Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Tuesday, March 15, 2016 at 6:31 PM
50-Unit Underdog Launches NIT Tonight
Plus Both NCAA Play-In Games.
Kansas 9-2 Favorite To Win National Championship
Time To Stop Complaining About NCAA Teams And Get Down To Business Of Handicapping
By Kelso Sturgeon
So, you think the NCAA Tournament selection committee left out of the Big Dance your team. So, the NCAA team really hit the world of controversy about giving Oregon a number-one seed over Michigan State. Forget about it because it no longer matters. The tournament begins tonight with two play-in games and it is time to step into the world of reality and play the hand we have been dealt.
The tournament is what it is, period.
The latest odds from the Westgate Super Book in Las Vegas lists Kansas (30-4) as the 9-2 favorite to win it all, followed in the odds by Michigan State (29-5) and North Carolina (28-6) at 5-1. For the record, Oregon (28-6) is quoted at 15-1. If you are one who favors shooting for the moon with longshots, you can get odds of 1000-1 on both the Buffalo Bulls (20-14) of the Mid-American Conference and the Lumberjacks of Stephen F. Austin of the Southland Conference.
The rules of elements of handicapping are simple and have been polished during the college conference tournaments.
- Talent wins.
- Experience wins.
- Bench strength wins.
- Proven ability to stand pressure wins.
- Good coaches win.
This certainly is an oversimplification of the handicapping process but teams that possess those five things have an edge over those that are lacking in any of those categories. That is just the way it is in a lose-one-and-go-home world.
If I was forced to pick my Final Four right now it would be Kansas, Oklahoma (25-7), North Carolina (28-6) and Michigan State.
The Final Four will meet Saturday, April 2, in Houston, with the championship game set for Monday, April 4. The games will be played at NRG Stadium which for its main tenant, the Houston Texans of the NFL, seats 71,795. The stadium was formerly known as Reliant stadium.
#1 Seed Is An Undefeated 124-0 Against #16
Since the inception of the 64-team tournament in 1985 through 2015 each seed-pairing has played 124 games overall, with the following results:
- The #1 seed is 124–0 against the #16 seed (1.000)
- The #2 seed is 117–7 against the #15 seed (.944)
- The #3 seed is 104–20 against the #14 seed (.839)
- The #4 seed is 99–25 against the #13 seed (.798)
- The #5 seed is 80–44 against the #12 seed (.645)
- The #6 seed is 81–43 against the #11 seed (.653)
- The #7 seed is 76–48 against the #10 seed (.613)
- The #8 seed is 63–61 against the #9 seed (.508)
History Of #1 Seeded Teams In Final Four
All four #1 seeds making it to the Final Four has happened only once, in 2008, when Kansas, North Carolina, UCLA, and Memphis all won their regionals. (Memphis’ season was later vacated by the NCAA)
Two #1 seeds making it to the championship game has happened 7 times, 6 times since the field expanded to 64:
1982 – North Carolina beat Georgetown
1993 – North Carolina beat Michigan
1999 – Connecticut beat Duke
2005 – North Carolina beat Illinois
2007 – Florida beat Ohio State
2008 – Kansas beat Memphis (the year the Final Four were all #1 seeds)
2015 – Duke beat Wisconsin
Tournaments without a #1 seed in the Final Four has happened three times, twice since the field expanded to 64:
1980 – Louisville – #2 (champion), Iowa – #5, Purdue – #6, UCLA – #8
2006 – UCLA – #2, Florida – #3 (champion), LSU – #4, George Mason – #11
2011 – Connecticut – #3 (champion), Kentucky – #4, Butler – #8, VCU – #11
In 1997, Arizona achieved a record when it became the only team to beat three #1 seeds in a single tournament. Arizona (#4 seed) beat Kansas in its own Southeast region, then beat North Carolina in the final four and finally Kentucky in the Championship game. The most #1 seeds any team can face in the tournament is three (provided that the team itself is not a #1 seed, in which case it can only face two #1 seeds in the tournament).
The historic data of the NCAA Tournament was all obtained from www.Wickipedia.com.
It’s another big night in college basketball with a schedule of two nationally televised NCAA play-in games from Dayton, 10 NIT contests, four from the College Insider Tournament and one from the College Basketball Invitational and my figures say tonight’s menu offers unlimited opportunities to make a score.
My top play of the evening will be a 50-unit NIT underdog that is quite under-rated and even has the possibility of winning straight up. You can get this 50-unit ‘dog, plus both nationally-televised NCAA playoff games, for just $50, charged to your major credit card.
Tonight’s NCAA Tournament Schedule Played At Dayton Arena, Dayton, OH Televised On truTV
Fairleigh Dickinson (20-13) vs. Florida Gulf Coast (18-14)
Wichita State (24-8) vs. Vanderbilt (19-13)
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--The entire NCAA Tournament.
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Best Bets Club Scores 49-Point NBA Blowout Win Last Night With Rockets… Today It’s A Power Play Winner
My Best Bets Basketball Investment Club cashed another ticket last night with the Houston Rockets (-12) and their 49-point, 130-81, blowout win over the Memphis Grizzlies and tonight I am doing an encore with a 10-unit power play that should produce another dominating winner. All the data, history and situation say the team I am releasing will just cruise to the winner’s circle and you can win it with me for just $15, paid with PayPalcharged to your major credit card.
Last Night’s Results—All Services
25 Units…Grand Canyon (-13) 78, South Carolina State 74 (Lost)
10 Units…Jackson State (+6.5) 81, Sam Houston State 77 (OT) (Won)
Personal Best Club
No Team Qualified For Play
25 Units…Bulls (+9.5) 109, Raptors 107 (Won)
Best Bets Club
10 Units…Rockets (-12) 130, Grizzlies 81 (Won)