Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Wednesday, February 3, 2016 at 10:35 AM
85%-90% Of All Super Bowl Money Is On Carolina And That Has Bookmakers Scared And Scrambling Despite Fact 'Dogs 6-1-0 In Last 8 Games
The Declared King Of Super Bowl Handicappers Is 12-3 On Sides and 12-3 On Totals Since 2001 And Intends To Win Another 400-Unit Play
By Kelso Sturgeon
Take it from one who has seen and handicapped all 49 Super Bowls, betting lines on the NFL championship game are as challenging to beat than any seen all season. Billions of dollars are bet on the game and bookmakers know they can make no mistakes. The betting public may agree with that statement but believe they have made a big one this year. With the Super Bowl just four days away, Las Vegas bookmakers say 85% to 90% of all the money wagered thus far is on Carolina.
Basically nobody wants Denver.
This kind of betting support for a single team in the NFL championship game has never before happened and it has bookmakers in a never-ending sweat, with no way out. They simply under-estimated the public's belief in the Carolina Panthers, hung up a bad number on Sunday's 50th Super Bowl and have to live with it.
The game opened with Carolina (17-1) a 3.5-point favorite over Denver (14-4) and the money has poured in on the Panthers ever since. Carolina is now a 5.5 point favorite in most books, -6 in some others and may well go up even more. There is an obvious reluctance for bookmakers to raise the number beyond the -6 because they are already open to get middled on the game and any upward movement would just open the door wider for financial disaster.
Frankly the betting line was a slap in the face of the Panthers and their unexpected success this season. Carolina opened as a 30-1 shot to win the Super Bowl and closed at 2-1 and the -3.5 at the open showed bookmakers were living in the past and still considered the team an afterthought. Denver opened at 8-1 and closed at 4-1.
In futures betting on wins and losses, bookmakers listed Carolina at 8.5 wins for the regular season and failed to grasp the meaning of its 15-1 record.
None of this makes any sense and now bookmakers will have to do what the rest of us do - gamble.
Current Numbers, Facts And Figures
If you are a money line player, you will have to lay $240 to win $100 if you play Carolina but will get $200 for each $100 wagered for a winning play on the underdog Broncos. The total opened at 45 and has remained solidly at that spot, although there are a few 45.5s out there.
In the world of Super Bowl history:
--Favorites are 33-16 straight up and 27-19-2 against the spread. Last year's game was a "pick'em" affair.
--Underdogs have gone 5-0 straight up and 6-0 against the spread in the past seven games. Again last year's game was a "pickem".
--The over/under has gone 26-23.
--The NFC has a 26-23 edge over the AFC.
--History says just pick the straight up winner - favorite or underdog - and you have a great chance to win your bet.
--Betting lines have been seldom been in play and there are only six instances where the favorite won the game but did not cover.
The 50th annual Super Bowl will be played this Sunday at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA, and I am 100% confident I am ready to again bury the bookmakers of the world with my 400-unit play as I continue my truly dominating run in the National Football League's classic championship game.
For the record I am on a 24-6 run in the Super Bowl since 2001, standing 12-3 on sides and 12-3 on totals. I am stepping right in on the Carolina Panthers (17-1) -Denver Broncos (14-4) game with these plays.
My 400-Unit Play Sunday
--200 Units On The Winning Side -
--100 Units On The Winning Total -
--100 Units On The Side/Total Parlay -
--Plus 5 Free Bonus Proposition Bets--
You can see clearly by the size of these wagers - especially the 100-unit parlay at odds of 13-5 - that I indeed to put a giant hurting on the guys on the other side of the counter - something I have been doing for most of the last 15 years.
While the Super Bowl kicks off at 6:30 Eastern Time Sunday and will be televised nationally by CBS the winning will begin on Saturday with a FREE BONUS play on a 100-unit college basketball game - another contest you can bet with confidence. My record in highroller basketball games stands at 10-1 over the past 12 days - that's 91% winners - and I am a perfect 3-0 in 100-unit plays. Click here to get all 500-Units of action for just $75
This past Wednesday night I won another 50-unit NBA Game of the Week with the Cleveland Cavaliers (-16.5) with their 23-point, 115-93, blowout win over the Phoenix Suns and tonight its encore time. There are 11 games on the NBA schedule tonight and one of them qualifies as a game of the week play. My figures say the team I am releasing has the winning edges and should get it done convincingly. You can win my 50-unit NBA Game of the Week tonight, plus get a 15-unit bounce-back college stunner tonight for just $50, charged to your major credit card. For the record, I am 10-2 - 83% winners - with my last 12 50-unit and 100-unit plays. Also keep in mind a 50-unit play is a very strong bet when compared to my average play of between 10 and 15 units.
When my 9-3 run with 25-unit college basketball underdog winners ended with back-to-back losses I took a 4-day hiatus to double-check all my figures and fine-tune the formula that was producing these upsetters. That process has now been completed and I will be right back in action tonight with another 25-unit college basketball underdog winner, releasing a team that grades out as the straight-up winner.
Tonight's 25-unit move is against a favorite that is simply in the wrong spot and is about to get ambushed. The underdog in this game is primed to play its best game of the entire season and is being strongly supported by a hidden circumstance my gut says till push it to the winner's circle. Win this 25-unit underdog play tonight for just $20, charged to your major credit card. We have it all going for us tonight. Don't miss this one - and outright winner getting points.