Vegas Sports Masters Blog
Back to Blog Home…

Submitted by Jim Hurley on Friday, February 1, 2019 at 12:00 AM

OUR SUPER BOWL LIII PREVIEW - IT'S PATRIOTS VS. RAMS IN SUNDAY SHOWDOWN SOME 17 YEARS TO THE DAY FROM THEIR FIRST SUPE MATCHUP

You can set your watch to it … every 17 years on this very date the New England Patriots and the Los Angeles Rams (formerly from St. Louis) square off in a Super Bowl showdown. Hey, if we're writing this in the year 2036 than we won't be kidding!

All we know now is when they close the curtain on this here-and-now 2018 NFL season with Super Bowl LIII on Sunday, Feb. 3rd, either the Patriots will be basking in the glow of a sixth championship in the last 18 years or the Rams will be the ones mentioned as the "next" dynasty team with a super-young head coach and a still-young team. History's calling … now who's gonna answer?
 

JIM HURLEY'S NETWORK ANNOUNCES
A SUPER BOWL CASH HOLIDAY!
Now through Super Bowl LIII on Sunday

Only the Fourth of July is more American than the Super Bowl! And that's why the Jim Hurley Network, the master of the American handicapping scene for the past 30 years is declaring this weekend a National Cash Holiday!

I want to tell you right now that my Network has the Super Bowl locked up! Our record the last 15 years is 22-8 in sides and totals - that's 73.3% in the biggest game of the year.

But I don't want just a one-day score and I'm not limited to football. I'm talking about four days of non-stop winning, where we start with basketball on Thursday night and take hoops right up to kickoff on Sunday night. We're on a roll right now, as our Blue Ribbon Service has won 8 of the last 11 and we intend to keep that going straight through this Super Bowl Cash Holiday.

SUPER BOWL SIDE & TOTAL -- Rams vs. Patriots (-2.5, 56.5) (6:30 ET, CBS)
It's time to cap off the Cash Holiday by winning the big one! Is it Belichick and Brady getting another ring, or Jared Goff and Sean McVay winning their first!
We know!

And we're looking strongly at the total and top props too! Get ready to count the money.
Click here and get our Super Bowl Cash Holiday with basketball going through the Super Bowl - all for just $50. Or play just the Super Bowl for $29. There's a lot of money out there both on the Super Bowl and before it, so make sure you get a piece of the action!

 

SUPER BOWL LIII PREVIEW

Sunday, February 3 - Mercedes-Benz Stadium, at Atlanta, GA

NEW ENGLAND (13-5) vs. LOS ANGELES RAMS (15-3) - 6:30 p.m. ET, CBS

Let's take a look at how this game's big "personalities" figure to write the final chapter to this NFL season:

There's the 2.5-point favored New England Patriots starring snarky QB Tom Brady and his "we're still here" annoying mantra and head coach Bill Belichick looking to mastermind a sixth Super Bowl title for the team that's loved by many … and hated by many, many more.

Then there's the Los Angeles Rams who've scored 30-or-more points on 13 different occasions this year while being guided by 33-year-old head coach Sean McVay and his giant playlist that usually includes a trick or "gadget play" somewhere along the way. Toss in lead-pipe cinch NFL Defensive Player of the Year DL Aaron Donald - a/k/a Mr. America from the look of those no-shirt selfies - and he's a guy that can wreck an enemy's game plan faster than you can say Maroon 5!

The fact of the matter is the larger-than-life "personalities" here figure to go a long, long way in determining who will be holding along the shiny Vince Lombardi Trophy right 'round 10 p.m. Eastern time but you better believe aforementioned Rams' HC McVay and D-lineman Donald have to be "stars" here plus the Rams need a 20-to-25 touch game from RB Todd Gurley - notably MIA in that 26-23 overtime win against New Orleans two weekends ago. Plus, the Rams need some step-to-the-front performances by QB Jared Goff (32 TDs in regular-season play and uber-gritty in that NFC Championship Game win in N'Orleans) and an LA secondary that must "take away" either WR Julian Edelman (74 regular-season grabs and a 16-catch post-season so far) and/or TE Rob Gronkowski (averaging 14.9 yards per grab in the playoffs).

Let's be clear … Brady's gonna "get his" in terms of completions, yards, etc. but if LA defensive coordinator Wade Phillips can silence either Edelman or Gronkowski, then Brady will have to be content to dump it down to versatile RB James White and hope he can break some tackles. Something tells us Phillips will concentrate his team's pass-rush efforts between the Patriots' guard-center-guard alignment a la what the New York Giants did to Brady back in the 2007 and 2011 Super Bowls.

Last year the famed "Philly Special" was the signature play of the Eagles' thrilling 41-33 Super Bowl 52 win against New England - the reverse pitch and then throw-back to the wide-open quarterback Nick Foles - and we won't be shocked here if the loosey-goosey McVay tries to catch the Pats' defense overplaying their hand with a couple of plays where either Goff is the receiver or maybe RB Gurley is the passer.

Hey, one successful trick play could well spell the difference when you consider that in Brady/Belichick's past eight Super Bowls the actual margin for victory has been 3, 3, 3, 3, 4, 4, 6 (in OT) and 8 points.

Spread Notes - New England is 11-7 ATS (against the spread) overall this year and that includes five-of-six pointspread covers when playing fellow playoff teams. The Patriots - who are an underwhelming 4-6 ATS away from Foxboro this season - are a composite 9-3 versus the vig in all post-season games while dating back to the AFC Divisional Round in 2014. On the flip side, the Los Angeles Rams are 9-7-2 against the odds this year and that includes a 3-5-1 ATS mark when squaring off with fellow playoff teams. Did you know the Rams ride a four-game spread winning streak into this bash and this franchise has not covered five games in a row for more than a decade?

Now, here's the team charts for both the 2018 Patriots and the Rams with all home teams in CAPS …

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

WEEK # OPP SPREAD RESULT
1HOUSTON- 6W 27-20
2at Jacksonville- 1.5L 20-31
3at Detroit- 7L 10-26
4MIAMI- 6.5W 38-7
5INDIANAPOLIS- 11W 38-24
6KANSAS CITY- 4L 43-40
7at Chicago- 2W 38-31
8at Buffalo- 14W 25-6
9GREEN BAY- 5W 31-17
10at Tennessee- 6.5L 10-34
11Bye Week  
12at NY Jets- 12.5W 27-13
13MINNESOTA- 6W 24-10
14at Miami- 9L 33-34
15at Pittsburgh- 2.5L 10-17
16BUFFALO- 14L 24-12
17NY JETS- 14W 38-3
DIVLA CHARGERS- 3.5W 41-28
AFCat Kansas City+ 3.5W 37-31 (ot)



DIV = Divisional Playoff Game
AFC = AFC Championship Game

 

LOS ANGELES RAMS

WEEK # OPP SPREAD RESULT
1at Oakland- 6.5W 33-13
2ARIZONA- 12W 34-0
3LA CHARGERS- 7W 35-23
4MINNESOTA- 7T 38-31
5at Seattle- 7.5L 33-31
6at Denver- 7L 23-20
7at San Francisco- 9W 39-10
8GREEN BAY- 7.5L 29-27
9at New Orleans- 2L 35-45
10SEATTLE- 9.5L 36-31
11KANSAS CITY- 3T 54-51
12Bye Week  
13at Detroit- 10W 30-16
14at Chicago- 3L 6-15
15PHILADELPHIA- 13.5L 23-30
16at Arizona- 14W 31-9
17SAN FRANCISCO- 10.5W 48-32
DIVDALLAS- 7.5W 30-22
NFCat New Orleans+ 3W 26-23 (ot)

DIV = Divisional Playoff Game
NFC = NFC Championship Game

NOTE: Get more Super Bowl LIII News/Notes in the next edition of Jim Sez.

Join the discussion

Login

Forgot password

Register
Keep me logged in
Ok