Submitted by Jim Hurley on Thursday, January 28, 2016 at 2:47 PM
MORE SUPER BOWL 50 HANDICAPPING NEWS/NOTES ...
THE COLLEGE B-BALL REPORT - TONIGHT'S KEY TEAM SPREAD STATS INCLUDING A CLOSER LOOK AT #3 IOWA AT #8 MARYLAND
Part of handicapping the Super Bowl - not just this particular one but every Super Bowl - is digging a little bit deeper into key pointspread facts/figures.
It can be quite informational to discover what AFC teams do versus NFC foes in a certain year and vice versa and so let's start off a little Super Bowl 50 Handicapping News/Notes column with some items regarding both the Carolina Panthers and the Denver Broncos in terms of their out-of-conference results:
SUPER BOWL 50 - Sunday, February 7 at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara (CA)
CAROLINA (17-1) VS. DENVER (14-4)
The NFC champs - up to a 5- or 5.5-point betting favorite at last check for their SB 50 showdown on Sunday, Feb. 7th against the Broncos - won all four games played against AFC South squads this year while besting Jacksonville, Houston, Indianapolis and Tennessee and note Ron Rivera's squad covered three of these four games ... see the chart below with home teams in CAPS:
CAROLINA VS. AFC TEAMS (2015)
|CAROLINA||- 5||INDIANAPOLIS||29-26 (ot)|
So, as you can see here the Panthers won/covered both of their games played away from home versus AFC opponents - something worth storing in your Super Bowl 50 memory bank here.
Hey, if you wish to dig a bit deeper then you'll find that Carolina is a composite 7-8-1 ATS (against the spread) when playing AFC foes the past four years - not great although this year's 75 percent cover percentage surely helped the cause.
DENVER VS. NFC TEAMS (2015)
|DENVER||+ 2.5||Green Bay||29-10|
Hats off to the Broncos for winning SU (straight-up) all four games played this year versus NFC North opponents and note Denver registered a 2-1-1 ATS mark in this quartet of games including a 1-0-1 spread log away (at Detroit and at Chicago).
Again we'll dig a bit deeper and tell you the Broncos are a composite 10-5-1 spreadwise when playing out-of-conference foes these past four years - and that's significantly better than Carolina's one-game-under-.500 mark in non-conference tilts. Just sayin'.
Meanwhile, for those of you folks who like to say "but what's in a number", well ...
Carolina is an electric 14-3 versus the vig this season whenever scoring 20+ points and that includes a tidy 8-2 ATS mark whenever the Panthers record 30-or-more points in a game. Folks, the aforementioned 14-3 spread log equates into an .823 winning rate or who wouldn't like those percentages if we told you the Panthers win 82 percent of their games when scoring a measly 20-or-more?
On the flip side, let's take a look at the Denver defense - the top-ranked unit in the NFL this past season: When the Broncos' elite stop unit holds opponents to 23 points or less the AFC champs are 7-4-4 against the odds (a quirky record that equals a .636 winning rate). Good but not as good as Carolina's spread figures when scoring 20-or-more points but consider the Broncos are - get this -- 14-1 SU whenever holding teams to 24 points or less.
So, when we here at Jim Hurley's Network "cap" this game there's all sorts of key stats to discover and here were some of 'em to check out.
Okay, we'll toss one more key 'capping number your way here in today's Jim Sez column: The Broncos are a collective 5-and-oh spreadwise this year whenever in the underdog role (they had failed to cover five of their last six dog appearances the prior three seasons) while the Panthers are 11-5 versus the vig as betting favorites this season after going a composite 4-4-1 ATS as chalk sides since late in the 2013 season.
Again, just a bit more to munch as we draw nearer to Super Sunday some 10 days away.
Jim Hurley - America's #1 Handicapper -- will have the Sides & Totals Winners of Super Bowl 50 when you check with us on game-day morning plus go ahead and continue to pile up the profits all this week with loads of NBA and NCAA Basketball winners right here online or at our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 - go ahead and pound the books today!
COLLEGE B-BALL SPREAD NOTES - THURSDAY'S KEY GAMES
Let's zip around the College Basketball universe for some of the key games and key pointspread stats:
#25 NOTRE DAME (14-5, 5-2 ACC) at SYRACUSE (13-8, 3-5 ACC) - 7 p.m. ET, ESPN
The ND Fighting Irish has covered seven of its last nine road games while dating back to last year and Mike Brey's club should be buoyed by the fact road teams are 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings between these once-upon-a-time Big East foes-turned-ACC opponents.
#3 IOWA (16-3, 7-0 Big 10) at #8 MARYLAND (17-3, 6-2 Big 10) - 7 p.m. ET, espn2
The Iowa Hawkeyes are a stout 10-3-1 versus fellow Big 10 teams in their last 14 conference tilts while the Maryland Terrapins also are hot, hot, hot in conference games while covering 10 of their last 14 conference games.
#12 MICHIGAN STATE (17-4, 4-4 Big 10) at NORTHWESTERN (15-6, 3-5 Big 10) - 9 p.m. ET, espn2
The fact of the matter is "Sparty" is just 3-7 against the odds in its last 10 games against fellow Big 10 teams and that includes last Saturday's 74-65 win/cover as 3.5-point home betting favorites against above-mentioned Maryland.
WASHINGTON (13-6, 5-2 Pac-12) at UCLA (12-8, 3-4 Pac-12) - 10 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1
Believe it or not, the UCLA Bruins are a rotten 7-13 against the odds this year and that includes just three spread wins in their last 10 overall on-the-board games while the Washington Huskies are a tidy 7-2 vig-wise in their last nine games played inside the Pac-12.
#23 OREGON (16-4, 5-2 Pac-12) at #18 ARIZONA (16-4, 4-3 Pac-12) - 11 p.m. ET, espn2
The Oregon Ducks are a solid 10-7 against the numbers this year and the green-and-gold guys are 7-2 ATS in "under" plays in their last nine league affairs. Meanwhile, Arizona's covered seven of its last eight home games while sporting a 20-8 ATS mark in all Pac-12 games the past couple of seasons.
NOTE: More Super Bowl 50 goodies plus College Basketball and NBA News/Notes coming the rest of this week right here at Jim Sez ... so don't dare miss out!