Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Thursday, July 31, 2014 at 1:00 PM
The last time we were together, I talked about aging veteran Tom Brady. Today, as we gear up for the start of the NFL Preseason, I want to go over a list of rookie quarterbacks who you should be paying a lot of attention to this month. And, I’m not just talking about research for the regular season. I’m talking about learning from their debuts so you can bet on or against them during the rest of August!
The following quarterbacks will get a lot of playing time in August because their coaches want to test them under fire and speed up the learning curve of these first round draft picks.
Blake Bortles, Jacksonville
Teddy Bridgewater, Minnesota
Johnny Manziel, Cleveland
Reports suggest that Bridgewater has been the most impressive of that threesome in the early days of camp. He’s showing arm strength, poise, and presence. Many experts thought he should have been chosen ahead of Bortles. And, it’s a fairly good consensus that he’s more likely to have a longer career than Manziel. If Bridgewater continues to impress, I’ll consider taking the Vikings in Weeks One and Two of the Preseason when he’ll be facing vanilla defenses. I don’t anticipate backing any rookie quarterbacks in the Week Three dress rehearsals! Though, that could change between now and then.
Manziel could turn into an interesting story if he decides he needs to scamper to make plays. That CAN work in August, though it usually leads to injuries once the regular season starts.
The following quarterbacks will get a lot of snaps too, but aren’t on the fast track and the pressure that comes with it.
Derek Carr, Oakland
Jimmy Garrapolo, New England
Logan Thomas, Arizona
Tom Savage, Houston
Aaron Murray, Kansas City
All five of those young men were selected between the second and fifth rounds. That means they fit the “profile” of what the league likes in terms size and arm strength, but that their college careers didn’t exactly set the world on fire. Carr had great stats at Fresno State, but against bush league competition relatively speaking. He sure struggled against USC’s defense here in the Las Vegas Bowl. For now, I’m generally looking to FADE that group if published reports suggest extensive playing time in the first two weeks.
Let me list a few more…
AJ McCarron, Cincinnati
Zack Mettenberger, Tennessee
David Fales, Chicago
Keith Wenning, Baltimore
Tajh Boyd, NY Jets
Garrett Gilbert, St. Louis
Everyone below McCarron was drafted in the sixth round. I’ve dropped McCarron down here because he’s still recovering from shoulder surgery and isn’t expected to be challenged too intensely out of the gate. Fales interests me because he’s smart, and because Bears head coach Marc Trestman knows how to get production out of his quarterbacks. The Bears could be a real value team this month if Trestman decides he wants to unleash his backups.
I wouldn’t be surprised in either direction for guys like Mettenberger and Wenning who could feel like they have something to prove. Boyd is a huge question mark with the Jets, because they’ve proven they have no idea what they’re doing with quarterbacks. Gilbert was possibly the worst “sure thing” quarterback I’ve seen play at the college level. All tools, no idea what to do with them. A washout at Texas, and a disappointment under June Jones at SMU.
All told, that’s 14 different rookies on 14 different teams who could be having an inordinate impact on pointspread results between now and the dress rehearsal games in a few weeks. And, if none crack their starting lineup…then many could see a lot of action in those lame duck Week Four games that finish out the month.
As students here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping, you owe it to yourself to devote a lot of study time to these featured players. That could provide a few easy winners in August. And, if injuries or other developments during the regular season create openings in the starting lineup for them…you’ll be ready to bet properly immediately rather than playing catch up.
Prepared bettors are winning bettors!
If you’d like some help picking NFL Preseason winners in August, you can sign up for my personal service right here at this very website with your major credit card. My official package will begin Sunday with the Hall of Fame game matching the Buffalo Bills and the New York Giants. If you have any questions about football or baseball, please talk to one of my representatives in the Vegas-Sports-Masters office at 1-888-777-4155. Remember that you can build your bankrolls daily through August if you’re also with me in baseball.
NFL rookies are going to make a lot of headlines in the next few weeks. You’ve been studying long enough now that you shouldn’t be betting like a rookie. You’ve learned the ropes in Las Vegas and you’re ready to make some money! If this is your first class day as a student because you just found out about my website, be patient and work your way up the learning curve. The Dean of Sports Handicapping is expecting great things from you longtime regulars!
See you again early next week, as our summer coursework continues with a mix of pro football, college football, and Major League baseball.