Submitted by Jim Hurley on Friday, March 6, 2015 at 1:00 PM
The Big 12 championship isn’t at stake Saturday afternoon when the Kansas Jayhawks visit the Oklahoma Sooners. Kansas wrapped that up earlier in the week when they survived overtime vs. West Virginia and OU blew a big lead at Iowa State. But, the matchup will provide handicappers with one last chance to study and review what might be the most important “postseason” league through the month of March.
Check out Joe Lunardi’s “Bracketology” projections heading into the final weekend of the regular season for Big 12 schools…
Kansas is projected to be a #2 seed
Iowa State is projected to be a #3 seed
Oklahoma is projected to be a #4 seed
Baylor is projected to be a #4 seed
West Virginia is projected to be a #5 seed
Oklahoma State is projected to be a #9 seed
Texas is currently the first team on the bubble
Should Texas win its next two games, it’s expected that they’d sneak into a #11 or #12 seed (though most computers would equate them with more of an 8-9 spot or slightly better).
So, we have SIX teams who are sure things…and at least four teams who will likely be seeded to reach the Sweet 16. It’s very easy to imagine two extremes with the Big 12.
*If the conference has been overrated this season, then there could be bedlam all over the brackets! Kansas will be vulnerable as a #2 or a #3 (which they might fall to if they lose to Oklahoma Saturday and don’t impress in the tournament). Anyone from Iowa State down through West Virginia could fall in a 3-14, 4-13, or 5-12 seeding spot.
*If the conference has been underrated…then even somebody like Oklahoma State is capable of taking out a #1 seed if they advance to the Round of 32. And, the Sweet 16 could be loaded with Big 12 representation. It’s not like the rest of the country is setting the world on fire.
It would behoove sports bettors to understand as much as they can about this conference heading into the postseason. The Big 12 tournament is going to be something special no matter who survives the weekend. And, there will obviously be…at the very least…a lot of great opening round scenarios in the Dance. Possibly…you’ll be handicapping multiple Big 12 teams all the way to the final weekend.
Let’s see what JIM HURLEY’S key indicator stats have to say about this Kansas/Oklahoma game that highlights this last weekend of conference action. Watch it on ESPN2…while you spend some time getting caught up on the league as a whole!
Adjusted Offensive Efficiency
Kansas: 113.2 per 100 possessions (#19 in the nation)
Oklahoma: 109.4 per 100 possessions (#49 in the nation)
Oklahoma has a tendency to blow hot and cold when shooting. Blowing hot helped them build a huge lead at Iowa State on Big Monday. Blowing cold helped them blow the whole thing AND the pointspread cover! Clear edge to Kansas here. Though, in terms of SATURDAY…the Jayhawks are dealing with injuries while OU is in a massive bounce-back spot in from of loud fans looking forward to the most important home game of the year. Those differentials would likely matter more in a neutral court rematch next week.
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency
Kansas: 92.2 per 100 possessions (#13 in the nation)
Oklahoma: 89.1 per 100 possessions (#7 in the nation)
Two very good defenses here. This is why both have a chance to matter in the Big Dance. You’d have to put both in the class of potential championship spoilers who are still vulnerable to being caught from behind. Either could get stunned early on, or put a scare into somebody like Kentucky later in the brackets.
Fast teams by national standards, which sets up an exciting telecast at the very least. We’ve been saying that a lot about Big 12 games this season…and the league has been delivering.
Against the Spread
Both teams have been fairly predictable in the big picture. It’s tough to for big name programs to post great ATS records. Kansas has a disturbing trend of falling behind in the first half only to charge home for victory. If you keep doing that at home, it’s going to mean trouble at neutral sites when the refs aren’t as friendly and opponents aren’t intimidated by a boisterous crowd.
JIM HURLEY will be looking very closely at this game because there is potential for a fired up home team to post a big result against a road opponent that has nothing to play for. We’ll see where the line settles once the numbers go up. You can build your bankrolls with Friday NBA (and a handful of college options), then pyramid your profits with the final word for Saturday right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions, call us in the office at 1-888-777-4155 during normal business hours Friday or Saturday before the early games tip off.
Tomorrow brings the twice-a-year Duke/North Carolina rivalry that everybody loves to bet! Here’s the NOTEBOOK schedule as the regular season transitions to the tournaments…
Saturday: College Basketball…Duke at North Carolina in the ACC.
Sunday: College Basketball…Wisconsin at Ohio State in the Big 10
Monday: ACC Tournament Preview…begins Tuesday in Greensboro
Tuesday: Pac 12 Tournament Preview…begins Wednesday in Las Vegas
Wednesday: Big 12 Tournament Preview…begins Wednesday night in Kansas City
Thursday: Big 10 Tournament Preview…begins Thursday in Chicago
You’ve been waiting WEEKS for the best of college basketball to arrive. It’s time to get back on the horse! The Super Bowl is long gone…but the single biggest Las Vegas betting spectacle is about to begin. Be sure you GET ALL THE MONEY with JIM HURLEY’S NETWORK!
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