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Submitted by Jim Hurley on Monday, August 21, 2017 at 5:00 PM

It’s very easy for handicappers to take the second week of the NFL Preseason “off” in terms of real analysis. After Week One, you watched every game either live or on replay. You scoured the boxscores. You missed football so much all summer you couldn’t wait to dig in! In Week Two? You just watched the scoreboard update while you rooted for your bets. Mistake!

This week in particular, you really needed to be paying close attention. Some offenses made statements about regular season readiness, even if they didn’t light up the scoreboard with 38-45 points. Other teams created the illusion of offense thanks to easy points from turnovers or special teams. And, there’s a whole list of struggling teams who were waving red flags about possible issues to start the season.

Let’s start with the highlights…

 

NFL BEST OFFENSIVE PERFORMANCES

Baltimore: 31 points, 382 yards, 5.1 yards-per-play, 53% on third downs

Seattle: 20 points, 406 yards, 6.0 yards-per-play, 53% on third downs

Kansas City: 30 points, 410 yards, 6.4 yards-per-play, 50% on third downs

Dallas: 24 points, 476 yards, 6.7 yards-per-play, 3 long TD drives

Joe Flacco still can’t play for the Ravens because of back issues. His backups performed well in his stead. Though, it’s possible they were just abusing a Miami team that no-showed the game. In the other spots, you have more than 400 total yards and at least 6.0 yards-per-play across the board for the Seahawks, Chiefs, and Cowboys. Dak Prescott in particular impressed because it was his first exhibition appearance. Seattle and KC are ready for the season to start NOW based on their execution. Seattle’s first unit played much better than “20 points” on the final scoreboard suggest.

 

NFL “NOT AS GOOD AS THEY SEEMED” PERFORMANCES

Tennessee: 34 points, but TD drives of 13, 16, and 3 yards

Houston: 27 points, but only 281 yards, 4.9 yards-per-play, 36% on third downs

Denver: 33 points, but only 4.7 yards-per-play, TD drives of 11 and 24 yards

Chicago: 24 points, but only 267 yards, 4.4 yards-per-play, helped by special teams’ TD

Very important to pay attention here. The mainstream media tends to rave about big scoreboard totals while showing highlight packages. They don’t tell you about the skeletons in the closet. All four of those teams had air in their scoring totals. Pop those balloons by reading boxscores! You don’t want to bet on teams during the regular season who can’t top 5.0 yards-per-play consistently.

 

WORST OFFENSIVE PERFORMANCES

Miami: 7 points, 120 yards, 2.4 yards-per-play, 17% on third downs

Buffalo: 16 points, four turnovers, 4.8 yards-per-play, 28% on third downs

Jacksonville: 6 offensive points, 4.9 yards-per-play, quarterback booed!

Cincinnati: 12 points, 4.5 yards-per-play, 29% on third downs

Indianapolis: 13 offensive points, 8% on third downs

NY Jets: 6 points, 4.3 yards-per-play, 31% on third downs, 2 turnovers

Detroit: 16 points, 4.1 yards-per-play, 23% on third downs

San Francisco: 7 offensive points, 5 turnovers

Pittsburgh: 10 offensive points, 15% on third downs, 2 turnovers, 3.4 yards-per-play

New Orleans: 13 points, 21% on third downs, 4.2 yards-per-play

San Diego: 0 offensive points, 29% on third downs, 2.3 yards-per-play

Some of those you can throw out because the regular season starting quarterbacks are known commodities. Cincinnati and Detroit have veteran riflemen. Pittsburgh’s a Super Bowl threat in the AFC. New Orleans has Drew Brees. It doesn’t really matter that those offenses blew off Week Two of the exhibition slate in August.

The rest might be waving RED FLAGS that you should be paying attention to.

Miami: When will Jay Cutler be ready, and is he even the answer?

Buffalo: Very sloppy game for erratic QB’s under a new head coach

Jacksonville: Flirting with disaster as Blake Bortles era may be ending

Indianapolis: Nothing behind Luck, and Lucky may be out for awhile

NY Jets: Backup QB’s are awful, as is the whole team

San Francisco: Another sloppy game for a team with a new head coach

San Diego: A real disaster vs. the Saints, though Phillip Rivers didn’t play for his new coach

There was a sense of urgency or concern in all of those cities entering the Preseason. A lot more reasons to worry now after those disappointing efforts.

JIM HURLEY and his full NETWORK of experts are already hard at work creating a plan of attack for this week’s dress rehearsals. The team is thrilled that the market is going to be so out of whack after last week’s scoreboard results!

Join the fun by signing up for service. You can always purchase BEST BETS right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions, call us in the office at 1-888-777-4155 during normal business hours. Remember to ask about combination packages involving football and baseball. THE DOLLARS OF AUGUST are going to pile up the next two weeks…then keep re-piling themselves all the way through the holidays as your profit pyramid grows to the sky. 

Do you have an appetite for some BIG, JUICY WINNERS? Hook up now with PROVEN WINNER JIM HURLEY!

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