Submitted by Wayne Root on Friday, January 26, 2018 at 6:00 PM
Earlier this week we had a multi-day stretch where underdogs covered EVERY game in the NBA. You don't see something that extreme very often. But, it was a reminder that pro basketball can be a fertile hunting ground for dog bettors. Some days you can't lose!
What factors help handicappers like THE KING OF UNDERDOGS WAYNE ALLYN ROOT find the best puppies?
*Many good teams coast. The mindset, these days, across much of the league is that the playoffs matter more than the regular season. Good teams want to pace themselves so they're not exhausted once it's time to battle for a championship. They also want to be healthy. So, star players get a lot more rest in the current era than they did in the past. Try covering tall point spreads at three-quarter speed with your bench getting a lot of minutes! The single greatest advantage dog loves have in the NBA right now is that so many favorites have no interest in going all out on any given night.
*Many lesser teams have individual stars who can get hot. Even if teams are in "tank mode," which has been less of an issue this season than in the recent past, they are still capable of having one guy get hot enough to cover a spread. A dog of +10 will only lose by five or six. A dog of +4 to +6 might lose at the buzzer. While it's true that there are a lot of "have's" and "have-not's" at the team level. There's so much individual talent than one key player can drive underdog covers. Find those impact players and monitor their health.
*We're seeing a lot of mid-level teams this season who will show up in live home dog situations and try to win outright when a top team comes to visit. Sometimes they get there. Sometimes they miss straight up but get the money anyway. That top effort will cash unless there's a late collapse that gives the favorite a lucky cover. These aren't 100% situations, but maybe 70/30...which will get the job done for you.
And, frankly, it must be said that some of the great underdog value this season has come because TWO teams in particular, the Cleveland Cavaliers and Oklahoma City Thunder, have been overpriced because they haven't melded new talent very effectively.
Cleveland is on one of the worst ATS runs we've seen in a while. It's lasted weeks! The Cavs have only covered three home games all season...and they're always a home favorite unless Golden State visits. Recently, they've also fallen apart on the road. Hard to find a more profitable investment than fading an overpriced "public" team that plays horrible defense. That's true in all sports. The past several weeks of Cavaliers basketball has been a gold mine. Did you notice?
Oklahoma City has been burning money in certain prize ranges. As medium or large favorites against weaker opposition, the Thunder don't share the ball very well and are prone to defensive lapses. Now...put them on the court vs. somebody who MATTERS, and it's the Thunder who become the smart dog bet. Russell Westbrook is a wild bull, and the other big-name players want to show well vs. quality. If the team is laying 10 points at home vs. a nobody, OCC will have to sweat the fourth quarter just to win straight up.
Many of the factors I've discussed today are going to be in play for the rest of the season. Though, there could be some delayed "tanking" after the All-Star Break from the worst teams who have no shot at the playoffs. Don't bet on them! As long as you're charting results each night, you'll be able to see which teams (and individual impact players) bring the most effort as underdogs...and which favorites aren't going to cover big point spreads because they're saving themselves for playoff challenges.
I know many of you are big fans of college basketball. The approach of March Madness is starting to lure you back to the betting windows. Don't ignore pro hoops just because the most important games aren't until April. THINK LIKE AN INVESTOR! You're trying to make money. My ROOT TRUST is designed to find the best investments wherever they might be.
If you'd like some help finding the best investments this weekend as you keep building your bankroll for the Super Bowl, you can purchase my top selections right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions about which of my services best suits your individual needs, please talk to one of my representatives in the office at 1-877-ROOT-WINS. Be sure to check on long term packages that run through the NCAA Finals or the NBA Playoffs and offer the most bang for your buck.
I'm the only man in the sports betting industry with a star on the "Walk of Fame" here in Las Vegas. That's because I'm a moneymaker. This is a town where you only find success if you put fannies in the seats as an entertainer, or you make money for your clients as a businessman. NBA underdogs represent prime real estate in the betting landscape! If you're not taking advantage of every opportunity available to you, it's time for YOU to go to W.A.R. alongside WAYNE ALLYN ROOT!