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Submitted by Jim Hurley on Tuesday, October 30, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 

 

HOW THE FIRST COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF

POLL SHOULD LOOK TONIGHT …

NFL NEWS & NOTES:

THE PATRIOTS PROVE (AGAIN) THEY’RE

THE MOST CONSISTENT BEST BET OUT THERE

 

The first edition of this year’s College Football Playoff poll arrives tonight and there surely won’t be any shockers when it comes to the team sitting high atop the perch:

The Alabama Crimson Tide (8-0 overall, 5-0 in the SEC) are a slam-dunk to be numero uno now – and, if you want to know the truth – a basic slam-dunk to be sitting there at regular season’s end too.

There’s really been no debate some nine weeks into this here-and-now College Football season with a team that’s scored 45-or-more points in seven of its first eight games with the #2-ranked offense in the land – heck, all you really need to know about this club’s overall dominance in that ‘Bama is a two-touchdown betting favorite for this Saturday’s prime-time road game at LSU. ‘Nuff said.

Still, there’s plenty of intrigue elsewhere when we all get to eyeball this debut edition of the CFP poll and, in a moment, we will reveal how the Top 6 teams “should” look when they appear on ESPN this evening but first this quickie reminder …

 

Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers are hot-hot-hot after slamming the books last weekend and we’ll have all this week’s College Football Winners plus get all the NFL Week 9 games and the NBA too – just call us at our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 or else get the winners right here online at www.jimhurley.com and keep on piling up the profits. Keep in mind there are College Football Winners every night this week beginning with Miami-Ohio at Buffalo and Kent State at Bowling Green on this special Tuesday night menu.

 

Okay, so here’s how we see the College Football Playoff Poll’s Top 6 teams tonight …

1 – ALABAMA (8-0, 5-0 SEC) – The Tide’s copped five of the last nine national championships under taskmaster head coach Nick Saban and they’re the heavy-heavy duty favorite to win it all again this January where it’s likely Alabama will be a twin-figure betting favorite against any/all comers. Okay, so if you wish to say anything negative at all about this ‘Bama bunch it’s that they’ve hardly been challenged by a soft sked that’s included the likes of Louisville, Ole Miss, Arkansas and Tennessee – a quartet of teams that all could be on the outside looking in at bowls this winter.

 

2 – CLEMSON (8-0, 5-0 ACC) – For the record, this Tigers team has the best defensive line in football and may have a future Heisman Trophy winner in QB Trevor Lawrence but this Atlantic Coast Conference club has escaped close calls against Texas A&M and Syracuse (wins by 2 and 4 points, respectively) and could get challenged at Boston College on Nov. 10th and then in the ACC Championship Game. Still, Dabo Swinney’s squad ranks in the top 10 nationally in offense (8th) and defense (3rd) and are head-and-shoulder pads better than anyone out there not named Alabama.

 

3 – NOTRE DAME (8-0) – The last of the major unbeatens does own wins against Michigan, Stanford and Virginia Tech and note Brian Kelly’s club “changed jockeys” midway through this race while benching QB Brandon Wimbush and inserting Ian Book … maybe the best single coaching move in the land this year! If the ND Fighting Irish can step up its rush defense (allowing 147 yards per game / 53rd in the country), then this could be a 12-and-oh year while heading into the playoffs.

 

4 – UCF (7-0, 4-0 AAC) – Better believe the undersold Knights deserve a “place at the playoff table” as things stand now: Hey, Central Florida’s covered five of these seven SU (straight-up) wins including a 31-point point win against power conference side Pittsburgh and they’ll enter Thursday night’s home game against Temple with a resounding 20-game winning streak.

 

5 – MICHIGAN (7-1, 5-0 Big 10) – Again, the lone loss for this Wolverines club occurred Labor Day Weekend at Notre Dame and so Jim Harbaugh’s club has ripped off seven successive wins (while going 5-2 against the odds in these games) and the numbers don’t lie … this is the best defensive team in the country.

 

6 – GEORGIA (7-1, 5-1 SEC) – We know, we know. The Georgia Dawgs lost by 20 points at LSU a couple of weeks ago but we decided to leapfrog ‘em past the Bayou Bengals here thanks in large part to non-home wins against South Carolina, Missouri and Florida. So – for now – call this Georgia by a smidge over LSU.

 

NFL NOTEBOOK

The New England Patriots are a dynasty – five Super Bowl crowns since 2001 and they might not be finished just yet.

But what gets us to writing about the Pats today is this: They’re ultra-consistent winners in the betting world with the last notch coming in Monday’s 25-6 “front-door” cover at 14-point underdog Buffalo. Sure, there were plenty of New England drives that didn’t result in touchdowns – QB Tom Brady was able to joke about that after the win in western New York – but look deep at the Patriots’ pointspread history and here’s what they have done the past 10-plus seasons alone when it comes to the almighty Las Vegas prices:

 

YEAR                       ATS RECORD

2018                       5-3-0

2017                       11-7-1

2016                       15-3-1

2015                       8-8-2

2014                       11-8-0

2013                       9-9-0

2012                       10-8-0

2011                       10-9-0

2010                       10-6-1

2009                       9-8-0

2008                       9-7-0

 

Go ahead and check it out: The Patriots are a collective 107-76-5 ATS (against the spread) for the past decade-plus and that’s been good for a .585 winning percentage and there’s not one single/solitary losing year in there spreadwise dating back to 2008. Okay, a couple of .500 seasons where you lose some vig but amazing to see a team that’s consistently favored (and often by heavy-duty prices) and still wins at nearly 60 percent of the time.

 

 

NOTE: Get our NFL Week 9 and College Football Previews plus Heisman Trophy stuff too in the coming editions of Jim Sez.

 

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