Submitted by Jim Hurley on Tuesday, June 30, 2015 at 9:00 PM
Wednesday night’s ESPN game matching the New York Yankees and Los Angeles Angels features a pair of teams who really can’t afford to lose right now. The Yanks are neck deep in what’s suddenly become a FOUR-team race at the top of the AL East. The Angels are well back of the Astros, but still very much in the playoff picture with a won-lost record that’s pretty much interchangeable with the Bronx Bombers in the big picture.
As we’ve reported to you a few times already, the Yankees do have a hidden “kicker” in their hand that involves an unbalanced home/road split. Heading into Wednesday’s meeting, the Yanks have played 35 home games and 43 road games (most unfair split to date of all the AL contenders). Los Angeles has played 42 home games and 36 road games…which means they’re worse off than it seems in the championship chase.
When the schedules equalize, the sun should be shining brighter on the Yanks than it is right now. But, they really don’t have any margin for error given how packed the East is! A road win in Anaheim would surely help their cause. Let’s see what JIM HURLEY’S key indicator stats are saying about this TV showdown…
NY Yankees: 4.72 runs per game, .325 on-base, .430 slugging
LA Angels: 3.90 runs per game, .304 on-base, .380 slugging
Wow…those are huge advantages for the Yankees. Obviously the run-scoring jumps out. The media spent so much time debating whether or not to celebrate AROD that they missed out on what the offense as a whole has been doing. Note that the Yanks rank #4 in on-base percentage in the AL, and are now all the way up to #2 in slugging percentage. The Angels have fallen off the map, ranking #12 in on-base and #13 in slugging. Clear edge to the Yanks.
Adam Warren: 3.59 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 5.9 K-Rate, 5.9 IP-per-Start
Matt Shoemaker: 5.03 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 7.8 K-Rate, 5.6 IP-per-Start
Note that this is a 4:05 p.m. local start time, which means shadows and glare are likely to affect hitters. That probably helps Shoemaker more because of that higher K-Rate. But, this kind of starting time is a friend to all pitchers. Keep that in mind as you think through the matchup.
Warren seems to pop up a lot for us in NOTEBOOK previews. Nothing’s changed! He’s still humming along for a team that gives him run support. He has thrown six quality starts in his last eight outings…though nobody should be afraid of a guy who posts 5.9 in both K-Rate and IP per start. He did just beat the Angels 8-2 not too long ago. Shoemaker has settled his ship a bit. After allowing a stunning 13 home runs in his first eight starts, he’s only allowed two in his last six. Still, he’s about 50/50 to throw a quality start. Given the opposing offense, he should be grateful for this starting time!
As we prepare this preview, it’s too early to say whether or not JIM HURLEY will have a release in this game. You can always purchase BEST BETS right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions about extended service, call us in the office at 1-888-777-4155 during normal business hours. This is a great time to ask about early-bird football. The season will be here before you know it.
Back for series previews the next two days before resuming with our summer series of college football conference previews. Here’s what’s ahead this week in the NOTEBOOK…
Thursday: MLB Series Preview…Minnesota at Kansas City
Friday: MLB Series Preview…San Francisco at Washington
Saturday: College Football Preview…Conference USA “East”
Sunday: College Football Preview…Conference USA “West”
Monday: MLB Notes
Wednesday: MLB TV Preview
Wow…great baseball matchups coming up. That’s a four-game set at the top of the AL Central standings tomorrow, followed by a fascinating battle between two NL teams who would be neck-and-neck in the standings if they were in the same division. If you’re just now getting into baseball, you picked a great time to jump aboard!
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