Submitted by Jim Hurley on Monday, January 15, 2018 at 9:00 AM
Network Notebook: Hurley Now 8-1-1 in NFL Playoffs
JIM HURLEY NOW 8-1 IN 2018 NFL PLAYOFFS AFTER ANOTHER HUGE WEEKEND
The man who went a perfect 4-0 over Wildcard Weekend came back with a stunning 4-1-1 performance against the spread over a very exiting divisional round. Let''s quickly review the hottest start IN THE INDUSTRY from PROVEN WINNER and industry legend JIM HURLEY.
WILDCARD WEEKEND (4-0)
Tennessee (+) beat Kansas City outright
Atlanta (+) beat the Los Angeles Rams outright
Buffalo (+) covered in a close loss at Jacksonville
Carolina (+) covered in a close loss at New Orleans
You''ll recall that all four of those had a chance to spring upsets, with Tennessee and Atlanta both finishing off their shockers. Many wondered if NETWORK would go back to the well with Tennessee and Atlanta. He did that with neither! In fact, he faded Atlanta''s offense two ways in a much more difficult scoring environment, and knew that Tennessee''s defense would be outmatched by Tom Brady.
DIVISIONAL ROUND (4-1-1)
Philadelphia (+) beat Atlanta outright
Philadelphia/Atlanta Under (never in doubt)
Tennessee/New England Over
Jacksonville (+) beat Pittsburgh outright
Minnesota (-) pushed vs. New Orleans
Minnesota/New Orleans (hard luck loser)
That''s both a side and total winner against Atlanta with the Eagles and Under. Our computer simulations showed the wrong team was favored. When we factored swirling winds into the mix, it really limited Atlanta''s scoring potential because they were already so inconsistent under offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian. It''s one thing to ask them to hang tough as a dog in Los Angeles. They shouldn''t have been the FAVORITE in Philadelphia! And, the Over/Under should have been a touchdown lower.
Tennessee''s defense was due to run out of gas after playing so hard the prior few weeks. JIM HURLEY isn''t the type to lay 14 points in an NFL game except under very unique circumstances. He faded Tennessee''s defense by playing the Over and winning.
Jacksonville joined the list of big upsets with that great performance at Pittsburgh. If Leonard Fournette hadn''t been injured in the second quarter, it might have been a double digit outright winner and a 2-3 touchdown cover. As it was, the Jags converted 57% of their third down tries and rushed for 164 yards without turning the ball over a single time.
The Vikings disappointed us in the second half against New Orleans. A Minnesota and Under tandem was looking very good at halftime with a 17-0 lead. Ultimately, we go 0-1-1 with a push on Minnesota -5 in the weekend finale. Without that last second TD, it''s 1-1, and a 90% start to the playoffs.
We''ll talk more about the championship matchups at the end of the week. You regulars know we can''t post official selections here in the HANDICAPPING NOTEBOOK. That wouldn''t be fair to paying customers. But, we''ll either go in-depth in one of the two games, our outline handicapping keys in both.
For now, we can tell you that the full NETWORK team is focused on answering these key questions in the coming days.
*How healthy will Leonard Fournette be in Foxboro on Sunday? Jacksonville was outscored 28-17 in the second half when he was unable to do anything but run slowly up the middle. If he''s not fully recovered, the whole game is going to look like that! But, if he is, we just might be making another upset call based on our computer simulations. Jacksonville, at full strength, is the prototype team for disrupting the Belichick/Brady approach.
*How "for real" is this recent great defensive play from the Patriots? They were awful early in the season. But, opponents have had trouble getting past 17 points on them the past few months. Tennessee needed garbage time to make it past one touchdown. With a "defensive struggle" surprise the markets on the Over/Under?
*What are the true expectations for Minnesota quarterback Case Keenum on the road? Frankly, he was about to be the goat late Sunday until that miracle finish. If he can''t hold onto a 17-0 lead on a great home field, should he be favored on the road?
*Can Philadelphia figure out how to get into the end zone more than one time? Long drives for field goals might be enough to beat a Wildcard visitor. It''s definitely not enough to beat the favorite to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl.
*And, of course, what''s the weather going to be like in both stadiums?! It was very cold AND very windy at those sites this past Saturday. Will the market properly adjust it''s side and total expectations based on any changes?
In the meantime, we''ll be attacking college basketball and the NBA with a nightly fervor. You can purchase BEST BETS right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions, call us in the office at 1-800-323-4453 during normal business hours. Be sure you ask about combination packages that take you through the NFL Super Bowl or March Madness.
Thanks to all of you who have been winning with us so far. If you missed out, get on board now! We''ve been saying it all monthâ¦and we''ve been saying it for years right here at this very website. WHEN CHAMPIONSHIPS ARE ON THE LINE, YOU NEED WORLD CHAMPION HANDICAPPER JIM HURLEY!