Submitted by Jim Hurley on Tuesday, April 2, 2019 at 12:00 AM
NCAA TOURNAMENT FINAL FOUR UPDATE –
WIN-IT-ALL ODDS, POINTSPREAD CHART PLUS MORE …
NIT SEMIFINALS IN NYC TONIGHT …
THE MLB’S OPENING WEEK SENDING SHOCK WAVES TO
YANKEES, RED SOX & CUBS BETTORS
Here’s a little conversation held a week or so prior to the start of this year’s NCAA Tournament:
We asked a long-time friend (and a big-time bettor) whether he would take Duke (at + 225) or “The Field” if he was gonna make a win-it-all play in this year’s tourney.
Our friend said he’d take “The Field” … and he turned out to be right after the Dookies lost their Elite 8 tilt against Michigan State 68-67 last Sunday.
So, what are the win-it-all odds looking like right now as we head towards the Final Four in Minneapolis this Saturday?
Here’s the odds based on $100 per-play wagers …
TEAM ODDS TO WIN THE NCAA TOURNEY
Virginia + 120
Michigan State + 160
Texas Tech + 300
Auburn + 600
Take note that when this year’s NCAA Tournament started way back on March 19th, the teams that were betting favorites to win it all read in this order:
Duke, Gonzaga, North Carolina, Virginia (8-to-1), Kentucky, Michigan State (15-to-1), Tennessee, Michigan, Texas Tech (20-to-1) and Florida State – so, in fact, three of the top nine teams listed have indeed gotten to the “promised land” with Auburn priced at 60-1 to win it all back in mid-March.
One last spread-related note when it comes to this year’s NCAA Tournament:
Betting Favorites are a collective 30-34-0 ATS (against the spread) for a .469 winning rate with Sweet 16 / Elite 8 chalk sides going a rotten 4-8 against the vig.
Jim Hurley’s Network of Handicappers and Bloggers bring you all the Side & Totals winners in the NCAA Tournament’s Final 4 this Saturday plus there’s all the other action with the other College Basketball Tournies (the NIT, CBI and CIT), the NBA, MLB and the AAF too … get it all right here at www.jimhurley.com or via our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453.
NCAA TOURNAMENT POINTSPREAD BREAKDOWN CHART
Here’s a look at how conferences / leagues have fared thus far in the NCAA Tournament while heading into the Final Four (minimum two tourney games):
CONF/LEAGUE WON LOST TIED PCT
Atlantic Sun 2 0 0 1.000
Ohio Valley 3 1 0 .750
Pac-12 5 2 0 .714
Big 12 8 4 0 .667
Big 10 13 7 0 .650
American Athletic 4 3 0 .571
Big West 1 1 0 .500
Mid-American 1 1 0 .500
Northeast 1 1 0 .500
Southern 1 1 0 .500
Summit 1 1 0 .500
West Coast 2 3 0 .400
SEC 7 11 0 .389
ACC 6 13 0 .316
Big East 1 4 0 .200
Atantic-10 0 2 0 .000
Mountain West 0 2 0 .000
The 2019 NIT semis tip off at 7 p.m. tonight, here’s some insights:
NIT -- At Madison Square Garden (New York, NY)
WICHITA STATE (22-14) vs. LIPSCOMB (28-7) – 7 p.m. ET, ESPN
Gotta look for what type of “pace” this game is played at since Lipscomb averages 84 ppg (seventh-best in the country) while Wichita State averages 70.7 ppg (ranks 236th nationally) – but the Shockers’ Markis McDuffie 18.3 ppg and team-best 83 triples) is the best player on the floor here and so the gritty Lipscomb Bisons need to contain him from deep and get tag-team duo G Garrison Matthews (20.7 ppg) and F Rob Marberry (14.8 ppg) heated up sooner rather than later.
Spread Records … Wichita State is 21-14-1 ATS and that includes a dazzling 13-3-1 spread run in its last 17 games; Lipscomb is 18-15-0 ATS overall and that includes a 3-and-oh spread mark in this year’s NIT.
TEXAS (19-16) vs. TCU (23-13) – approximately 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
The TCU kids copped the NIT championship just two years ago (remember Penn State beat Utah in the title game last year) and the Horned Frogs are the slightest of betting favorites here (- 1.5 points) despite the fact this year’s Texas team defeated the likes of North Carolina, Purdue, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Kansas, Baylor and Iowa State – yes, all NCAA Tournament teams. If Longhorns’ boss Shaka Smart can get his club to stay hot beyond the arc – shooting 42.2 percent this tourney so far – than Texas will avoid the three-game season sweep. Note that TCU drubbed the ‘Horns 69-56 in Austin back on March 9th after topping Texas 65-61 in Fort Worth on Jan. 23rd.
Spread Records: Texas is 16-19-0 versus the vig this hoops season and the Longhorns have failed to cover five of their last six outings; TCU is a dead-even but vig-losing 18-18-0 against the odds and the Horned Frogs are a perfect 3-0 ATS in this year’s NIT.
If you were big-time believers that the York Yankees, Boston Red Sox and Chicago Cubs – all powerhouse teams slated to win to win between 88.5 and 97.5 games this 2019 season – were gonna shoot right outta the starting gate this year, then think again.
The backers of these three “name” teams have been buried under an avalanche of losses so far …
The Yankees were back-to-back weekend losers to woe-be-gone Baltimore while laying astronomical prices of – 410 and -320 – maybe you got some of that back with last night’s 3-1 win over Detroit (the Bombers were laying – 210 with a spot starter there);
The Red Sox entered last night’s game in Oakland having lost three-of-four in Seattle and note the defending world champs were laying -210, -160 and – 135 in those weekend losses versus the M’s;
Then there were the Cubs who followed up last Friday’s 12-4 win in Texas with back-to-back losses while laying – 155 and – 130 to the host Rangers … and then came last night’s 8-0 loss (at even money) in Atlanta. Ykes!
Suffice to say that backing the Yanks, Bosox and Cubbies has been hazardous to your financial health so far – and there’s no guarantee things will get better before they get worse.
NOTE: We’ve got NCAA Basketball coverage all this weekend right here at Jim Sez – so don’t miss out and make sure you’re rollin’ up all the winners at 1-800-323-4453 or right here online at www.jimhurley.com