Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Friday, August 5, 2016 at 2:39 PM
10-Unit Play Kicks Off Free NFL Preseason Sunday
Big Bettors Come Out Of Woodwork To Bet On Colts And The Under In Rare Move
4 Factors That Will Win NFL Pre-Season Games
By Kelso Sturgeon
The 65-game NFL preseason begins Sunday evening with the nationally televised Hall of Fame Game from Canton Ohio. It matches the Green Bay Packers and the Indianapolis Colts and in a surprise move the sharps surfaced Thursday with big bets on the Colts and the ‘Under” in this one. It was a major move from those who normally shun the preseason became of its additional risk factors.
When the sun came up on Thursday morning, bookmakers were split on whether the Packers or the Colts would be favored, with some offerlng Green Bay at -1 and others posting Indianapolis at -1 and then it hit the fan offshore and in Las Vegas. Within minutes the Colts were a solid -1.5 and the total, previously offered at 36 dropped to 35 and 34.5.
After other players bought back the Packers at the new prices, the sharps hit again and the Colts were suddenly a 3-point choice in most shops and -2.5 and -2 in a handful of others. Depending on where one bets, the total varied from 34.5 to 35 to 35.5 to 36. Was all this action real, or was it an effort to “middle” the game? Either way it was a rare performance by the sharps in a preseason game.
We shall know what it all means Sunday night when the two teams take the field in Canton. For the record, I will be offering the game as a 10-unit play and am extremely confident I have the information to win it.
I am 3-0-1 in the Hall of Fame game the past four season and last year took down the cash with the Minnesota Vikings (-3) over the Pittsburgh Steelers, 14-3, and I am confident I will win on Sunday. As noted I have waded through all the hype and media trash and have the information to cash a ticket.
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As most know I take the NFL pre-season quite seriously and have used it as a major profit center for the past several years. In last year’s pre-season I won my:
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My 50-unit Pre-Season Upset Game of the Year (Green Bay +2.5 over New England, 22-11)
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4 Things That Will Help You Win In NFL Preseason
The NFL preseason certainly offers more challenges that does the regular season but there are several things one can do to improve one’s chances of winning, including:
- The preseason won-lost record of each coach offers insight into how seriously each takes the season and reveals in which of the four exhibition games the coach takes his best shot.
- Teams that need to sell tickets will try harder to win in the preseason. Three teams that fit this bill are Tampa Bay, Jacksonville and Los Angeles but they are not alone in this category.
- New head coaches usually try to impress the ownership and fans by winning in the pre-season.
- The number of injuries to key players a team has tend to scare coaches who suddenly become cautious and begin to save every player on the first two units on the depth chart, wanting them healthy for the regular season.