Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Monday, December 7, 2015 at 7:00 AM
The Golden State Warriors have been playing so well through the first quarter of the 2015-16 NBA season that some pundits are saying they “solved” basketball. Even an old skeptic like me has to admit that they’re playing some of the best basketball that’s ever been played. Golden State’s approach represents the very best of:
*Balance on offense and defense
*Cutting Edge Analytics
And, in terms of what KELSO STURGEON considers to be most important…
*PLAYMAKERS and GAMEBREAKERS on both sides of the floor
*The MOTIVATION FACTOR
I think many “experts” and bettors didn’t fully appreciate THE MOTIVATION FACTOR for the Warriors after players spent the offseason hearing about how “lucky” they were to win the title last year. Yes, they stayed healthy. Yes, they caught some breaks in their playoff matchups. Yes, Cleveland wasn’t at full strength. But, let’s not forget that Golden State was still the best team in basketball! They were the favorites…and then some breaks made the path a bit easier.
So far this season…we’re seeing THE BEST when they’re MAD!
Have they solved basketball? Is this the beginning of a new Golden Age of basketball with great ball movement, teamwork, and unselfish play?
I do think this is a new model that teams will try to copy. The problem is…you can’t really get away with it if you don’t have good ball handlers, three-point shooters and rim protectors. Playing at such a fast pace HURTS a lot of teams because it creates turnovers, poor shot choices, and fast breaks for the other team.
Check this out:
*Golden State plays the #4 fastest pace in the NBA (according to ESPN)
*Golden State has the #1 most efficient offense (114 points per 100 possessions)
*Golden State has the #5 most efficient defense (97.7 points allowed per 100 possessions)
This isn’t a “jump shooting” team that doesn’t play defense. Complete basketball.
I will also add this…I’m not confident yet that they’ve solved how to keep Steph Curry from never getting injured! There’s no antidote for bad injury luck. There are still several ways that the season could get interesting if the injury bug hits. Also, teams will be fired up to give their best efforts against the Warriors just when the midseason lull starts to hit.
The whole world seemed to be expecting that Golden State would lose to Toronto Saturday afternoon. Tough team…tough spot…tough starting time. They did win 112-109 but couldn’t cover the steep price of -7.5. I guess I should add something else amazing about the Warriors. Even with that non-cover, they were 14-7 ATS through their first 21 games. oddsmakers and sharps knew they’d be very good…yet Golden State has been getting the money two-thirds of the time against high prices!
I’m really looking forward to seeing what Golden State does in these road testers in a few days…
Tuesday: Golden State at Indiana (playing great this season)
Friday: Golden State at Boston (well-coached)
Saturday: Golden State at Milwaukee (Bucks a disappointment, but Golden State will be on night two of a back-to-back)
That Warriors/Pacers game is going to have a great atmosphere. And, it might just be a preview of the NBA Finals. Curry’s only trip to the Boston Garden this season will be fun to watch as well.
With college football stepping aside for a couple of weeks, students here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping need to start focusing on pro and college basketball. You don’t want to sit on your butt doing nothing on non-NFL days! Catch as many basketball TV games as you can in the colleges and the pros. Oddsmakers are notoriously slow to react to basketball developments during this stretch where they’re worried about bowl betting.
And, even if you’re a football only bettor…try to appreciate what’s happening with Golden State right now. You’ve likely heard people older than you talk about the glory days of Michael Jordan, Larry Bird, and Magic Johnson (or even guys like me talking about Jerry West and Bill Russell!). Easiest homework you’ve ever had. Enjoy some great basketball!
KELSO STURGEON’S top plays in basketball and football can always be purchased right here at this very website with your major credit card. Questions about extended service can be answered personally by one of my representatives in the Vegas-Sports-Masters office at 1-888-777-4155.
Back with you again midweek with what will probably be a college basketball discussion. Then, it’s back to the NFL over the weekend. Before you know it we’ll be talking about handicapping the minor and major college football bowl games. December’s going to fly by. It always does! The Dean of Sports Handicapping greatly appreciates your attendance and hard work. See you next time.
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