Submitted by Jim Hurley on Monday, November 16, 2015 at 10:12 AM
THE JIM SEZ NFL WEEK 10 REPORT & ROUNDUP
WE CASH BIG WITH KANSAS CITY'S 29-13 ROMP IN DENVER PLUS IT'S A TEXANS VS. BENGALS MNF PREVIEW AND GOODIES ON UNBEATEN PANTHERS AND PATRIOTS, OLD-MAN PEYTON MANNING AND "3-TEAM TEASER-BASHERS" TOO!
By Jim Hurley:
Hey, did you like that little graphic the NBC Sports folks put up very late in Sunday Night's wild 39-32 Arizona Cardinals win over the Seattle Seahawks?
It said that on this Week 10 day/night there were six quarterbacks that previously had won Super Bowls that lost here - more than any in a single-day history of the National Football League as Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers, New Orleans' Drew Brees, Baltimore' Joe Flacco, Denver's Peyton Manning, New York Giants' Eli Manning and Seattle's Russell Wilson all tasted defeat ...
And for our purposes here at Jim Sez note that all of the above also played on teams that failed to cover the Week 10 pointspread save for the Giants' Mr. Manning...Boy, that's rough!
Still, that's just part of the mad-cap pointspread news that came out of this week's play as overall NFL Betting Favorites - including last Thursday's game in which Buffalo (+ 2.5 points) beat the New York Jets 22-17 - wound up going 2-10 ATS (against the spread) with one pick 'em game tossed into the mix.
The only two chalk sides to cover NFL Week 10 games were - drum roll, please - the Carolina Panthers and the Pittsburgh Steelers and the former team needed an opposing rookie quarterback to gag it up while the latter needed a banged-up quarterback to come off its bench early and save the day (Ben Roethlisberger to the rescue!).
Okay, so anyone that wagered $100 per play on all NFL Week Betting Favorites will enter tonight's clash between the Houston Texans at the Cincinnati Bengals down a whopping sum of $900 ... and overall NFL Betting Favorites now for the year stand at 59-75-6 ATS with 5 Pick 'Em games (that's a wobbly .440 winning rate, folks!).
We'll dig into a few NFL Week 10 key storylines later in this edition of Jim Sez plus get you're the MNF preview/forecast of the game between the Houston Texans at the Cincinnati Bengals in just a moment but first this key reminder ...My handicappers and bloggers have everything all mapped out for tonight's NFL Week 10 tilt and you can get the Side & Totals winners when you check with us here at Jim Hurley's Network at the toll-free # of 1-800-323-4453 or right here online. Get all the NCAA Football (once again there's games every night this week beginning with a pair of Mid-American Conference tilts on Tuesday evening), NFL Week 11 starting with Thursday's Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars bash and there are NBA/NCAA Basketball winners too as we roar through the month of November with another major hot streak.
HOUSTON (3-5) at CINCINNATI (8-0) - 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
Think the Cincinnati Bengals can be sitting there at 16-and-oh at the end of this here-and-now 2015 season? Well, consider that Marvin Lewis' squad does have a Sunday Night game on tap in Arizona this coming weekend but - now that the Denver Broncos may be sliding - you could make the case that the Bengals will be betting favorites in all of their other remaining games.
In this prime-timer that'll wrap up NFL Week 10 action, all eyes will be - again - on Cincinnati QB Andy Dalton who, let's face it, has yet to shake off those ugly comments that he can't perform in "under the lights" games.
Dalton is currently ranked as the NFL's second-rated passer behind New England pretty boy Tom Brady - note that Dalton sports an 18-to-4 TD-to-INT ratio this year -- and he has the not-so-secret red-zone weapon named TE Tyler Eifert (see three TD catches against Cleveland in that 31-10 triumph two Thursday Nights ago) at his disposal.
If the Bengals are gonna snag the win/cover here, than Dalton-to-Eifert must work some magic and Cincinnati's underrated O-line must keep J.J. Watt (see 4.5 sacks in his last two games) and friends at bay.
So, what's the Texans' formula for winning here?
Well, we will let you know that NFL teams after their bye week now are 16-7 against the odds (a terrific .696 winning rate) and Houston WR DeAndre Hopkins could be a one-man wrecking crew providing journeyman QB Brian Hoyer can get 'em the ball.
Final memo here: Of the 21 NFL teams that have started off a season at 8-0 or better, eight of 'em went on to win that year's Super Bowl ... now that's a sweet dream, Bengals, eh?
Spread Notes - Cincinnati is an electric 7-0-1 ATS so far this season and that makes the Bengals a collective 34-21-3 spreadwise since the start of the 2012 campaign. Cincy's 3-0-1 ATS as home favorites this year and note the Bengals are 30-15-4 spreadwise when playing non-AFC North foes the past four-plus seasons. Meanwhile, Houston is just 3-5 versus the vig overall this year and 8-14-1 ATS as underdogs the past two-plus seasons.
NFL WEEK 10 ROUNDUP
Wow, there were more storylines on the NFL Week 10 menu than you could shake a stick at whether it was Detroit's first win at Lambeau Field in 24 years (more about that in a moment) or Philadelphia's major meltdown en route to a one-point home loss to Miami or maybe you and your fantasy league pals are still amazed at the fact Washington QB Kirk Cousins threw four touchdown passes and had the highest "score" of any quarterback on the day in that 47-14 win against New Orleans (hey, the 'Skins scored 12 more points than the combined total for Dallas, Cleveland, Tampa Bay and Tennessee!) but let's start our little roundup with the two teams that stayed undefeated:
CAROLINA 27, TENNESSEE 10 - Even Panthers' QB Cam Newton referred to this as a potential "trap game" considering the NFC South crew was coming off a brutal four-game stretch that included a 4-point win at Seattle, a prime-time win against Philadelphia, an OT win on Monday Night Football versus Indianapolis and a hang-on-for-dear-life triumph over Green Bay and yet Newton and Company still didn't flinch. The slinger completed his first 11 passes against a young Titans team and then had some help as Tennessee's rookie QB Marcus Mariota just couldn't get the second-half motor running with miscues, third-down issues and overall inefficiency aiding the Carolina cause. Mark it down ... the Panthers (9-0) now are 7-2 vig-wise in 2015.
NEW ENGLAND 27, NEW YORK GIANTS 26 - Okay, so we all know what the Patriots are really saying behind closed doors ... where were all those "breaks" in the two Super Bowl losses to the Giants in the 2007 and 2011 seasons? No need to prance down "memory lane" now as everyone remembers the "helmet catch" by Giants' WR David Tyree in Super Bowl 42 and that spectacular Eli Manning-to-WR Mario Manningham bomb that set up the winning score in SB 46 but in this Week 10 bash the Pats caught all the breaks from Giants WR Odell Beckham Jr. not being rewarded a TD on a did-he-catch-it-or-not play and what about the dropped INT by rookie S Landon Collins?
No wonder NYG head coach Tom Coughlin was practically spitting fire in the post-game presser but keep this in mind: The Patriots (9-0) made some big plays on their own from a pair of Manning sacks in the final quarter to that 4th-and-10 fling from Brady to WR Danny Amendola that set up PK Stephen Gostkowski's 54-yard field goal with one second left. New England hasn't started 9-0 since 2007 - there we go again with that season! - and now that WR Julian Edelman (foot) figures to be gone for a while might have to make do with one of the league's shakier wide-out corps. What, you doubt the Pats might still go 16-and-oh?
In other NFL Week 10 Notes ...
Okay, so we can't exit this Jim Sez column without a few words about the broken-down QB Peyton Manning who doesn't need any head coach of his making excuses ... if Manning was hurting so bad this week than he should have sat and we direct that commentary to Broncos' dim-witted head coach Gary Kubiak.
The fact that Manning set the NFL's all-time passing yardage record on the very same afternoon he was benched is more than a tad ironic. It's sad that Manning completed just 5-of-20 passes for a lowly 35 yards in this blowout loss to KC but it's sadder even still that Denver thought it could get more than three years from this ancient signal-caller. Time, perhaps, for John Elway to take some "hits" here? ...
Also, a couple of quickie wagering notes:
Just how many "three-team teaser" plays were blown up Sunday when the 10-point favored Green Bay Packers lost 18-16 to Detroit as the Lions won their first game at Lambeau since 1991? Gotta believe anyone that was "stepping out" with a "three-team teaser" where you take 10 points per side added to the Las Vegas line were toasted as all they had to do was have Green Bay win the game by a single point.
And what about the fact the New England-NY Giants total price went from 53.5 points to 52.5 points in the hours before the 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff and - of course - what happened but the game landed on 53 points.
Finally, anyone that wagered the "over" in Sunday Night's Arizona at Seattle clash might have been tempted to tune out after a scoreless first quarter but then the points poured in during the Cardinals' 39-32 road victory. Okay, so "over" bettors cruised to the victory circle there but has this "Super Bowl hangover" unofficially kayoed the Seahawks from this year's post-season chase?
The overhyped Seattle secondary was torn to shreds by Arizona QB Carson Palmer (363 yards passing and 3 TDs), WR Larry Fitzgerald (10 catches for 130 yards) and WR Michael Floyd (7 catches for 113 yards with two TDs before getting injured late) and our advice to make sure RB Marshawn Lynch 25 "touches" was not heeded (see 8 rushes for 42 yards and one score plus one reception) and so, Pete Carroll, you and your clueless coaching staff got exactly what they deserved!
NOTE: Get our up-to-date Heisman Trophy Watch List plus lots of College Football News & Notes in the next edition of Jim Sez as we examine the latest College Football Playoff rankings - if we had to venture a guess right now we'd said the CFP committee folks would say it's Clemson at #1, Alabama at #2, Ohio State at #3 and Notre Dame barely nosing out Iowa at #4.