Submitted by Jim Hurley on Friday, July 5, 2019 at 12:00 AM
THE POST-4TH OF JULY MLB NOTEBOOK …
NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM GLANCES –
HERE’S THE PATRIOTS, BUCS & COWBOYS
In case you were wondering, the Oakland A’s – who have won seven of their last 10 games and now have climbed to within one full game back of Cleveland for that second wild-card berth in the American League – were the only real significant underdog to cash on the Fourth of July with a 7-2 triumph over the visiting Minnesota Twins (- 130).
Otherwise, most of the other fireworks on this festive holiday were reserved for betting favorites such as the Los Angeles Dodgers (- 220) besting San Diego 5-1 and the National League East-leading Atlanta Braves (- 160) smoking the Philadelphia Phillies 12-6.
The Dodgers have opened up a laughable 14.5-game lead over Colorado in the NL West but – check it out – the Braves now enter this home weekend series versus the Miami Marlins with a bloated 6-game lead over hard-charging Washington; and Atlanta keeps bopping the long ball:
In The 4th of July win, the Braves (52-36) were down 4-0 before they ever came to bat and yet pounded out five home runs en route to the blowout win with SS Dansby Swanson whacking a pair of dingers.
Hard to believe now but the Phillies (45-42) finished the month of May with a three-game lead in the division and now sit in third place in the NL East and a pitching staff that ranks 19th overall in Major-League Baseball team ERA (4.69) can’t really be trusted anymore. Note that based on a $100 per-play wager, these Phils are $-557 for the year and only divisional mates Washington ($-592) and the New York Mets ($-1143) are worse when it comes to the venerable senior circuit.
Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers keep winning big with Major-League Baseball action every day of the week. Our 4th of July winners featured “over” 9.5 runs in the Cleveland at Kansas City tilt (Indians won 8-4) and Boston (-127) over Toronto in a wild 8-7 victory North of the Border. So, make sure you cash in big right here at www.jimhurley.com or via our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453. Pile up the profits as we head towards another great NCAA Football / NFL season straight ahead! Remember that the NFL Hall of Fame Game is set for August 1st as the Denver Broncos battle the Atlanta Falcons.
NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM / SUMMERTIME LOOKS
We continue rollin’ along with our annual Jim Sez NFL team-by-team summer accounts right here – and every day here at Jim Sez we’ll be posting two or three teams as we check out news/notes/reports while getting ready for camp. Plus, we get you some key pointspread info to boot and note a team’s SU (straight-up) record is listed next to the team name. Today, we focus on the New England Patriots, the Tampa Bay Rays and the Dallas Cowboys. Next up: The Houston Texans and the Minnesota Vikings.
NEW ENGLAND (14-5) – Quarterback Tom Brady will turn 42 years old this summer and yet there’s been no slowing down: New England’s been to three consecutive Super Bowls (beating Atlanta and the Los Angeles Rams; losing to Philadelphia two years ago) and Brady’s quarterbacked the Pats to eight Super Bowls since 2001 when he became the team’s No.1 slinger. Note that in the past three seasons Brady has averaged 30 touchdown passes and only seven interceptions so – you may wonder – is this the year Mr. Brady “shows his age”? Mmm, don’t count on it!
Pointspread Notes – Surprise, surprise! The Super Bowl champion Patriots rattled off yet another double-digit win season spreadwise last year (see 12-7 ATS) and so that makes it seven twin-figure spread wins in the past nine years and a cumulative pointspread mark of 96-65-5 since the start of the 2010 season (that’s a sizzling .596 winning rate and a $ +2450 profit based on $100 per-play wagers).
TAMPA BAY (5-11) – Year One in the head coach Bruce Arians Era figures to bring the Bucs some offensive imagination, though it’s worth mentioning last year’s team did rank 11th in the NFL in points per game average (24.75). Tampa Bay registered a 3-0-1 ATS log whenever scoring 30-or-more points and right now you fantasy geeks should be checking out WR Chris Godwin who Arians believes could be a 100-catch guy this year – yes, even opposite stat-sheet stuffing WR Mike Evans who caught 86 balls for 1,524 yards and 8 TDs a year ago. Note that Godwin finished last year with 59 catches for 842 yards and 7 TDs.
Pointspread Notes – Want to hear a rather quirky pointspread fact? The TB Bucs have gone 3-3 ATS in divisional games for the past five years in a row but dig a little bit deeper and you’ll see this NFC South squad is 5-9-3 spreadwise away since late in the 2015 season and just 11-15 ATS at home the past three-plus seasons.
DALLAS (11-7) – So, the Cowboys can breathe easy now that star RB Ezekiel Elliott has dodged a possible NFL suspension but does that mean all is perfect these days in “Jerry’s World”? After all, the ‘Boys are counting on new slot receiver Randall Cobb – the former Green Bay Packers’ wide-out – filing the shoes of pepper-pot Cole Beasley (see 65 receptions last year; now a member of the Buffalo Bills) and word is QB Dak Prescott and Cobb have been developing some nice chemistry this off-season plus you know the Cowboys’ slinger is salivating over the fact that TE Jason Witten has returned to the fold after that much-panned year in the Monday Night Football announcer’s booth. P.S., Witten has averaged 76.8 catches per season in his 15-year career but no way will he be kept that busy in 2019.
Pointspread Notes – No question about it: The Cowboys have been money-toasters in games played outside the NFC East the past two years as Dallas sports a rotten 7-13-2 ATS log in these tilts plus take note that “America’s Team” has failed to cover its season-opening game in four of the last five years.
NOTE: More MLB News and NFL Team-by-Team reports in the next edition of next Jim Sez.