Submitted by Jim Hurley on Thursday, November 8, 2018 at 12:00 AM
NFL WEEK #11 IS HERE –
A PACKERS-SEAHAWKS QUICKIE PREVIEW …
CHECKIN’ OUT THE “SLEEPER GAMES”
ON NFL WEEK 11 & COLLEGE FOOTBALL …
PLUS, THIS WEEK’S HEISMAN TROPHY WATCH LIST
WITH OUR ODDS TO WIN THE SHINY TROPHY
Everyone knows the deal:
NFL fans from sea-to-shining-sea are itching to get at Monday Night’s showdown between the 9-and-1 Kansas City Chiefs at the 9-1 Los Angeles Rams (and thank goodness they won’t be playing on that shabby field in Mexico City!) and the fact of the matter that prime-time tilt is one of only three NFL Week 11 games that will pit teams with winning records against one another … and, no, this evening’s Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks bash isn’t one of ‘em!
In fact, neither of these perennial playoff teams have winning records as we head into NFL Week 11 play (see below) but it’s still must-win / must-watch stuff, if you ask us. We’ll get to our quickie Packers vs. Seahawks preview in a moment but first this key reminder:
Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers banged out plenty of winners last week/weekend and now we’re ready to roar with lots more gridiron goodies as NFL Week 11 starts tonight with Packers at Seahawks … and note there’s College Football winners every night this work week too. Plus, get all the NBA and College Basketball winners – call us at our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 or get the winners right here online at www.jimhurley.com and pile up the profits.
Tonight, it’s …
GREEN BAY (4-4-1) at SEATTLE (4-5) – 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network
Maybe it will come down to which mega-star quarterback will make the big play at crunch time: Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers (17 TDs and 1 INT) powered a pair of back-from-the-dead comeback wins this year (see Chicago and San Francisco) but otherwise this has been a painful season for the Packers who are on a long list of NFL “underachievers” here in 2018.
On the flip side, Seattle’s Russell Wilson (21 TDs / 5 INTs) has done everything in his power to keep the Seahawks in the hunt for a wild card berth – no catching the Rams in the NFC West, that’s for sure! – but Pete Carroll’s crew has lost four different one-score games and can’t ever make the big stop.
Seattle is a 2.5-point betting favorite at press time with a totals price of 48.5 points – and, in case you’re wondering, these teams have not met in Seattle since that memorable 2014 NFC Championship Game when the Seahawks surged back for a 29-22 win.
Spread Notes – Green Bay’s failed to cover eight of its last dozen games while dating back to late last season; Seattle, meanwhile, is just 4-7 ATS (against the spread) in its home games since the start of 2017.
In other NFL Week 11 News / Notes …
There’ll be lots to say about Chiefs-Rams in tomorrow’s Jim Sez, but right now let’s stick to a couple of “sleeper games” on the docket:
Tennessee (5-4) at Indianapolis (4-5) is a monster game inside the AFC South that these days has a whole different feel to it ever since Jacksonville got booted in the backside (see five straight Jaguars’ losses). Check out the Titans who are fresh off last week’s monumental 34-10 beatdown of the New England Patriots. Folks, Tennessee is riding its second three-game spread winning streak of the season right now while it’s safe to say Colts’ slinger Andrew Luck (26 TDs) is “back”. Spread Stat: Indianapolis is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 home games against Tennessee.
One other “sleeper game” here in NFL Week 11: Cincinnati (5-4) is at AFC North rival Baltimore (4-5) and the rumor mill is spinning with reports that the Ravens could axe 11th-year head coach John Harbaugh at season’s end (if not sooner!). Baltimore’s been winless since Oct. 14th and already has lost a previous head-to-head matchup with the Bengals this year (see 34-23 as 1-point road favs in Cincy back in Week 2). Spread Stat: Baltimore has failed to cover three-of-four divisional games this year after compiling a haughty 12-5-1 ATS mark in AFC North games from the start of 2015 thru the end of 2017.
On the college side, check out …
#23 Utah State (9-1) has become a major “public side” in the wagering world this year and the Aggies have crushed the books from the get-go: Last week Utah State was a 31-point betting favorite and cruised to a 62-24 win against San Jose State, thus making U-State 9-1 against the odds this year and now they’re a 28-point fav at Colorado State on Saturday. Note the opening price tag was Utah State minus 26 points, so the “Ags” are takin’ money again – and why not?
One last “sleeper game” to report on:
Stanford and Cal – old enemies for a gazillion years – enter their Saturday showdown in Berkeley with identical 6-4 SU (straight-up) records and the winner could get a clearly superior bowl. Just to let you know, the road teams have covered seven of the last 10 games in this series.
HEISMAN TROPHY WATCH LIST
Here’s how we see things in terms of the 84th annual Heisman Trophy:
TUA TAGOVAILOA, QB, Alabama – Gotta say that this Crimson Tide stud (bad knee and all) is now a 1-to-5 betting favorite to snag the trophy and it’ll be an absolute shock if he’s not holding the hardware aloft on the night of December 8th.
KYLER MURRAY, QB, Oklahoma – Let’s place this dual-threat star at no better than 6-to-1 odds although those prices could get “shorter” if gets to and wins the Big 12 Championship Game.
WILL GRIER, QB, West Virginia – Let’s put this Baker Mayfield-like slinger at 10-to-1 but he’s just about sealed up a seat at the front row in New York City, if you ask us. Again, he could tighten the prices with an appearance / win in next month’s Big 12 Championship tilt.
NOTE: Get our top College Previews from this coming weekend in tomorrow’s Jim Sez.