Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Tuesday, January 26, 2016 at 2:00 PM
Winning Super Bowl Depends On Performance Of Two Factors…For Carolina The Play Of QB Newton And For Denver Its Aggressive, Vicious Defense
Basketball Highrollers Go For 6th Straight Win 25-Unit Underdogs 7-1 Past 9 Days
Kansas 200-9 At Home Since Coach Self Took Over 13 Years Ago…96% Winners At Allen Fieldhouse Gets Kentucky There Saturday
By Kelso Sturgeon,
There are officially 6,909 different languages spoken in the world and as interesting as that number might be it pales in comparison to the differences of opinion about what it will take to win the National Football League’s Super Bowl #50 a week from Sunday when the Carolina Panthers (17-1) take the field as solid favorites over the Denver Broncos (14-4).
When the Sun came up in Las Vegas this morning, Carolina was a 4.5-point favorite (5 in some books), with a total of 45. The game opened with Carolina -3.5 but has steadily moved upward and most bookmakers say it will go even higher. That means if one likes the Panthers, one needs to get down now; if it is the underdog one likes, there is the need to wait in order to get more points.
It also is of note most of the early money is from the general public, with the sharps sitting it out for the time being.
As noted, every fan and bettor has his own opinion as to what it will take to win and/or cover the number in this game, so let me share mine.
I understand the public sentiment that makes the Panthers the public choice, but it also is important to remember all the money came in on the New England Patriots (-3) last Saturday to win in Denver and Las Vegas bookmakers made the score of the entire NFL season when the Broncos prevailed, 20-18, at Mile High stadium
To me, the game boils down to the basics—protect the ball, avoid foolish penalties and mistakes and convert those 3rd downs. Both teams will hope to do that and it is a fact either team can win the game straight up by efficiently doing those things. This means two unpredictable elements will decide the outcome of the game. For Carolina it will be the play of quarterback Cam Newton who is playing lights out and for Denver the play of its intense, aggressive and downright nasty mean-as-hell defense.
The Broncos are coming off one of the most dominant performances imaginable. Von Miller is building an all-time great career and is coming off an all-time great performance. Denver led the NFL in fewest yards allowed and pass the eye test. Miller, DeMarcus Ware, Malik Jackson and Derek Wolfe make up the best defensive line in football. The linebacker group is underrated and versatile. Denver is deep at cornerback with Aqib Talib, Chris Harris and Bradley Roby. And they are led by Wade Phillips, one of the best defensive coordinators in NFL history.
The Panthers, meanwhile, were the league’s top-scoring team. Led by Cam Newton’s MVP-caliber season, they have successfully made the transition to an explosive offensive team. No running game has more "base" running plays that look similar but have nearly infinite variations. Corey Brown, Ted Ginn and Devin Funchess have proven you don’t need a top-shelf receiver group to score mountains of points. The Broncos were the ones with the loaded offense last time they were in the Super Bowl, and they probably don’t mind having the roles reversed this time.
More on this matter later.
College Basketball Betting Insights
One of the most popular college basketball games this week finds Kentucky at Kansas and it must be noted the latter is 200-9 at home since Bill Self took over as head coach 13 years ago.
Wichita State, which crushed Bradley 88-54 as my 100-unit College Basketball Blowout Game of the Month this past Saturday as a 30-point favorite, no less, is a top ten team despite its 14-5 record. While some may have thought I had lost my mind in laying the big wood in this one, there was a reason for it and here is what I wrote about the game when I released it.
College Basketball Blowout Game Of The Month 100 Units
WICHITA STATE SHOCKERS (13-5) -30 over Bradley Braves (3-17)
Prediction: Wichita State by 40-45
Played at Charles Koch Arena (10,506) in Wichita, KS
Conference: Missouri Valley
Home/Road Records: Wichita State is 7-0 at home; Bradley is 1-7 on the road, 0-2 on neutral floors.
ATS: Wichita State 9-7-0, Bradley 7-11-0
Last 10 Games/Streaks: Wichita State 9-1, Won 8; Bradley 4-6, Lost 2.
Notes: This is quite possibly one of the three or four biggest mismatches of the year in all of college basketball. Wichita State is far better than its record and grades out as a Top 10 team. The Shockers got off to a poor start (2-4) because of injuries, the most important one being to All-American point guard Fred Vanvleet. Since he returned Wichita State is 9-1 with its only loss coming in overtime at Seton Hall, 80-76. The Shockers have won those nine games by an average of 19.6 points per game and the first time they played Bradley, in Peoria, they crushed the Braves, by 27 points, 85-58.
Wichita State is 40-0 in its last 40 home games and its style of play creates a “perfect storm” scenario. The Shockers play hard from start to finish, never lets up for a second and truly rattles teams who wilt under the pressure. It does not help Bradley’s cause that is the youngest team of 351 in college basketball and will give it up earlier than most. I would not be surprised to see Bradley down 30 at the half and it also is of note the Shockers bench is far more talented and experienced that are the Braves starters.
When one knows what he is doing and pays attention to the smallest of details, one can lay 30 with a strong chance of success.
My highrollers club continued to knock bookmakers for a loop last night with a winning 50-unit power play on Miami (-4) which knocked off Duke, 80-69, and they are going for another 50-unit winner tonight. Highrollers are a perfect 5-0 in their last 50-unit and 100-unti plays and intend to get it done again with a 50-unit play on a modest favorite that should easily cover the number by double-digits.
You can win tonight’s 50-unit game for just $50, charged to your major credit card. The Spurs-Warriors game will be televised nationally on the NBA network.
Better yet, get on board for the entire NBA and college basketball seasons with a membership in my Personal Best Club—a service is designed for true highrollers who are looking for 4-5 of the highest-rated games to bet each week. Games are rated at 50-units, 100-units and 200-units. Cost for the entire college and NBA seasons is $999, or one can play for $299 per month. By-the-day players will pay $50 each day.
The Current Winning 5-0 Highroller Run
1/25… 50 Units… Miami (-4) 80, Duke 69 (Won)
1/23… 100 Units… Wichita State (-30) 88, Bradley 54 (Won)
1/22… 50 Units… Northern Kentucky (-12) 82, Illinois-Chicago 69 (Won)
1/21… 50 Units… Chattanooga (-5) 73, NC-Greensboro 60 (Won)
1/20… Temple (-10) 62, La Salle 49 (Won)
My Chairman’s Basketball Investment Club is absolutely destroying bookmakers with college basket underdogs—all 25-unit plays—and goes for its 8th underdog winner in its last nine releases. Last night underdog Davidson (+6.5) won at Richmond, 78-70, just as I predicted and tonight’s 25-unit ‘dog play should do just the same.
I will let me record do the rest of the talking.
Currently 7-1 With Last Eight 25-Unit Underdog Winners
1/25… Davidson (+6.5) 78, Richmond 70 (Won)
1/24… Virginia Tech (+12.5) 70, North Carolina 75 (Won)
1/21… Arkansas (+3) 66, Kentucky 80 (Lost)
/20… Seton Hall (+7) 71, Villanova 72 (Won)
1/19… Clemson (+10) 62, Virginia 69 (Won)
1/18… Syracuse (+11.5) 64, #12 Duke 62 (Won)
1/17… Wisconsin (+6) 77, #10 Michigan State 76 (Won)
1/17… Colorado (+1.5) 91, Oregon 87 (Won)
College Basketball winners are where you find them and it is not always at the popular places with popular teams such as Louisville, North Carolina and Villanova. Last night I found them in Green Bay Wisconsin and Baton Rouge (and it wasn’t LSU). My Best Bets Club went 2-0 with a winning 15-unit play on Southern University (-7.5) with its 21-point, 73-53, win over Alabama A&M in Baton Rouge and with a 5-unit victory by Wisconsin-Green Bay (-5.5) in overtime over Detroit, 115-108.
I am coming right back tonight with two more college winners—both of them rated 15 units—and intend to keep the 2-0 streak going. You can win these games for just $15, charged to your major credit card.
Better yet get on board for the entire Best Bets Basketball Investment Club college and NBA seasons for just $199 and receive 2-3 best bets each day, seven days a week. Sign up on this website or toll free at my office, 1-800-755-2255.