Submitted by Winning Edge on Friday, September 8, 2017 at 7:00 AM
Another new NFL season is upon us, which means it’s time to refresh your memory about the keys to finding SHOCKERS and other great underdog bets in the first week of an NFL season. You longtime readers know I can’t post official selections here in my web articles. That wouldn’t be fair to paying clients. But, I’m happy to outline the general strategies I use when making “outright upset” calls early in a new pro football season.
The first, and most important thing to remember is that the pointspreads are largely based on what everyone remembers from LAST YEAR rather than what’s likely to happen THIS YEAR. This opens the door for some great bets against lines that are going to look foolish in a month’s time. Again, I can’t get very specific. But, there are definitely some short underdogs this week who should be favored in their games. And, there are definitely some short favorites who should be laying something closer to a TD than this week’s spread. This will be obvious to everyone in mid-October. It’s obvious to me NOW!
So, if YOU want to be like THE KING OF LAS VEGAS, you’ll stop thinking about last year’s final standings so you can focus on what’s new and different about 2017. Which highly regarded teams from last season caught way too many breaks, and are likely to fall back to earth? Which lowly regarded teams were actually about .500 caliber last year and are due for some good luck? Which teams had young talent that’s likely to get better as they climb the learning curve? Which old teams are about to break down? Do THAT work, and many upsets will jump off the page at you. There will be big differences between the 2016 standings and those in 2017.
Secondly, look at the specific offense vs. defense matchups. I’ve always emphasized to you the importance of backing underdogs who can score points! Outright upsets don’t come from “defensive dogs” who stay close then fall apart in the final minutes. They come from teams who can either put up a big lead early, or drive the field late for a last minute winning TD. Evaluate the offensive skill sets of all of this week’s underdogs…and how those match up against the opposing defense. Again…some great possibilities will jump off the page. Pay particular attention to underdog quarterbacks who can connect deep for big play TD’s. You won’t see me making any upset calls with “dink and dunk” quarterbacks.
Thirdly, and finally, don’t be afraid to back teams that nobody’s giving much of a chance to. You’re already getting free points in the line because the public loves betting against “lost causes” or “bumbling quarterbacks.” Now, I’m not going to suggest that the NY Jets (from my old stomping grounds) or the Cleveland Browns are about to make a run at the playoffs. But, those teams just have to be a little better than expected to cover spreads. And, as long as they’re giving peak effort, they ARE capable of scoring upsets against opponents who take them too lightly, or get caught looking ahead to a big game the following week.
I used to call these “don’t make sense” plays back in the day. People would tell me it was crazy to put your money on a horrible team. Well, plays that “don’t make sense” to bad bettors are smart bets! That’s always been true.
I don’t have to list who all the projected disasters are going to be. You can write down that list yourself. Just study all the teams the public HATES to see if you can find some reasons to take some shots on them. Maybe this isn’t the week quite yet (no hints from WAYNE ALLYN ROOT!). But, it’s not like ALL of them are going to be 0-4 a month from now. Particularly if they run into overrated teams that got overly lucky last season.
I’m confident this is going to be a great start to a historic season for the only man in the sports betting industry that has a star on the “Walk of Fame” in Las Vegas. Not only have I mapped out this weekend…but I’ve got PINNACLE possibilities circled every week for the first month already.
You can purchase all the smart investments in THE ROOT TRUST right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions about which of my services best suits your individual needs, please talk to one of my representatives in the Vegas-Sports-Masters office at 1-888-777-4155. Don’t forget that I’ve got great combination packages that feature both football and baseball from now through the World Series. Oddsmakers really take their eyes off the ball in that sport once football starts. More money for us!
You’ve been waiting all summer for the NFL to arrive. It’s finally here. Don’t ruin YOUR season by making dumb bets that might have worked last season but have no chance in 2017. It’s time to think about the FUTURE in more ways than one. That means it’s time for you to go to W.A.R. alongside WAYNE ALLYN ROOT!