Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Friday, January 17, 2014 at 4:24 PM
Wiseguys Sending It In On Denver Broncos
While Public All Over Both Underdogs
Giant College Underdog, Oklahoma State At Kansas
Highlight 3-0 Best Bets Club Saturday
By Kelso Sturgeon
I have just returned from a Friday morning trip to five Las Vegas sports books to get an update on Sunday’s National Football League conference championship and got the same message at each stop—the public is all-in on both underdogs, the San Francisco 49ers and the New England Patriots, while the sharps and wiseguys are/have taking a major stand on the Denver Broncos.
In these three spots, there is no indecision but it is of note the wiseguys are yet to make a move on the San Francisco/Seattle Game—and they may pass it altogether because of the line and the game’s competitive nature.
In speaking to one of the sharps, he is nervous about this game because he is nervous about one set of numbers—the 49ers are 8-2 straight up (SU) and 8-1-1 against the spread (ATS) on the road this season. As good as are those numbers he noted Seattle (-3) buried San Francisco 29-3 in Seattle in the second game of the season.
There are differences of opinion among bettors and there should be. One can make a strong case for each team in the two games and that is why betting lines vary thus far. As of Friday morning Seattle was a -3.5 or -3.0 favorite, depending on where one bets and the total on this one was being offered at both 39 and 40. It was the same story with the Denver-New England game where prices ran from a low of Denver -5.0 to a high of -6.0, with the prevalent number being -5.5 with totals being offered at 55.5 and 56.5.
In addition to the wiseguys coming in heavily on Denver to get the cover against New England, they also bet out taking the Broncos on the money line. At the offshore book CRIS in Costa Rica—an office that specializes in book wiseguys and big bettors, Denver was -240 on the money line with New England +200. In the National Conference game, Seattle was -195, the 49ers +165.
The bottom line is a simple one: these games are very competitive and since a case can be made for all four, you are certainly entitled to your opinion and you need not let anyone talk you out of it.
The NFL Conference Championship Menu
New England (13-4) at Denver (14-3)
San Francisco (14-4) at Seattle (14-3)
There is not the slightest doubt in my mind the pointspread will be in play in both NFL Conference Championship Games today but with that said, I have worked overtime to find the winning edges in both games and I am confident I will go 4-0, releasing both at the 40-unit level with an additional 10-unit bet on the totals. That’s 100-units of winning action and you can get the money for just $50, charged to your major credit card. Games Available on this website and toll free at my office, 1-800-755-2255.
I’m Winning In College And NBA Basketball And Am Beating Tightest Betting Lines Ever
I warned basketball bettors one week into the season they were facing the hardest-to-beat betting lines in history. Bookmakers apparently got tired of losing with their often soft numbers and decided to get it right during the 2013-14 season—and have they done their job.
It is of note there were 52 games scheduled Thursday night and the pointspread in 25 of those games (48%) until the final 30 seconds, or less, of play. This was a typical night of play where about half the games scheduled went right to the money before the pointspread winner was decided.
It also is of note that underdogs covered in 27 of the games (52%). On this particular night the percentage of underdogs covering was below the prevailing 50% figure.
Beating basketball this season is a major challenge—far more than it has ever been—and bettors need to work overtime and find the winning edges that are not obvious.
I am extremely thankful I am winning in both college and NBA basketball, the reward for putting in the time it takes to win.
There are 102 college basketball games on the schedule today and it goes without saying among the 204 teams in action there is one playing in a “Perfect Storm” situation and is primed to absolutely crush its opponent. The betting line on this game is rather modest but my analysis predicts the team I am releasing will win by 25-30 points. All of this translates into one of the biggest scores of the month and I am releasing this team as the winner of my 100-unit College Blowout Game of the Week. Get down and get rich for just $50, charged to your major credit card. This one is GUARANTEED to cover easily, or you get my next blowout winner ABSOLUTELY FREE!
The Saturday college basketball card is 102 games long with the betting opportunities almost unlimited and I have settled on three Best Bets Basketball Investment Club games in which I know I have found the winning edges. First there will be a 15-unit play on an incentive-driven underdog that has no less than a 50-50 chance to win straight up and this winner will be followed by two 10-unit plays that include the nationally televised (CBS) Oklahoma State (15-2) at Kansas (12-4). This is a big day and I am confident I will go 3-0 with these Best Bet Basketball Investment Club plays and you can win them all for just $15, charged to your major credit card.
A Reminder: While you can get can get my daily selections for just $15, you can save a fortune by getting on board for the entire Best Bets Basketball Investment Club season for just $229. Sign up on this site or toll free at 1-800-755-2255.
Two of the best teams in the NBA—the Los Angeles Clippers and the Indiana Pacers—square off in Indianapolis tonight on national TV (NBA Network) and I know both teams will take their best shots to get the win. When two top NBA teams clash, egos move to the forefront and both will pull out all the stops to prove they are the better team. As difficult as the betting line makes this game to handicap, I have uncovered a hidden edge that put us in the winner’s circle. Get this Chairman’s Basketball Investment Club play for just $25, charged to your major credit card.