notion that USC head coach Clay Helton may not even make it through this ’19 season (see new athletic director at SC after Lynn Swann’s resignation, etc.)?
Spread Note – Utah’s a money-making 17-10-1 versus the vig in Pac-12 games the past three-plus seasons.
On Saturday, it’s …
#11 MICHIGAN (2-0) at #13 WISCONSIN (2-0) – 12 p.m. ET, Fox
Don’t look now but the Wisky Badgers have walloped season-opening foes UCF and Central Michigan by a 110-to-nothin’ composite score and RB Jonathan Taylor – yes, our projected Jim Sez Heisman Trophy winner this summer – has 237 yards, 5 TDs and a haughty 6.8 yards-per-carry average so far. Think Michigan (lost its last six in a row to the spread dating back to 2018) is feeling good about turnover-prone QB Shea Patterson these days? Think again.
Spread Note – Since 2009, Michigan’s 0-5 against the odds when playing Wisconsin.
#8 AUBURN (3-0) at #17 TEXAS A&M (2-1) – 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS
Much is being made of the fact that Auburn’s true freshman QB Bo Nix (545 yards passing with 4 TDs and 2 INTs) is being tossed into this hostile environment at College Station – but can A&M backers really be all that convinced scattershot QB Kellen Mond can be the savior here? The Aggies have failed to cover their last three-of-four SEC games dating to last year.
Spread Note – The road teams are 5-1-1 ATS In this SEC rivalry since the 2012 season.
NFL WEEK 3
Last night’s 20-7 win by 1.5-point home pup Jacksonville over Tennessee could have solved some insomnia issues for all of us, but we march onwards. The Jags – with all that internal bickering – busted out to a quick 14-zip lead and never sweated it as the Titans continue to suffer for not having LT Taylor Lewan (four-game suspension finally ends next week).
Among NFL Week 3 games on Sunday, it’s …
NEW YORK JETS (0-2) at NEW ENGLAND (2-0) – 1 p.m. ET, CBS
Last time we checked the J-E-T-S were down to their third-string quarterback (see Luke Falk) and were a 22.5-point underdog … and keep in mind Patriots’ boss-man Bill Belichick always likes to beat NYJ by as many points as possible for those folks wondering if QB Tom Brady and friends can go “over” the totals price of 43.5 points all by themselves!
Spread Note – New England’s covered nine of its last 11 games when placed in the role of double-digit betting favorite.
MIAMI (0-2) AT DALLAS (2-0) – 1 p.m. ET, Fox
Here’s the other rather flabbergasting pointspread on the Week 3 menu: The Cowboys are 21.5-point home favorites after disposing of NFC East rivals the NY Giants and Washington Redskins the past two weeks. Maybe QB Dak Prescott (674 yards passing with 7 TDs so far) can convince Dallas owner Jerry Jones he’s worth more than he’s being offered … bombs away against one of the worst secondaries in the league.
Spread Note – Dallas is a funky 2-4-2 vig-wise the past two years when facing AFC opponents.
NOTE: There’s NFL Week 3 previews in the next edition of Jim Sez.