Submitted by Jim Hurley on Tuesday, November 6, 2018 at 12:00 AM
THE NFL REPORT:
WE CHECK OUT THE LEAGUE’S
PLUS ARE THE COWBOYS
ALREADY DEAD-AND-BURIED? …
COLLEGE BASKETBALL SEASON IS HERE –
WE OFFER UP OUR FINAL FOUR
(AND A SURPRISE NATIONAL CHAMP, TOO!)
Here’s a stat fact that just might floor you:
As we head into NFL Week 9 action this Thursday Night (see Carolina at Pittsburgh), NFL “Over” plays are now 66-67-1 ATS (against the spread) for a .496 winning rate.
But wait just a second …
Isn’t scoring “way up” in the NFL these days? It sure is as teams – on a whole – are averaging 24 points a game (naturally, that’s 48 points per game) and there are 14 teams averaging 24 ppg or more, so shouldn’t “over” players be cashing in big-time?
Nope, the Las Vegas oddsmakers – obviously – have adjusted their numbers knowing full well this league has become more offensive-minded than ever before and so “totals” players are sitting there right around the .500 mark as they almost always are (and have been) for many, many years.
Consider that last Sunday we had some truly bloated totals prices – Kansas City at Cleveland was 51.5 points (went over), Tampa Bay at Carolina was 56 points (went over), Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle was 49 points (went under), the Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints was 57.5 points (went way over) and Green Bay at New England was 57 points (went under).
Heck, that’s five games right there were the totals price was 49-or-more points and we remember the days when – seemingly – all the totals prices were 42.5-to-44 points, remember?
The bottom line is points have gone up, up, up but the “over” guys/gals are hardly swimming in greenbacks. See?
In other NFL Week 9 News / Notes …
We know what you’re saying, Dallas Cowboys fans: Thank goodness the NFC East isn’t very good.
The ‘Boys – fresh off Monday Night’s 28-14 home loss versus the 4.5-point underdog Tennessee Titans – are sitting there in third place in the division with a 3-5 SU (straight-up) record and yet that’s only two games back of the NFC East-leading (and injury-ravaged) Washington Redskins who are 5-3 SU following last Sunday’s loss to Atlanta. Hey, the Cowboys – for all their warts – are not dead-and-buried thanks in large part to a schedule that includes four more divisional games (home to Washington and Philadelphia; at Philadelphia and the New York Giants) but truth is if Dallas doesn’t gain at least a split in upcoming road tilts at Philly (this week) and at born-again Atlanta (Week 11) then you can put a pin in the Cowboys’ balloon once and for all.
Talk all you want about offensive inefficiency – note Dallas has scored 20 points or less in six games this year and rank a lowly 27th in the league in total offense – but take note the Cowboys have been involved in five “one-score” games and they’re a sickly 1-4 SU / 2-3 ATS in such contests. But win in Philly this Sunday – the ‘Boys are listed as 6.5-point pups right now – and everything changes.
So, put away the shovels for now.
Now hear this …
Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers are scalding hot after slamming the books the last couple of weekends – last Saturday’s College Football winners featured Illinois (+ 9.5) outright over Minnesota, Baylor (+ 5.5) outright over Oklahoma State and Florida Atlantic (+ 2) outright over Florida International plus we delivered upset victories in NFL Week 9 action with Atlanta (+ 1.5) crushing Washington and the Los Angeles Chargers (+1) besting Seattle. So, step right up and get all this week’s winning gridiron plays plus remember there’s College Football, NBA and College Basketball now – just call us at our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 or else get the winners right here online at www.jimhurley.com and keep on piling up all the big-time profits.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL IS BACK!
The 2018-19 college hoops season has arrived – folks are wondering if one of those “one-and-done” programs are gonna win it all next spring (Duke did so in 2015, Kentucky in 2012) -- and the knee-jerk reaction is we’ll see both the Blue Devils and Wildcats (who play each other this evening) in this year’s Final Four in Minnesota. Hey, the Dookies have the best freshman class in the land and veteran head coach Mike Krzyzewski has been known to mold young talent while the Kentucky ‘Cats have a few sophomores sprinkled into this year’s mix and something tells us head coach John Calipari will wind up with a standout defensive team that’s capable of 30-plus wins.
The other Final Four entries?
Ahh, nobody took it on the chin in last year’s NCAA Tournament quite like the Virginia Cavaliers who became the first-ever #1 seed to lose to a #16 seed (see UMBC) and so we’re tempted to say the Cavaliers will get to the promised land but gotta admit we don’t quite trust this limited offensive attack and so we won’t go with the Cavs but will go with in-state rival Virginia Tech. Hey, the Hokies could win the ACC this year behind still-underrated boss Buzz Williams (they start off the season ranked #15).
Finally, there’s always some team that throws a monkey wrench into things – last year Loyola-Chi and Sister Jean scooted all the way to the Final Four – and this year we’ll call on St. Bonaventure to make it to Minny (note the Bonnies are ranked #24 in one web-site poll).
Let’s have some fun and say the Final Four matchups will read like this …
Duke vs. St. Bonaventure; Kentucky vs. Virginia Tech … and V-Tech beats Duke in the NCAA Championship Game. You can thank us in April!
NOTE: Get College Football and NFL Week 10 previews later this week right here at Jim Sez.