Submitted by Jim Hurley on Monday, September 1, 2014 at 7:00 PM
With the 2014 NFL season officially kicking off Thursday Night when the Green Bay Packers visit the defending World Champion Seattle Seahawks, we’ll be devoting our Tuesday and Wednesday reports in the NOTEBOOK this week to final rundowns of “regular season win” propositions available in Las Vegas.
We’ll start with the AFC today. Then, we’ll look at the NFC Wednesday because that will lead you directly into that potential playoff preview involving NFC powers.
Who are the AFC powers going to be according to the marketplace? Same old suspects, with Peyton Manning and his Denver Broncos…and Tom Brady and his New England Patriots well clear of the field in regular season win projections.
New England 10.5 to 11
Miami 7.5 to 8
NY Jets 7 to 7.5
Buffalo 6.5 to 7
We’ll be posting both a high and low for most teams over these next two days, because different stores have different numbers involving baseball style juice. You might be able to bet New England Over 10.5 at -130 in one place, or Under 11 -140 at another. We’ll give you the ranges. Clearly, this isn’t a division that’s supposed to celebrate the greatness of pro football! Miami is a slight underdog to reach the .500 mark, while the Jets and Bills are even further back. And that’s despite the advantage of those teams getting four games against each other. The market is telling you that only an injury to Brady could make this an exciting race.
Cincinnati 8.5 to 9
Pittsburgh 8.5 to 9
Cleveland 6.5 to 7
There’s an interesting mix of respect and skepticism involving the top three teams in the North. They’re all obviously “playoff caliber,” given that Pittsburgh and Baltimore have been to recent Super Bowls with their current quarterbacks…and Cincinnati has some January experience too. But, all three teams have strikes against them that keep them out of the championship discussion. Cincinnati laid a monster egg last year losing big at home to Wildcard San Diego. You figure at least one of those teams will get to 10 wins. Can you figure out who it’s going to be?
Indianapolis 9 to 9.5
Tennessee 7.5 to 8
Houston 7.5 to 8
Jacksonville 5 to 5.5
An interesting mix here…because there’s actually been some respect for the bottom three teams to be “better than originally thought.” Jacksonville is expected to move forward from “worst in the NFL” as they respond to new coaching (and perhaps their star QB of the future in Blake Bortles once he cracks the lineup). Houston is seen as a bounce-back team after their 2014 debacle. Tennessee is a nice sleeper. Handicappers who can untangle the muddled range around “7.5 to 8” in the AFC will have a leg up on the rest of the market.
San Diego 8 to 8.5
Kansas City 7.5 to 8
Oakland 4.5 to 5
Three teams from this division made the AFC playoffs last year. And, three would have made the Final Four if Kansas City hadn’t blown a huge lead to Indianapolis. The market expects the Chiefs to fall back to earth because they caught so many breaks last year. Denver is still well clear of the field. Oakland is apparently set to replace Jacksonville as “worst in the NFL.” We’re hearing different things about San Diego. Some sharps are betting on regression. But, others feel this is a very good fit between quarterback (Philip Rivers) and offensive schematic.
While this is still clearly the inferior of the two NFL conferences, there’s potential for a very exciting Wildcard race featuring dangerous teams…and if either New England or Denver play to their full capabilities, the AFC could re-take the Lombardi Trophy in early February.
JIM HURLEY has his expectations mapped out for the entire season. But, he knows that injuries and other random surprises will eventually at least shape the narrative of a championship run. He’s focused very intently right now on WEEK ONE, as BIG, JUICY WINNERS are positioned all over the NFL and college boards. If you’re a “football only” bettor, game day selections will go up again on Thursday for the first FULL week of betting options. We strongly encourage you to build your bankrolls with PENNANT RACE BASEBALL on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Selections are always available right here at the website for credit card purchase. If you have any questions about seasonal packages, or combination packages for football and baseball, call us in the office at 1-888-777-4155.
Here’s this week’s NOTEBOOK schedule…
Wednesday: Final Look at NFC Market Estimates for Team Victories
Thursday: NFL TV Preview…Green Bay at Seattle (pro season begins!)
Friday: Early College Preview…USC at Stanford
Saturday: College Football TV Preview…Michigan State at Oregon
Sunday: NFL Sunday Night TV Preview…Indianapolis at Denver
Monday: NFL Monday Night TV Preview…San Diego at Arizona
How’s that for a football schedule?! A strong slate got even better when USC announced its candidacy for Pac 12 champion with a blowout win. Join us daily for important handicapping information…then GET ALL THE MONEY with JIM HURLEY’S NETWORK!