Submitted by Jim Hurley on Sunday, October 4, 2015 at 1:00 PM
This was supposed to be an intriguing battle featuring a potential playoff spoiler visiting the two-time defending NFC champions. Instead, ESPN will be showcasing a pair of early disappointments who can’t afford to lose another game this early in the season.
At least THAT might create playoff style intensity when the 0-3 Detroit Lions visit the 1-2 Seattle Seahawks in the final pro game of the weekend.
Both teams are obviously better than those records. But, is either capable of getting back to preseason expectations? Can Detroit play spoiler as a Wildcard out of the NFC North? Is Seattle’s reign atop the conference over now that Green Bay has taken such command? Let’s run through JIM HURLEY’S key indicator stats to see what we can learn about those questions and tonight’s pointspread possibilities.
Won-Lost Records (Strength of Schedule)
Detroit: 0-3 (lost at San Diego, at Minnesota, and vs. Denver)
Seattle: 1-2 (lost at St. Louis, at Green Bay, won vs. Chicago)
A truly brutal early season schedule for the Lions. They knew it was coming…but didn’t seem as well-prepared as they needed to be. The offense has been helpless on the ground. The defense, as you’ll see in a moment, hasn’t been up to the challenge. Their ceiling this year maybe “7-9 type team who can beat anybody on any given day” rather than “10-6 Wildcard entry.” Seattle is 1-1-1 at the end of regulation because the Rams’ game went overtime. But, they lost stats big on that afternoon, and the Rams were then awful the next two weeks. For now…this is not a 13-3 type juggernaut. More like the Wildcard performance people were expecting from Detroit.
Detroit: 4.9 on offense, 6.0 on defense
Seattle: 5.2 on offense, 5.2 on defense
You can see how badly Detroit’s been outclassed by its schedule. So…yes, it’s bad luck to have such a difficult draw. But, that’s a lack of competitiveness at the point of attack shining through. Seattle is break-even vs. a schedule that should have provided a better differential. Hosting helpless Chicago cancels out visiting potent Green Bay. Super Bowl contenders should win stats vs. the Rams. Here we have confirmation that both teams have issues entering October.
Matthew Stafford showed in the prior coaching regime that he was very mistake-prone when trying to force things. A newly successful conservative approach helped fix that last season. But, now, with no running game and a tough slate…he’s back to forcing things and making mistakes. Seattle is likely to win this category Monday unless their swagger and hunger are totally gone. A definite question based on what we’ve seen so far. Does Seattle still have that “go for the jugular” attitude you need to take down a lion?
Detroit: 0-3 ATS
Seattle: 1-2 ATS
Two overrated teams…and the Lions have missed the last two weeks by more than a touchdown. As we said at the top, both have been disappointments however you slice it. This expresses that reality in market terms. The Lions and Seahawks are 1-5 straight up and against the spread. The only win/cover came against the worst team in the NFL, Chicago (when starting Clausen).
Current Line: Seattle by 10, total of 43
Seattle is still getting a lot of market respect. They shut out the Bears 26-0 last week, which makes a spread like -10 seen manageable. The Lions probably aren’t going to just roll over and take their medicine though. Not with 0-4 staring them in the face. It’s now or never for Detroit in terms of the 2015 playoffs. And, a now or never effort could be enough to get the money against the slow-starting Seahawks.
JIM HURLEY has been working with his full team of experts to make sure clients win on the most important Las Vegas betting night of the week. Whatever happened over the weekend…everyone must win Monday!
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We’re still working out what the college football showcase preview will be later in the week. Surrounding that, more prime time football that happens to feature several teams in the same boat as Detroit and Seattle. These upcoming NFL teams can’t afford any more losses!
Midweek: NFL TV Preview…Indianapolis at Houston
Friday-Saturday: College Football TV Preview…to be determined
Sunday: NFL TV Preview…San Francisco at the NY Giants
Monday: NFL TV Preview…Pittsburgh at San Diego
Keep looking for important handicapping guidance here in the NOTEBOOK. Then, hook up with JIM HURLEY for BIG, JUICY WINNERS in football and the upcoming baseball playoffs!
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