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Submitted by Jim Hurley on Wednesday, July 4, 2012 at 1:00 PM

It’s always been a popular handicapping strategy amongst sharp analysts to fade All-Star pitchers in their final start before the Break. Some believe they’ll be distracted because they’re looking ahead to the big game. Others believe opposing offenses will get fired up to beat the All-Star. And the math guys will talk about “regression to the mean” as hurlers pitching over their heads are due to fall back to earth.

There seemed to be no better time than “Stars and Stripes” day July 4th to run through the scheduled appearances for starting pitchers who made the All-Star team.  We start with the American League because two of their aces are set for action today and tonight. Note that we’re only talking about STARTING pitchers. Several closers made the team as well. You never know in advance when those guys are going to make an appearance.


American League

David Price: Today vs. NY Yankees

Justin Verlander: Tonight vs. Minnesota

Matt Harrison: Thursday at Chicago

CJ Wilson: Friday vs. Baltimore

Jered Weaver: Saturday vs. Baltimore

Felix Hernandez: Sunday at Oakland

CC Sabathia: off until ASB because of injury

Chris Sale: Sunday vs. Toronto or off

Sale of the White Sox pitched last night vs. Texas. There is no listed pitcher yet for the White Sox on Sunday, which would be his normal spot in the rotation. Note that Felix Hernandez also pitched last night (vs. Baltimore), but he is currently listed to go Sunday against the A’s.


National League

Matt Cain: Thursday at Washington

Cole Hamels: Thursday at NY Mets

RA Dickey: Thursday vs. Philadelphia (head to head with Hamels!)

Lance Lynn: Thursday vs. Colorado

Wade Miley: Thursday vs. LA Dodgers

Clayton Kershaw: Friday at Arizona

Steven Strasburg: Friday vs. Colorado

Gio Gonzalez: Saturday vs. Colorado

None of the NL stars are set for July 4th action…but fully FIVE will be on the mound tomorrow…including that potential duel between Hamels and Dickey. Of course, if All-Star pitchers are going to have nervous outings in their final game before the break…that may not be a duel at all.

There’s going to be an amazing array of arms on hand next Tuesday Night in Kansas City. Both offenses will be dealing with top of the line starters through the bulk of the game, followed by a string of ace closers in the final innings.

Do you have the guts to fade these hot pitchers in their final pre-All Star appearances? We’re not suggesting they’re all going to lose. And, we wouldn’t encourage a strategy of blindly fading each and every one. You have to handicap each game as it comes. Just remember that history has made it clear that…in composite…All Star bound pitchers don’t quite pitch to their prices in their last first half starts. At the very least, you need to avoid the temptation to invest in all of these hurlers because they’re “excited” about the All-Star Game and likely to pitch great. History shows that the excitement leads to “nerves” more than you’d expect.

We hope you’ve already taken care of your baseball business on this holiday. Don’t forget to check out the early bird football packages! What a great time to take advantage of discounted rates for the NFL Preseason that’s now just a month away.  

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*Wayne Root’s early bird rate for his NFL Preaseason is just $75 here at the website. You’ll make more than that in your first weekend of action.  

*Kelso Sturgeon’s Preseason Package as available for just $99. And, you can already lock yourself in for Investment Club Football all season long for a one-time credit card payment of $199.

Hey…at those prices you can afford to sign up with ALL THREE legendary handicappers!

Be sure you remember to check the ads on the home page every day for big play blockbusters. Complete details on each industry legends’ slate are available on the “buy picks” pulldown. Hot handicappers are always waiting to hear from you!

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