Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Sunday, October 19, 2014 at 10:46 AM
Two 100-Unit Blowouts Top Saturday College Football!
Michigan State (-16) 56, Indiana 17
Marshall (-21) 45, Florida International 13
By Kelso Sturgeon
Lessons learned in college football were many Saturday and after the dust settled we know for sure to never piss off Alabama coach Nick Saban, that conference play has teams cannibalizing one another and that underdog Missouri proved in a definitive way the power of the bounce-back theory.
I was also a day in which I released two winning 100-unit plays - Michigan State (-16) over Indiana and Marshall (-21) over FIU and won both games in blowout fashion. I also released Missouri (+7) over Florida as the bounce-back play of the week and won a 10-unit play with the Tigers 42-13 win.
Saturday’s games did little to clear a very muddled picture of which four teams are headed to the new playoff to determine the national championship. There are but four undefeated teams remaining - defending champion Florida State (7-0), Marshall (7-0), Mississippi (7-0) and Mississippi State (6-0) - and a host of one loss teams that include Alabama, Oregon, Georgia, Ohio State, TCU, Notre Dame, Auburn, Michigan State and Kansas State that are still very much in the running to win it all.
Personally, I cannot separate the 10-12 best college teams in the country because any one of them can beat any one of the rest of them.
My personal observations of the weekend were many and included...
- It is extremely dangerous to piss off Alabama coach Nick Saban. Stung by the criticism his team was not the real deal this year, following a 3-point loss at undefeated Mississippi and a one-point win at Arkansas the never-satisfied Crimson Tide fans started complaining about the team’s performances. The result of that Saturday was Alabama’s 59-0 blowout win over 21st-ranked Texas A&M.
- Those who doubt the bounce theory is just that - a theory - learned just how real it is when underdog Missouri, buried 34-0 at home last week by Georgia, crushed favored Florida, 42-13, in Gainesville. The bounce factor lives.
- Notre Dame is much better than I thought, probably should have won at Florida State, and in quarterback Everett Golson has one of the smartest and best signal-callers in the country. He is a game-breaker par excellence and will definitely play on Sunday.
- Kansas State, which has lost only to Auburn (20-14) proved with their 31-30 win as a touchdown underdog at Oklahoma that I was not far off when in August I picked the then-unheralded Wildcats to win the national championship.
And that is just a handful of what I learned.
The Sunday Betting Menu
100-Unit NFL Blowout Game Of Month Crushes Number
There was a time - not too long ago - that without exception the worst team in the NFL could on any given day beat the bet team. That is an ingredient missing in this season because we have teams that are so talentless they have no chance to win against superior teams - and we have just such a matchup today. This one-sided affair grades out as a complete blowout and I am releasing it as my 100-unit NFL Blowout Game of the Month. This is game is strictly power against weakness and you can win it with me for just $75, charged to your major credit card.
NFL Game Of Week Gets The Money At 50-Unit Level
To win in college or NFL football one must continuously evaluate teams, always searching for one on the downside of its form and conversely trying to find a team that has shown sudden improvement. It is important to do this every week in order to blind-side an unsuspecting bookmaker who is not up to date. There is just such a team on the schedule today and I am releasing it as my 50-unit NFL Game of the Week. Win this one for just $50.
Sunday Night Showdown, 49ers At Broncos Tops 3-0 NFL Sunday
The San Francisco 49ers (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) are in Denver (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) tonight to take on the Broncos in a big-time marquee matchup and my analysis of the game showed one of these teams is a standout play in this spot. This means I will be releasing the 49ers-Broncos Sunday night game as a 15-unit play and you can win it, along with two additional 10-unit games for just $25.
Handicapping The NFL Today
Here are some things to think about when handicapping the NFL today.
- San Diego quarterback Phillip Rivers is absolutely on fire and is the first quarterback in NFL history to record a passing efficiency rating of 120 in six consecutive games. The Chargers are 3.5-point home favorites over Kansas City.
- Seattle, at St. Louis, beat the Rams in both games last year, holding them to 9 points in each contest
- Jacksonville may be 0-6 but it is of note the Jaguars has 19 quarterback sacks this season - second best in the NFL. But, when you average only 13.5 points per game while giving up 30.8, that figure is meaningless. The Jaguars are 4.5-point underdogs to Cleveland.
- Washington (1-5) is tied with the worst turnover differential in the NFL at -9. The Redskins are 5-point home favorites over the Tennessee Titans (2-4) which may get starting quarterback Jake Locker back. Locker is listed as questionable.
- Minnesota has scored a total of 13 points in its last two games and today faces a Buffalo Bills defense that leads the NFL in rushing defense, allowing just 67.5 yards per game. The Vikings are 5.5-point underdogs and again because of injuries start rookie Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback.