Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Monday, March 7, 2016 at 3:13 PM
Going For 4th Straight NBA Game Of Week Winner Tonight…Plus NBA Handicapping Notes
Break The Bank Tonight With 3 Underdog College Tournament Winners
Kansas (27-4), Villanova (27-4), Virginia (24-6) Michigan State (26-5) Top My Sweet 16 Rankings
By Kelso Sturgeon
I was not having a good week in the college conference tournaments, losing by a point here, two points there and blowing big leads in the last two or three minutes of games. I ask myself what else could happen and then I read the score of the Golden State Warriors at the Los Angeles Lakers. Maybe it was just one of those days?
As all now know, the best team in the NBA lost to one of the worst as Golden State (55-6) lost at Los Angeles (13-51), 112-95, as a 17.5-point favorite and in the process went into the record books as suffering the worst regular season loss by a favorite in league history. The NBA’s Basketball Power Index said the Warriors had a 93% chance to win the game.
It would be dishonest for anyone to say they that the Lakers would win straight up but the “foolish” among us took the 17.5 looking for the cover, which they got by 36.5 points.
The bottom line is one can look for Los Angeles to get back to losing and Golden State to get back to winning. The Warriors are 14-point home favorites over the Orlando Magic tonight and it does not take the mind of a genius to say the Magic (10-18 on the road) will be in a tough spot when they take the floor against a Golden State team that is 26-0 at home this season and has won 45 straight there.
The game opened at Golden State -14.5 and the drop to -14 indicates somebody is betting on Orlando. Maybe they are banking for the fact the Warriors are 3-7-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 11 games. One does may a premium to wager on them.
Going For 4th Straight 50-Unit NBA Game Of Week Winner Tonight
The challenge of beating the NBA is real and complicated and I need to know I have all the edges before I step in and fire and I am firing tonight as I go for my fourth straight 50-unit NBA Game of the Week winner. Last Wednesday I got the cash with my 50-unit NBA Game of the Week as the Washington Wizards (-3.5) won at the Minnesota Timberwolves, 104-98.
The week before that the Atlanta Hawks (-7) crushed the Chicago Bulls, 103-88 in this 50-unit game and the week before that I got it done with the Sacramento Kings (-3.5) who got past the Denver Nuggets, 116-110.
As I have said many times, the key to beating the NBA is to carefully pick one’s spots and tonight I have found the perfect spot to cash a big ticket.
Limited NBA plays at this point of the season is the key to winning and, as noted, I don’t go for the money unless I believe I am right—and I believe I am right tonight. Win this 50-unit NBA Game of the Week tonight for just $35, charged to your major credit card.
It’s Monster Monday In College Tournaments With 3 Underdog Winners
There is no doubt in my mind underdogs in the college conference tournaments do have at least a 60% chance to cover the number, if not win straight up, and tonight I am releasing three monster tournament underdogs that (1) have the talent to win straight up, (2) are being offered at favorable lines and (3) are playing their best basketball right now.
You can go 3-0 with three standout underdogs tonight for just $15, charged to your major credit card.
Sign up for my March Madness Package for just $169 and get these games as part of your subscription.
My March Madness Wall of Profit Package runs right through the Final Four on Saturday April 2and the NCAA championship game April 4 and will include between, as mentioned, 125-150 best bet games. Here is what the entire package includes.
- The rest of the regular college basketball season.
- All the college conference post-season tournaments.
- The entire NCAA Tournament.
- The entire NIT, CIT and CBI post-season tournaments.
- The rest of the NBA season.
Again, you can get on board today for my March Madness Wall of Profit Package that will include 125-150 games for just $169, charged to your major credit card.
Kansas, Villanova, Virginia, Michigan State Head My Sweet Sixteen Ratings
O.K, it has nothing to do with which teams will reach the Sweet Sixteen round of the NCAA Tournament but I have a very strong opinion of just who are the best 16 teams among the 351 competing in college basketball and here they are. I am offering both the RPI and KenPom rankings and strength of schedule placements since both are highly respected and used to pick the teams that will compete in the Big Dance.
The first figure in from each poll is where it ranks the team while the second number is the SOS rating.
|1. Kansas||27-4||1 & 4||2 & 2|
|2. Villanova||27-4||3 & 15||4 & 38|
|3. Virginia||24-6||2 & 5||1 & 6|
|4. Michigan State||24-6||13 & 66||3 & 67|
|5. Miami||24-7||7- & 19||11 & 11|
|6. West Virginia||24-6||10 & 17||6 & 7|
|7. Oklahoma||24-6||5 & 13||7 & 3|
|8. North Carolina||25-6||8 & 26||5 & 19|
|9. Utah||24-7||9 & 10||25 & 32|
|10. Oregon||25-6||4 & 6||15 & 19|
|11. Xavier||26-4||6 & 37||14 & 41|
|12. Indiana||25-6||22 & 89||13 & 73|
|13. Texas A&M||24-7||21 & 61||21 & 48|
|14. California||22-9||15 & 14||23 & 40|
|15. Maryland||24-7||12 & 43||22 & 55|
|16. Arizona||24-7||25 & 80||12 & 72|
Tonight’s NBA Handicapping Hints
Minnesota (20-43) at Charlotte (33-28)—Charlotte goes for its 4th straight win tonight and catch Minnesota in a bounce-downward mode. The Timberwolves who average shooting 46.0% from the floor come into this off a team record 68.4% in that category in a 132-118 triumph over Brooklyn. History says they will return to earth tonight.
Sacramento (25-36) at New Orleans (23-38)—The Pelicans have given up on the season and coach Alvin Gentry is going to start tonight building for the future—whatever that might mean.
Memphis (37-25) at Cleveland (44-17—Cleveland stands 3-0 in its last three games against Memphis and has beaten the Grizzlies in those contests by an average of 22 points.
San Antonio has won seven straight at Indiana and stands 15-1 in its last 16 games against the Pacers.