Submitted by Jim Hurley on Friday, June 5, 2015 at 7:00 AM
Though very few teams in the American League have been able to consistently look like championship material so far in the 2015 season, it’s clear that the major betting markets have their eye on both the Los Angeles Angels and New York Yankees as serious title threats. Check out the latest offshore odds to win the AL pennant…
Offshore Odds to Win American League
Kansas City +425
NY Yankees +565
LA Angels +775
That’s #2 and #3 who are squaring off in the Bronx this weekend…teams who are assumed to wait out the storm while upshots like Houston and even Minnesota gradually fall back to earth. This was supposed to be a mediocre year for the Yankees…and now they’re #2 to win the AL behind Kansas City!
They’re also #5 to win the World Championship. Let’s add onto that list we ran yesterday for the Dodgers/Cardinals preview…
Odds to win the World Series
LA Dodgers +560
St. Louis +725
Kansas City +950
NY Yankees +1200
LA Angels +1650
Yes, there is a tendency for the market to shade the Yankees higher because so many people like to bet on them. That’s less of an issue these days because there was so little hype about the Yankees entering the season. Maybe they’re a bit overpriced. Any “right” number would still have them on the short list to go the distance right now based on early season performance. They lead the AL East and they’re not doing it with mirrors!
Let’s see what JIM HURLEY’S key indicator stats have to say about a three-game weekend series that could end up being a playoff preview…
LA Angels: 3.96 runs per game, .299 on-base, .385 slugging
NY Yankees: 4.50 runs per game, .313 on-base, .410 slugging
The biggest problem the Angels are facing this year involves that anemic offense. They are clearly NOT playoff caliber right now because of their low scoring production. The market is giving them the benefit of the doubt long term in terms of solving the problem between now and the stretch run. Clear edge to the Yankees. Though, it’s not as big in the peripheral stats as it is in raw scoring. The Yanks have been a bit fortunate this year to cash in so many opportunities.
Jered Weaver: 4.08 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 4.8 K-Rate, 6.4 IP-per-Start
Nathan Eovaldi: 4.40 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 6.6 K-Rate 5.7 IP-per-Start
Weaver has now hurled five straight quality starts, which knocked two runs off what had been a ridiculously bad ERA. His low K-rate has to be managed. But, those recent outings suggest he’ll be a contributor the rest of the way. Eovaldi only has one quality start in his last five outings…and is in danger of being sent to the bullpen given that awful WHIP and disappointing innings mark. If you believe “recent form” is important, then edge to Weaver. Otherwise, it’s more of a wash.
Matt Shoemaker: 5.08 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 8.4 K-Rate 5.6 IP-per-Start
Adam Warren: 3.75 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 5.6 K-Rate 5.8 IP-per-Start
Shoemaker has been extremely inconsistent in recent outings. The good part of that is that there will sometimes be gems. He’s capable of ace performances, but things really go south quickly when he doesn’t have his best stuff. Warren has been a pleasant surprise for the Yanks. Those numbers won’t scare anyone…but they can get the job done in front of a good offense. The way the AL is shaping up this year, Warren could actually offer value by continuing to be fairly generic.
Garrett Richards: 3.26 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 8.8 K-Rate 6.4 IP-per-Start
Michael Pineda: 3.33 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 9.7 K-Rate 6.4 IP-per-Start
Wow…very close matchup in the finale as we have quality arms who are capable of going deep into the game. Of course, what happens in the first two games could influence the result. If anybody’s trying to avoid a sweep, think about them in this spot. Might be a good sign for the Angels that they’re not in a tight getaway because they don’t play again until Tuesday at Tampa Bay.
On the whole…you can see why the market has noticed these teams, but isn’t in love with them yet as serious threats to Kansas City. There just isn’t much real greatness in the AL this season. Maybe we’ll see something in Angels/Yankees that triggers greatness moving forward
The great JIM HURLEY is likely to have at least one big play in this high profile series. You can purchase BEST BETS in daily baseball right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions about extended service, call us in the office at 1-888-777-4155 during normal business hours. Remember that the BELMONT STAKES will be run Saturday…spend A DAY AT THE RACES with NETWORK!
Back to the baskets tomorrow…here’s what’s on tap over the next several days in the NOTEBOOK
Saturday: NBA Early Look for Sunday’s Game Two of Cavaliers/Warriors
Monday: MLB Series Preview: Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins
Tuesday: NBA Game Three Championship Preview
Wednesday: MLB Big Game Preview…Chicago Cubs at Detroit Tigers
Thursday: NBA Game Four Championship Preview
Friday: MLB Interleague Series Preview…Kansas City Royals at St. Louis Cardinals
Saturday: NBA Early Look for Sunday’s Game Five of Cavaliers/Warriors
Wow…a week that includes the Belmont, the NBA Finals, and some fantastic baseball. Who says you should only bet during football season? A sizzling summer is about to start right here at JIM HURLEY’S NETWORK!
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