Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Friday, January 3, 2014 at 12:45 PM
Favored 49ers March Right Through Gates
Of Football Hell In Green Bay Where Wind-Chill
Factor Will Drive Temperature Down To 30 Below
Chargers Face 80% Chance Of Rain And Snow
Plus High Winds At Cincinnati Bengals
Since 1993 SU Wild-Card Winners Have Gone 80-10-2
ATS, Covering Number At 89.0% Clip
By Kelso Sturgeon
The San Diego Chargers and the San Francisco 49ers will march right through the gates of football hell this weekend as they hit the road for their National Football League wild-card games, the first step in getting to the Super Bowl. Good luck, gentlemen and enjoy the rain, sleet and snow—the wind and below zero temperatures—as you play seasoned cold-weather teams named the Cincinnati Bengals and the Green Bay Packers. Oh, by the way, things won’t be much nicer for the New Orleans Saints, who are on the road at Philadelphia.
When the San Francisco 49ers left home for Sunday’s game with Green Bay the temperatures were in the 60s. When they take the field for some serious action at 4:40 EST Sunday afternoon the temperature is expected to be from 5-to-10 degrees below zero an driven down to 30 below because of the wind-chill factor.
It was clear skies with temperatures in the 70s when the Chargers boarded their plane for the flight to Cincinnati for their Sunday showdown. When they take the field at Cincinnati the weather forecast calls for an 80% chance of rain and/or snow, 10-20 mile per hour winds and with the game-time temperature driven well into the teens because of the wind-chill factor.
For a New Orleans team with a duel performance personality (real good when playing indoors in the dome at home and not so good when playing outdoors on the road) the weather jolt in Philadelphia Saturday won’t be quite as dramatic with night-time temperatures (kickoff is scheduled for 8:10 EST) in the low 20s or high teens.
Do You Have To Be Certifiably Stupid To Work For NFL?
Two questions immediately come to mind.
--Who decided the San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers game should be the late game, since the weather will be far worse than it would have been earlier in the afternoon?
--Did the NFL shirts decide to punish the New Orleans Saints for past sins—i.e. playing downright-dirty-out-to-maim opposing skill players—by making their game against the Philadelphia Eagles the night game, where the wind blows very cold?
As interesting are those two situations, they also serve as a reminder Super Bowl XLVIII (that’s Super Bowl 48 for those who never had to study Latin) will be played at MetLife Stadium—home of the New York Jets and Giants--Sunday February 2. Think there is any chance to weather might be a little off-center that day, i.e. a blinding wind-driven blizzard that is just another addition to what has thus far been the worst winter for many years in the East?
Do you have to be stupid to get a job in the NFL front office? The evidence certainly points in that direction.
Whatever should not be, will be.
49ers Only Road Favorite In Wild-Card Round
The bookmakers and betting public are all-in on the San Francisco 49ers to overcome all the hazards of Wisconsin in the winter. Bookmakers opened San Francisco as a 2.5-point favorite, with a total of 48.5. The game still stands with the 49ers -2.5 while total has dropped one point to 47.5
Here is the complete wild-card schedule, with betting lines and totals
Saturday’s NFL Wild-Card Games
Kansas City Chiefs (11-5) at Indianapolis Colts (11-5)
Indianapolis is -2.5 with a total of 46.5
New Orleans Saints (11-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (10-6)
Philadelphia is -2.5 with a total of 53.5
Sunday’s NFL Wild-Card Games
San Diego Chargers (9-7) at Cincinnati Bengals (11-5)
Cincinnati is -7 with a total of 47
San Francisco 49ers (12-4) at Green Bay Packers (8-7-1)
San Francisco is -2.5 with a total of 47.5
Just Pick SU Winner And Get The Cash
There is a long history that needs to be studied before one bets in the wild-card round. For instance, did you know since 1993 the straight up (SU) winners of 93 wild-card games played in that time frame stand 80-10-2 against the spread (ATS)? That means the outright winner of those games covered the number 89.0% of the time.
Pick the winner and you win. Simple enough, or is it!
For the record the SU winner of wild-card games played over the past six seasons are 24-0 ATS.
Friday Night Football Betting Menu
This past Tuesday I took down all the money with a winning 50-unit 2-team bowl parlay, cashing a 20-unit ticket on UCLA with its 42-12 win over Virginia Tech, a winning 20-unit ticket on Mississippi State with its 44-7 victory over Rice and then the 10-unit winning parlay put the icing on the cake. I am coming right back today with another such play but this time at the 100-unit level.
Two of the best bowl games of the season will be played today when Oklahoma State (10-2) and Missouri (11-2) meet in the Cotton Bowl and when Ohio State (12-1) takes on Clemson in the Orange Bowl and that translates to big money. I am releasing both games at the 40-unit level and then tying them up in a 20-unit parlay. It’s another break the bank day and you can go 3-0 with this dynamite for just $50, charged to your major credit card.
Saturday Football Betting Menu
The National Football League playoffs begin today with Day One of the wild-card round and my research and analysis says one of the two games merits being a 50-unit play, so let’s go for it. The first nationally televised game finds the Kansas City Chiefs (11-5 at the Indianapolis Colts (11-5) and the second matches up the New Orleans Saints (11-5) and the Eagles (10-6) in Philadelphia. As noted, one of them merits 50-units of play and you can win that one, plus the second game which will be rated 10 units, for just $50, charged to your major credit card.
Two 8-4 teams looking for respect—Vanderbilt and Houston—meet today at Legion Field in Birmingham in the Compass Bowl—and most pundits believe this is a game in which anything can happen, but my figures suggest that is not quite so. Vanderbilt will be without starting quarterback Austyn Carta-Samuels (knee surgery) and Houston will be without its offensive coordinator who left for TCU after the last game of the regular season but against these handicaps I believe I have the winner. You can get all the cash in this game for just $15, charged to your major credit card.
Sunday Football Betting Menu
The NFL playoffs continue today with two more wild-card games and one of them grades out so strongly as a big-time winner and I am confidently releasing it as my 100-unit NFL Wild-Card Game of the Year. The San Diego Chargers (9-7) meet the Cincinnati Bengals (11-5) in the first game while the San Francisco Giants (12-4) are at Green Bay (8-7-1) to take on the Packers—and one of these games is the big one. Win this 100-unit play, plus a unit-rated bet on the second game, for just $50, charged to your major credit card.
The Go Daddy Bowl from Mobile today matches Arkansas State (7-5) and Ball State (10-2) and presents an excellent opportunity to take down the money with a side and total parlay. I am releasing the side at 10 units, the total at 10 units and the parlay at five units, setting up a 3-0 day, and you can get the cash for just $25, charged to your major credit card.