Submitted by Jim Hurley on Monday, January 22, 2018 at 12:00 PM
Yes, the biggest name in sports handicapping...the man who went a perfect 4-0 over Wildcard Weekend...and then 4-1-1 in the divisional round...swept the board 3-0 on Championship Sunday to bring his NFL Playoff record to a stunning 11-1-1! You know we're talking about PROVEN WINNER JIM HURLEY!
Here's a quick recap from a rampage that made NETWORK clients a fortune in less than a month.
WILDCARD WEEKEND (4-0)
Tennessee (+) beat Kansas City outright
Atlanta (+) beat the Los Angeles Rams outright
Buffalo (+) covered in a close loss at Jacksonville
Carolina (+) covered in a close loss at New Orleans
The tone was set early for the 2018 playoffs, with underdogs cashing all four tickets. The favorites were overrated...the public kept betting the favorites anyway...and JIM HURLEY positioned his customers to exploit very vulnerable numbers.
DIVISIONAL ROUND (4-1-1)
Philadelphia (+) beat Atlanta outright
Philadelphia/Atlanta Under (never in doubt)
Tennessee/New England Over
Jacksonville (+) beat Pittsburgh outright
Minnesota (-) pushed vs. New Orleans
Minnesota/New Orleans Under (hard luck loser)
We talked about this a week ago at this time. The only loser was the Under in Saints/Vikings the blew up late with a flurry of points. It was only 17-0 at halftime. But what we learned from that second half defensive collapse for Minnesota helped set up a big winner on the Eagles in the NFC title tilt.
CHAMPIONSHIP SUNDAY (3-0)
Jacksonville (+) covered at New England (should have won outright)
Jacksonville/New England Under (right side winner)
Philadelphia (+) obliterated Minnesota (covered by 34 points!)
You can see that JIM HURLEY kept riding value teams who were mis-priced as underdogs. NETWORK released Jacksonville over both Pittsburgh and New England...getting around a touchdown when those games were much closer to true pick-ems. Philadelphia was an outright winner over both Atlanta and Minnesota...winning scoreboard and stats in both games despite getting a field goal on its home field.
Those may have been the two most badly priced teams in recent NFL postseason betting! Both the Jags and Eagles were about a TOUCHDOWN better than the market was giving the credit for. Even in the computer age...even in the social media age...even in the age where the market is supposed to be so smart that edges don't exist any more...mistakes THAT big can happen. And, JIM HURLEY'S exclusive TEAM HANDICAPPING approach is the best way to find those mistakes.
Public teams are overpriced
Famous quarterbacks are overpriced
Elite defenses are underpriced
Balanced teams are underpriced
And, in an extreme example this season, FAVORITES can still be overpriced by so much that underdogs can almost run the table in an NFL preseason. The only chalk to get the money was the Patriots over the Titans in the divisional round, and that was Tom Brady embarrassing a team that wasn't Power-Rated as "playoff caliber" in the first place.
That brings us to Philadelphia vs. New England in the Super Bowl, which will be played indoors at the relatively new stadium in Minnesota. We have plenty of time to study all the angles. Here in the NOTEBOOK, we'll save our handicapping analysis until the Friday before the big game. For now, here are some early thoughts direct from JIM HURLEY.
*Philadelphia is for real as a championship threat because their offensive schematics are very tough to defend in good conditions. Nick Foles debuted in unfriendly weather. This past Sunday was mild in Philadelphia with no wind, and he put on quite a show. Indoors in the Super Bowl, he will be well-situated to run the offense efficiently and effectively. The only problem will be NERVES, as Foles has two weeks to think about the magnitude of the moment.
*New England is certainly capable of winning big. This dynasty is as experienced under big game pressure as it gets. And, the injured stars badly need the two-week preparation window to get healthy. Of course, Tom Brady is also great in good scoring conditions! What's been hidden too much from the media this season is that New England's defense is also a key factor in covering spreads. When they get stops or force turnovers, the Patriots are a big money team for bettors.
You see in the pick rundowns that JIM HURLEY is a perfect 3-0 on team sides and 3-0 on totals in playoff games involving these teams. He won outright twice with the Eagles. His reads on the Patriots offense were correct in a pair of total victories. For now, it's shaping up like this.
*New England (-) will be the pick if it looks like Nick Foles is about to fold under pressure. We know Brady won't fold! This almost HAS to be a quarterback mismatch for the opening line to make any sense.
*Philadelphia (+) will be the pick if Foles is showing confidence through the build-up bedlam, or if it looks like Brady or Rob Gronskowski won't be fully back to 100% effectiveness.
*The Over will be a totals pick if both offenses are in good shape. We're talking about teams that just combined for 62 points outdoors against the elite defenses of Jacksonville and Minnesota!
*The Under will get some thought if the Over/Under rises into the low 50's, or if there's any sign that either offense is showing signs of stress (nerves for Foles, health for the Pats).
More on that soon. In the meantime, NETWORK will keep attacking college basketball and the NBA with a nightly fervor. You can purchase BEST BETS right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions, call us in the office at 1-800-323-4453 during normal business hours.
Congratulations to all of you who won with us. Particular thanks to you longtime clients who have been with us for years. You've certainly learned first hand...WHEN CHAMPIONSHIPS ARE ON THE LINE, YOU NEED WORLD CHAMPION HANDICAPPER JIM HURLEY!