Submitted by Jim Hurley on Thursday, September 6, 2018 at 12:00 AM
THE NFL IS BAAAACK!
FALCONS VS. EAGLES KICKS OFF
THE 2018 CAMPAIGN TONIGHT
PLUS, WE HAVE THE SUPER BOWL 53
WIN IT ALL ODDS TOO! …
THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT
Allow us to turn back the calendar pages for a moment:
Last year on the eve of the 2017 National Football League season, the Philadelphia Eagles were listed at + 3600 to win the Super Bowl:
In other words, if you risked $100 on Philly, you won $3,600 and let us remind y’all that half the league – that’s 16 teams in all – had shorter win-it-all prices in Las Vegas than did those Eagles.
Get to the here-and-now and the Eagles are + 1100 to win it all (see whole chart below) – but the defending champs are just a mere 1-point betting favorite for tonight’s Week 1 opener against the visiting Atlanta Falcons. Hmmm.
No doubt the Falcons have been the “hot side” here as Philadelphia actually opened a while back as solid 4-point betting favorites but the number’s kept coming down in recent days and we won’t be shocked if this prime-time tilt goes off at Pick ‘Em or even Falcons minus a point.
No question all the quarterback-related storylines here – yes, Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles will start for the Eagles and rehabbing Carson Wentz will watch – has played into this line move but better believe some of the pro-Falcons action has been because this is an offense that has mucho weapons and the feeling is second-year offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian will be a better play-caller / administrator this time around.
We shall see.
Our Falcons-Eagles preview comes your way in today’s Jim Sez in just a moment but first this important reminder …
Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers plan on piling up loads of profits this NFL 2018 season beginning with tonight’s game from Philly – cash in on both the Sides & Totals plays here – and we remind you to get all the NFL Week 1, the weekend’s College Football starting with Friday’s TCU at SMU showdown and the daily Major-League Baseball winners too here at www.jimhurley.com or else our exclusive toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453. Last week Jim dominated the college gridiron scene with big prime-time winners on Northwestern and Virginia Tech plus there were outright, double-digit dog winners Cincinnati and BYU too. So, what are you waiting for? Climb aboard the bandwagon right at the start of this ride … and win, win, win!
Tonight, it’s …
ATLANTA at PHILADELPHIA – 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC
Hey, who needs “Rocky”?
The City of Brotherly Love is home to the NFL’s Super Bowl champions and you were never – ever – able to say that the past half-century and now everyone’s wondering if we’re gonna finally get a repeat … none in this NFL since the 2003-04 New England Patriots, but then you knew that already!
What else you know is that the Eagles are not at “full strength” here with QB Carson Wentz still sitting it out after last year’s season-ending knee injury but nothing like a SB MVP to fill in the void. If Nick Foles and Company are gonna get off on the right foot here, then some time-consuming drives would help: You might remember that in last year’s NFC Divisional Playoff round the then-2.5-point home dog Eagles sported three different 12-play-or-longer drives.
Conversely, the Falcons – who were 15-10 losers in that aforementioned playoff tilt last January – will be eyeballing some deep throws by QB Matt Ryan to WRs Julio Jones and rookie Calvin Ridley (Alabama) and then you can look for Ryan to “check down” for shorter stuff and something tells us TE Austin Hooper is gonna be a big fantasy guy here.
The X-factor, you ask?
Let’s see if the Philadelphia ground game can gut the middle of the Atlanta defensive front – tell us right now that RBs Corey Clement / Jay Ajayi are gonna go for more than a buck-and-a-quarter combined and we’ll tell you the defending champs will get out of the starting gate real fast.
Spread Notes – Philadelphia has covered 16 of their last 22 overall pointspread verdicts (a .727 winning rate) and note the Eagles are an electric 13-5 ATS (against the spread) as hosts since the very start of the 2016 campaign. On the flip side, Atlanta is coming off a shaky 3-7 ATS road season and overall the Falcons are also 3-7 versus the vig in their last 10 road openers.
NFL ODDS TO WIN IT ALL – SUPER BOWL LIII
(Note all figures below are based on $100 per-play wagers)
TEAM ODDS TO WIN IT ALL
Arizona + 10000
Atlanta + 1400
Baltimore + 3000
Buffalo + 30000
Carolina + 3000
Chicago + 6000
Cincinnati + 8000
Cleveland + 8000
Dallas + 3000
Denver + 4000
Detroit + 5000
Green Bay + 1200
Houston + 1200
Indianapolis + 5000
Jacksonville + 1400
Kansas City + 3000
Los Angeles Chargers + 1200
Los Angeles Rams + 900
Miami + 8000
Minnesota + 1000
New England + 600
New Orleans + 1400
New York Giants + 3000
New York Jets + 20000
Oakland + 4000
Philadelphia + 1400
Pittsburgh + 1000
San Francisco + 3000
Seattle + 6000
Tampa Bay + 30000
Washington + 10000
THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT
There’s a pair of Top 25 head-to-head matchups on this weekend’s college gridiron card – that’s #3 Georgia at #24 South Carolina and #17 USC at #10 Stanford – and we’ll have plenty to say about those games in tomorrow’s Jim Sez – but let’s get you a couple of quick-hitter one-liners on Saturday games involving other Top 25 squads:
#18 MISS STATE (1-0) at KANSAS STATE (1-0) – 12 p.m. ET, ESPN
The Miss State Bulldogs are laying 9.5 points on the road and they’ll have QB Nick Fitzgerald (one-game suspension) back here – the Dawgs have covered four of their last five non-SEC games.
RUTGERS (1-0) at #4 OHIO STATE (1-0) – 3:30 p.m. ET, Big 10 Network
One thing you gotta know about the O-State Buckeyes – a 35.5-point favorite here -- is they are a rock-solid 10-5 ATS as twin-digit betting favorites since midway of the 2016 season.
NOTE: Get all the College Football weekend previews – and much more – in the next Jim Sez.