Submitted by Jim Hurley on Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 12:00 AM
THE NFL WEEK 11 MENU - HERE'S WHAT LAS VEGAS "WANTS" YOU TO BET
PLUS, A COUPLE OF QUICK-HITTER PREVIEWS AS WE CHECK OUT TEXANS-'SKINS AND EAGLES AT SAINTS
Okay, so by now everyone's heard plenty about that three-week "run" where the books were the ones getting whacked by Joe Public - notice you didn't hear any whining from the desert last week, right?
But the fact of the matter is that based on many of the prices, there are sides (we're convinced) that Vegas "wants" you to bet ... here's a couple of examples as we zoom into Sunday's NFL Week 11 games:
DALLAS at ATLANTA (- 3.5) - No doubt the Cowboys put some major juice back into this here-and-now season with last Sunday Night's 27-20 upset win at 7.5-point favorite Philadelphia. So, now "America's Team" just might seem a more attractive bet for this road tilt and, as you see, in most locales you're also getting the "hook" or extra half-point. Obviously, the game must be played out but sure seems to us that Las Vegas "wants" you to wager on Dallas here while the current price tag tells us they rate these NFC teams dead-even ... it's generally 3.5 points for home-field advantage. Are the 'Boys the equal of this Falcons team? Hmmm.
MINNESOTA at CHICAGO (- 2.5) - The Sunday Night Football game (flexed in for Pittsburgh at Jacksonville) is a monster showdown at Soldier Field but don't you think price-wise that Las Vegas is selling the Bears a bit short? Consider that Chicago's won/covered its last three consecutive games and yet the number suggests - wait, it tells us - that the Vikings still have the higher power rating because they are less than a 3.5-point underdog. The opening number here was Bears minus 3 points and it stayed that way till late in the week when Minnesota money pushed it down to less than a field goal. Doesn't it seem Vegas wants Bears money now?
Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers banged out plenty of winners last week/weekend and now we're ready to roar with lots more gridiron goodies as NFL Week 11 rolls on ... and note there's College Football winners plus all the NBA and College Basketball too - call us at our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 or get the winners right here online and pile up the profits.
In other NFL Week 11 action, it's ...
HOUSTON (6-3) at WASHINGTON (6-3) - 1 p.m. ET, CBS
Believe it or not, this is the only Sunday afternoon game in which teams with winning records are colliding (see aforementioned Minnesota at Chicago at night) and it's a game that sports the second-lowest totals price: Texans at Redskins is at 42.5 (down from an opening line of 43) and second only to Oakland at Arizona and that 41-point totals price. If there is gonna be more points scored than projected, it's likely that defensive/special teams will have to "chip in". We will remind you that Houston has yielded just 15.2 points per game in its last five outings while Washington's held four of its last five foes to 17 points or less.
Spread Stat - Houston has failed to cover four of its last five games against NFC competition.
PHILADELPHIA (4-5) at NEW ORLEANS (8-1) - 4:25 p.m., Fox
Whoever would have guessed prior to the start of this 2018 season that the defending Super Bowl champion Eagles would be a TD-plus underdog ... to anyone! Doug Pederson's club opened as a 9-point road pup here and it's been shaved down to - 7.5 points and that, in itself, is a bit of a surprise considering how hot this Saints' team is ... that's seven consecutive SU (straight-up) and ATS (against the spread) victories and note New Orleans slinger Drew Brees zips into this game with 21 TDs and 1 INT. Expect the Saints' game plan here is to attempt a "flip the field" approach while challenging this shaky Eagles secondary - might be one of those 200-yard receiving games for WR Michael Thomas.
Spread Stat - The Saints are 27-15-1 versus the vig overall since the start of the 2016 season (a .643 winning rate).
NOTE: Catch our NFL Monday Night Football preview - the monster game between Kansas City at the Los Angeles Rams - in the very next edition of Jim Sez.