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Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Thursday, March 20, 2014 at 12:35 PM

100-Unit NCAA Blowout Highlights 4-0 Thursday As NCAA Officially Gets Underway

It’s Win Or Go Home Time As March To NCAA
Championship Begins And Survivors Will Be Teams
With Talent Or Those Who Are Oblivious To The Task

My Final Four—Florida, Wichita State, Virginia, Wisconsin... and Five Reasons Why 

By Kelso Sturgeon

The NCAA Tournament to determine college basketball’s national championship officially gets underway today with the 64 participating teams living with the pressure of having to win every game to advance. It’s the reality of one-and-done, as in lose one game and go home. My projected Final Four –Florida, Wichita State, Wisconsin and Virginia.

Why these four—because they have all the requirements to go the distance.

Each plays tremendous defense, with Virginia ranked #1 of 345 teams while giving up an average of 55.3 points per game. Florida is ranked third (57.9 points), Wichita State 11th (59.6) and Wisconsin 48th (64.6). Defense is all important because if a team is struggling offensively in a game, its defense should still be there.

Each team has outstanding point guards—another absolute requirement to get it done. The point guard runs the offense—the field general, if you will—and his efficiency in setting up each play wins games.

Each team is loaded with blue-chip talent that proved this season it could compete with and beat the best.

Each team has an outstanding coach, all armed with the ability of coming with a game plan to win, regardless of the style of play of the opponent, and then has the ability to change it if it is not working. All four coaches are also great sideline coaches.

Each team takes the floor believing it can win, cannot be intimidated, is afraid of no one and remains intensely focused from start to finish, and plays its game with absolute confidence whether in front or behind during every game.

The Mental/Emotional Side Of Winning In The World Of One And Done

After more than 40 years of handicapping NCAA Tournaments, I know the mindset of a team determines how it will play.

First there are those teams just glad to be there. All are lower seeds, know they won’t last long and that it will take nothing short of a miracle to win a game, especially in the first round where #16 seeds are down 116-0 against #1 seeds and #15 seeds are down 109-7 against #15 seeds. These teams will take their best shot, play as well as they can but simply give it up at some point of the game.

Then there are those middle of the road teams that have talent and the ability to pull off the upset again a higher seed but will find the going very tough if they reach the Sweet Sixteen round.

It is of note 14 teams seeded #8 made it to the Sweet Sixteen only six of them advanced to the Elite Eight round and then to the Final Four. Only one—Butler in 2011—made it to the championship game.

Last but not least, there are the teams that are loaded with talented blue-chip players and are a plane above all the rest, with absolutely no weaknesses, with a history of winning big games and with an unbelievably mental mindset that they could hold their own with the NBA’s Miami Heat. There are only a handful of these teams and one of them is 1-9 to win it all.

Things Handicappers Need To Understand

Here are a few conclusions drawn over four decades of handicapping college basketball, first as a line-maker and then as a handicapper. Hopefully they will help you through the handicapping process in all the post-season tournaments.

  1. Teams that are going to win and advance in the NCAA must have four things working for them—(1) talent that has proven it can win, especially on the road, (2) experience playing in the pressure-packed games where if you lose you’re out, (3) a deep bench to cope with the exhaustion of playing a game every 48 hours, or less, and (4) a coach that has proven he can win big games.
  2. When an underdog pulls off a major upset in the tournament it is a strong candidate to lose its next game.
  3. The harder a team has to play to win, stay alive and advance, the more vulnerable it is to lose or fail to cover in its next game. That team’s tank will be low on energy after a tough win and has no time to rest enough to be 100% in its next out.
  4. When you find a game your figures say is a dead-even affair, bet on the team that has a winning road and neutral floor record.
  5. We know teams finds themselves in a game in which they are candidates to bounce up or down—up off a terrible performance and down off a great performance—but we sometimes ignore the fact players are also part of the bounce game. A player who averages 20 points a game and scores but 6 is a candidate to score 30 in his next game.

100-Unit Blowout Launches NCAA Tourney Thursday
I kicked off the NCAA Tournament round of 64 last season with a winning 50-unit play on Syracuse (-13) with its 47-point, 81-34, win over Montana and am upping the ante today as the Big Dance officially gets underway. Today it’s my 100-unit NCAA Tournament Round Of 64 Blowout and the team I am releasing should dominate from start to finish and absolute crush the number. You can win this 100-unit play, plus 2-3 additional unit rated games, for just $50, charged to your major credit card.

Better yet, get on board for my complete March Madness Package for just $175 and play right through the NBA championship game in June.

The March Madness Package Includes

NBA Basketball Right ThroughThe Rest of the Regular Season
Complete Coverage Of The NCAA Tournament

Complete Coverage Of The NIT, CTI and CBI Tournaments
At Least One More 200-Unit College Game
At Least 7 More 100-Unit Games

Friday, March 21

100-Unit Upset NCAA Shocker Stuns Basketball World Friday
The NCAA Tournament heads into its second day of second-round play and I have found the perfect spot to cash a 100-unit ticket on an underdog that grade out as the straight up winner. The team I am releasing has more hidden form than any team in the entire tournament and my figures say it will march right to the winner’s circle. Win this 100-unit upset play, plus 2-3 additional tournament games for just $50, charged to your major credit card.

Better yet, get on board for my complete March Madness Package for just $175 and play right through the NBA championship game in June.


The March Madness Package Includes

NBA Basketball Right ThroughThe Rest of the Regular Season
Complete Coverage Of The NCAA Tournament

Complete Coverage Of The NIT, CTI and CBI Tournaments
At Least One More 200-Unit College Game
At Least 7 More 100-Unit Games

50-Unit NBA Game Of Week Wins Friday Night
Tonight’s NBA schedule is an outstanding one and I have found the perfect game to release as my 50-unit NBA Game of the Week—and you can get it just this knockout winner for just $50, charged to your major credit card. I am having an outstanding NBA season and this is your opportunity to get a taste of big-game winning in the pros while paying but a modest price to do that.

200-Unit NCAA Tournament Game Of Year Wins Saturday
I have been absolutely destroying the bookmakers of the world with my big-game plays (6-0 the past six days and the winning continues Saturday with my 200-unit NCAA Tournament Game of the Year. The team I am releasing has a 90% chance to win and should absolutely crush the number in this one. Get all the money with this 200-unit play for just $50, charged to your major credit card.

Perfect 2-0 In March Madness 200-Unit Plays
3/15…200 Units…Louisville (-7) 71, Connecticut 61
3/8…Nevada (-1.5) 76, UNLV 72

 

 

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