Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Tuesday, January 14, 2014 at 2:41 PM
50-Unit College Hoops Blowout Bombshell Gets the Money Tonight!
Kansas May Be 12-4 But The Jayhawks Are Best
Team In College Basketball And Will Only Get Better
College Basketball ‘Dogs Go 73-46-6 ATS
Last 3 Days, Covering Number 65% Of Time
And There Is A Real Reason For It
Projected Super Bowl Lines Have 49ers Favored
By -1.5 Over Broncos, -3.5 Over Patriots While
Seahawks -2.5 over Denver, -5 over New England
By Kelso Sturgeon
There are more than 20 college basketball teams that have what it takes to win the 2013-14 NCAA championship and the four remaining unbeaten teams—Syracuse, Wichita State and Arizona, all 17-0, and Wisconsin (16-0) are on that list—but 12-4 Kansas has emerged as the sport’s best team and everything about the Jayhawks say the best is yet to come.
It all came home to me last night as I watched the underdog 15th-ranked Jayhawks roll into Ames and beat the 8th-ranked Iowa State Cyclones, 77-70, in a game that was never as close as the final score. Kansas was in charge all the way playing in one of the most hostile venues in college basketball for opposing teams, especially ones as popular and successful as is Kansas.
I released Kansas at a 1-point favorite over Iowa State and then benefited from a big shift in the betting line when it was announced DeAndre Kane would play, even though he had a severe ankle injury. All at once, I had the Jayhawks +2.5 in a game I felt I would win period.
My release in this game was 15 units on Kansas, and here is what I had to say in my write-up about the game.
Kansas (11-4) -1 over IOWA STATE (14-1)
Prediction: Kansas by 7-8
Comments: Iowa State suffered its first loss of the season in its last outing, an 87-82 defeat at Oklahoma but that was just part of the negatives coming out of that game. The Cyclones superstar senior guard DeAndre Kane (16.5 points, 7.3 rebounds and 6.13 assists per game) suffered a painful ankle injury and it is doubtful he will be able to play tonight. He is the absolute leader of his team and his absence is a major blow to everything Iowa State does. Kansas comes into this Big 12 Conference battle off a blowout home win over nationally-ranked Kansas State, 86-60, Saturday and that followed a 90-83 win at Oklahoma. One can make a case that Kansas is the best college basketball team in the country right now and is only going to get better as its young players—all blue-chippers out of high school—get up to speed. It is of note the Jayhawks’ four losses have come at the hands of four nationally-ranked teams—at home to San Diego State (14-1), 61-57, at Florida (13-2), 67-61, at Colorado (14-3), 75-72, and on a neutral floor to Villanova (15-1), 63-59. The young players at Kansas have grown up, have more talent than Iowa State, especially with Kane out, and can now stand the extremely hostile environment in Ames
Kansas led all the way, despite seeing 90% of all the calls going against it, and prevailed in dominating fashion with a starting lineup of three gifted freshmen, a sophomore and a junior—four former McDonald’s All-Americans and all five 5-star recruits out of high school. Two of the freshmen-6-8 guard (17 points, 19 rebounds last night) and 7-0 center Joel Embild (16 points, 9 rebounds) are certain to be 1st-round NBA draft choices when they decide to leave college.
Kentucky receives all the press for the outstanding freshmen Coach John (One-And Done) Calipari recruits but in truth it Is Kansas, and maybe ever Arizona, that won that battle this season.
Kansas is on its way to the Final Four and maybe even the national championship because this team is just figuring out what it is all about—and they will improve dramatically with each game they play. Not only is the Jayhawks starting five made up of outstanding players, they are all extremely quick and athletic.
Good now, great in a few weeks.
NFC Favored To Win Super Bowl
While we have the NFL Conference Championship games this weekend, projected betting lines on the February Super Bowl are already being discussed and here is pretty much a consensus opinion.
San Francisco would be a 1 ½ point favorite over Denver and a 3 ½ point favorite over the New England Patriots.
Seattle would be a 2 ½ point favorite over Denver and a 5 point favorite over New England.
The numbers were provided by veteran bookmaker Jay Kornegay, who holds court at the Las Vegas Hotel Super Book.
Betting Already Heavy On NFL Conference Title Games
Las Vegas bookmakers say they are taking heavy action on this Sunday’s NFL Conference Championship games, with New England getting plenty of support for its game at Denver and with action on the San Francisco at Seattle game split right down the middle.
Denver opened a 7 point favorite over New England and has been bet down to -4.5 with a total of 55. Seattle opened as a 3.5-point favorite over the 49ers and has remained there. The total is 39 ½.
If you are a money-line better,
Denver is -215, New England a +182
Seattle is a -195, San Francisco +165
Handicapping The Conference Championships
In handicapping Sunday’s championship games, here are some facts that might help you produce a winner:
The Broncos and New England met this season on November 24 in Foxborough and the Patriots won 34-31 in overtime in a game rated a pick’em. It is of note Denver blew a 24-0 lead in that game.
Denver is 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS at home this season.
-New England is 4-4 SU and 2-6 on the road this season.
Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning and the Patriots Tom Brady have faced one another 14 times and Brady holds a 10-4 edge in those games
Seattle and San Francisco played home-and home this season.
The Seahawks won 29-3 as 3-point favorites in the 2nd game of the season
The 49ers won in San Francisco six weeks ago 19-17 as a 2 ½ point favorite.
It is of note San Francisco is 0-2 on its last two trips to Seattle. In addition to this season’s 26 point loss, the 49ers lost there last season 42-13.
San Francisco comes into this game riding a 7-game win streak while the Seattle Seahawks are 16-1 SU at home the past two seasons.
College Basketball Underdogs Cover 65% Of Games Last 3 Days
The college basketball has shifted gears into conference play and that situation had an immediate impact one the outcome of games. In games played Saturday, Sunday and Monday underdogs prevailed by a 72-46-6 margin—a win percentage of 75%.
It is obvious when favorites are getting there just 25% of the time, something has changed.
It’s all about conference basketball, where games are traditionally much closer than non-conference games.
It just takes bookmakers a little time to catch up with this annual reality and bettors need to take a long look at underdogs and that is not to say favorites can’t win. It means one must pay attention to what is happening.
My Best Bets Basketball Investment Club has gone 3-0 the past two days, winning a 15-unit play Sunday on underdog Iowa (+6.5) with its 84-74 win at Ohio State plus a 5-unit play on Xavier (+8) that got the cover in a 95-89 loss at Creighton. And those two winners were followed up with Kansas last night
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