Submitted by Jim Hurley on Friday, September 21, 2018 at 12:00 AM
THE JIM SEZ WEEKEND UPDATE - BROWNS KICK OFF NFL WEEK 3 WITH A COME-FROM-BEHIND PRIME-TIME WIN (YES, A BROWNS WIN, WE SAID!) ...
COLLEGE FOOTBALL'S OUTSIDE-THE-TOP-25 KEY MATCHUPS
Score one for the Cleveland Browns ... and those Las Vegas numbers-crunchers that listed the Brownies as 3-point betting favorites prior to last night's come-from-behind 21-17 victory over the stumbling/bumbling New York Jets.
If we told y'all during the week just how many folks told us the "wrong team was favored" then we'd be living in the French Alps but the fact is the Jets - playing a third game in 11 days - did wear down after halftime plus it didn't help the NYJ cause that their rookie QB Sam Darnold didn't play with the same poise as did Cleveland's rookie QB Baker Mayfield who came off the bench and lit a spark (see 201 yards passing / no INTs). And guess we know what Cleveland's quarterbacking future is from here on out, eh?
The bottom line is the Jets turned the ball over three times, committed some hellacious penalties and didn't really show great clock management late in the game and thus the bottom fell out of the Jets' upset hopes ... if you're keeping track now NFL Betting Favorites are 13-18-1 ATS (against the spread) with one Pick 'Em affair in this still-young NFL season.
Interesting to see that the Browns now have been betting favs twice in the Hue Jackson Era that started back in 2016 - and Cleveland won't be the only NFL Week 3 betting fav that had entered play without a win as the Houston Texans (- 6 against the New York Giants this Sunday), the Seattle Seahawks (a 1.5-point favorite over Dallas) and come Monday Night the Pittsburgh Steelers (- 1.5) right now all figure to be chalk sides though they are all winless thus far.
Jim Hurley had the Browns (-3) and just missed the OVER 39 as the game landed on 38. We will be banging out lots of winners this weekend with 2 College Football winners on Friday, Some big College Dogs on Saturday, NFL Week 3 and Major-League Baseball and so go ahead and call us at 1-800-323-4453 or get the winners right here online - just keep on cashin' all month long!
THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL NON-TOP 25 KEY MATCHUPS
Hey, we - and the mass media, in general - are always showin' lots of love to the Top 25 matchups out there but let's take a few moments here to examine three key showdowns on Saturday with special Spread Notes included:
KANSAS (2-1) at BAYLOR (2-1) - 3:30 p.m. ET, FS1
Don't be fooled by the fact both of these Big 12 teams sport winning SU (straight-up) records as we head into this first-weekend-of-autumn battle in Waco: Truth is, Kansas - a 7.5-point pup here -- is trying to win a third straight game for the first time since the 2009 season while the Baylor Bears have yet to cover a single spread so far (0-2-1 against the odd) and that includes last week's never-in-doubt 40-27 loss to Duke. Here's our Spread Note for this clash ... Kansas is 10-17-2 ATS in conference play since late in the 2014 campaign. Your move!
NORTHERN ILLINOIS (1-2) at FLORIDA STATE (1-2) - 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU
Hey, no kidding that the Florida State Seminoles - who started off the season #19 in the land - is long gone out of the current Top 25 following that lifeless 30-7 loss at Syracuse last weekend. Don't look now but the 'Noles are 0-for-3 against the odds this year and a really rotten 3-11-1 versus the vig while dating back to the start of last season. Can they be trusted here as 10-point home favorites? They can if QB Deondre Francois gets some much-needed time to chuck it but this O-line has been awful.
FLORIDA (2-1) at TENNESSEE (2-1) - 7 p.m. ET, ESPN
Hard to imagine that a Gators vs. Vols showdown is devoid of a Top 25 team but that's the case and here Florida looks to keep beating the drum (see nine straight-up wins in last 10 showdowns) and did you happen to know that Florida is 5-3-2 ATS in its last 10 games against Tennessee? Oddsmakers have Florida a 4.5-point road betting fav here even though QB Felipe Franks has run hot-and-cold (don't be fooled by his 9-to-2 TD/INT ratio, folks) and remember the Gators rank a lowly 93rd nationally in total offense. Key Spread Note with the Vols: They failed to cover seven-of-eight SEC games a year ago.
NOTE: There's NFL Week 3 previews in the next edition of Jim Sez.