Submitted by Jim Hurley on Wednesday, March 13, 2019 at 1:00 PM
You would be hard-pressed to find many who thought Gonzaga would lose outright to St. Mary’s Tuesday night in the West Coast Conference championship game. Sure, “betting” St. Mary’s could be justified, either plus the points or on the money line as a long shot paying 10/1. That’s not the same thing as BELIEVING they WOULD win.
But, that’s the nature of conference tourneys. Elite teams who are locked into Big Dance bids have nothing to play for. They’re all looking ahead to next week when results really matter. Plus, they have trouble getting up to face teams they’ve already crushed. They’re also not used to playing back-to-backs (though, Gonzaga was only on its second in two nights, and the first was a virtual scrimmage).
All the relevant basketball “energy” favors surprises. Some teams like St. Mary’s are on the bubble…and need to get a big result. Others aren’t even that high up on the ladder, and must run the table to earn a bid. Throw in single revenge or double revenge for some teams…and tourneys are ripe for upsets.
Do YOU bet that way? Or, are you betting all the favorites because the lines seem so “cheap” on neutral courts? You will cash some tickets that way. And, some seasons, you might even win more than you lose. But, over the long haul, that’s a losing strategy in postseason tournaments, particularly when Dance “locks” are facing underdogs that are breathing fire.
Please tell us you’re not the type to lay huge money line prices on these big favorites. There are no unbeatable favorites! A big bettor in Vegas lost a fortune Tuesday assuming there was no way Gonzaga would lose. Too many small bettors lost money line parlays where they tagged Gonzaga with other favorites. Way to dig an early hole before the fun even begins!
JIM HURLEY mastered postseason handicapping long ago. He built his NETWORK of experts with challenges like this in mind. How can you find BIG, JUICY WINNERS on the fly in a fast-developing environment that has oddsmakers behind the eight ball? Here’s how we do it.
*Our SCOUTS AND SOURCES at each site let us know which favorites are too cocky and complacent, and which live dogs are best positioned to make a statement over three games in three days (or four in four). Many favorites telegraph their disinterest with body language very early in the process at team functions in the host city.
*Our STAT HANDICAPPERS know which weaknesses can be exploited by smart underdogs. There’s no “perfect” team in college basketball. Whenever a favorite is going to be flat, it usually gets kicked hard in its Achilles Heel. For some teams, that’s soft inside defense. For others, sloppy ballhandling. JIM HURLEY doesn’t just know who’s going to be flat, he knows how they’re going to get beat. That maximizes profit potential.
*Our TREND HISTORIANS have data from every conference tournament ever played (going back to when only the ACC had a tournament!). We know which situations are most likely to cause upsets. We know which seeding matchups are most vulnerable. We know which mistakes oddsmakers have historically made. This isn’t our first rodeo. Heck, we invented how to ride this bucking bronc.
*Our COMPUTER PROGRAMMERS have always had state-of-the-art simulation software (which are improved upon every season) to play out each matchup thousands of times. This helps us react quickly as tournaments are being played. We can “anticipate” likely scenarios round-by-round and plan accordingly. By the way, our program does factor in pace-based fatigue, which puts us way ahead of the market.
*Our WISE GUY CONNECTIONS in Las Vegas, New Jersey, and offshore let us know what the smart money is doing, and where dumb money from the public might give us an extra point or two. This particular angle by itself will make you big money over time. At NETWORK, it’s just part of our powerful arsenal.
More tournament upsets are on the way. We could have surprise winners in any of the major conferences. Even in the mid-majors…when #1 seeds weren’t locked into Dance bids…we’ve seen upsets galore. Nobody expected a Bradley/Northern Iowa final in the Missouri Valley. We had a #1 seed fall in the quarters of the Summit. March Madness is basketball bedlam!
Find out surprises before they happen by hooking up with JIM HURLEY’S NETWORK. You can purchase game-day gems right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions, please call us in the office during normal business hours at 1-888-777-4155. NETWORK has value-priced packages that take you through the NIT and NCAA Tournaments, or through the NBA Playoffs that finish in June. Major League action starts earlier than ever. Be sure you ask about early-bird baseball packages when you call.
Today’s games have already started as you read this. We’re right in the middle of one of the most exciting betting weeks of the calendar year. You won’t believe what’s going to happen between now and the Selection Show late Sunday afternoon.
Don’t be on the wrong side of all the big games. Don’t use LOSING strategies that over-value unmotivated favorites. Sign up with a PROVEN WINNER so you can bet the RIGHT dogs and favorites each and every session. College basketball history has made it very clear that you’re going to GET THE MONEY with JIM HURLEY’S NETWORK!