Submitted by Jim Hurley on Saturday, December 1, 2018 at 12:00 AM
SUNDAY'S NFL WEEK 13 KEY GAMES
Here's something you may want - or need - to know while heading into Sunday's sked of NFL Week 13 games:
Nearly half of the 14-game card features road betting favorites - all told, there's six road favs including Indianapolis (- 4) at Buffalo, Carolina (- 3) at Tampa Bay, Chicago (- 3.5) at the New York Giants, Denver (- 5.5) at Cincinnati, the Los Angeles Rams (- 10) at Detroit and Kansas City (- 14.5) at Oakland. And note that earlier in the week the Baltimore Ravens were the betting favorites in Atlanta but that game since has moved from Ravens minus a deuce to Falcons minus a point-and-a-half.
Just to note, last week there were four NFL road betting favorites and the week before there were only three road chalk-eaters. Overall, NFL Road Favorites - and we include the overseas games - are a composite 26-32-2 ATS (against the spread) for a rather shabby .448 winning percentage. Just sayin'!
We'll touch on a couple of the road favorites here in a minute in our Jim Sez NFL Week 13 Sunday Previews, but first this key reminder ...
Jim Hurley's Network of Handicappers and Bloggers are banging out lots of NFL Week 13 and College Football winners this weekend -- go ahead and get all the Football along with NCAA Basketball and NBA winners too when you call us at 1-800-323-4453 or get 'em online right here as we continue to bust the books each/every weekend!
On Sunday, it's ...
LOS ANGELES RAMS (10-1) at DETROIT (4-7) - 1 p.m. ET, Fox
Gotta believe the Rams received a major shot in the arm the other night when the New Orleans Saints (now 10-2) lost that prime-timer in Dallas - the Rams now (again) are sitting there atop the NFC seed chart and they zoom into this duel at Ford Field uber-fresh after having the last 13 days off following that rollicking 54-51 win/push against Kansas City. Okay, so it won't be any shocker if LA slinger Jared Goff (26 TDs / 6 INTs) gets the green light to gun it 50 times against a Motown defense that just lost to career backup Chase Daniel and the Chicago Bears. Hey, the Rams have been a TD-or-larger betting favorite on eight different occasions this year and they're only 3-4-1 vig-wise in these tilts.
Spread Note - The Rams are 1-5-2 spreadwise overall ever since that sparkling 3-and-oh spread start this year.
KANSAS CITY (9-2) at OAKLAND (2-9) - 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS
Hard to believe that TMZ had more video that the NFL geniuses couldn't come up with in the league's latest off-the-field incident: Chiefs RB Kareem Hunt (824 rushing yards this season) is gonesville - and good riddance to 'em - after that nasty violent video surfaced this past Friday. And how did that effect the pointspread? The Chiefs dropped a half-point from - 15 to - 14.5 ... hmmm.
Spread Note - Kansas City started out the year at 7-0 versus the vig but the Chiefs are just 1-2-1 ATS ever since.
MINNESOTA (6-4-1) at NEW ENGLAND (9-3) - 4:25 p.m. ET, Fox
No doubt the New England Patriots are "used" to landing first-weekend playoff byes - gotta go back to the 2009 season to find the last time the Pats had to play a wild card round post-season game (and they lost that one to the visiting Baltimore Ravens). So, there's major heat on Bill Belichick's crew to keep rockin' and rollin' here with a handful-or-so AFC teams with similar records to N'England here. Last weekend the Vikings' defense sacked Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers four times - similar heat on Tom Brady here could have folks thinking "upset alert".
Spread Note - New England is 33-14-2 ATS overall since the start of the 2016 campaign (a rousing .702 winning rate).
On Sunday Night, it's ...
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (8-3) at PITTSBURGH (7-3-1) - 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC
Under-the-lights football in the Steel City figures to be a real blast here: Just go by the numbers and you'll see that the visiting Chargers rank fifth in the league in total offense (averaging 402 yards per game) while the Steelers are one notch better while ranking fourth in total offense (averaging 420.8 ypg) ... so is this totals price of 51.5 points then "too low"? Note it opened at 52.5 points and note that Pittsburgh - on its own - scored 52 points the last time it played on its Heinz Field home field (see 52-21 over Carolina in Week 10 action).
Spread Note - Pittsburgh's 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games.
NOTE: Catch our Monday Night Football Preview - that's Washington at Philadelphia - in the next edition of Jim Sez.