Submitted by Jim Hurley on Thursday, November 28, 2013 at 1:00 PM
THE JIM HURLEY’S NETWORK 29TH ANNUAL TURKEY SHOOT ROLLS ON WITH A MAJOR MENU OF HOLIDAY GAMES
PLUS IT’S THE NFL WEEK 13 REPORT AS WE’RE CHECKIN’ OUT SUNDAY’S TOP DIVISIONAL DUELS INCLUDING BRONCOS-CHIEFS AND BUCS-PANTHERS …
AND WE AGAIN GET UP-CLOSE AND PERSONALWITH A COUPLE OF KEY NCAA FOOTBALL GAMES ONSATURDAY AS WE HOLD OFF ON THE IRON BOWL (TILL TOMORROW’S) AND CONCENTRATE ON #3 OHIO STATE AT MICHIGAN AND #2 FLORIDA STATE AT FLORIDA
By Jim Hurley
Hope the Thanksgiving holiday week/weekend is treating you well – now let’s see who’s “gobbling” up Saturday/Sunday wins on the gridiron.
We remind you …
My handicappers and bloggers are in the holiday spirit and so we’ll be winning the 29th Annual Jim Hurley Turkey Shoot all weekend long and so that means lots of winners in NCAA Football, NFL Week 13 action plus on the hardwood, too with NBA and NCAA Hoops.
Don’t get left out in the cold – win all week and cash in big with both Football and Basketball when you check with us here at Jim Hurley’s Network either here online at www.vegassportsmasters.com or at our toll-free telephone # of 1-888-777-4155.
Check with us Friday morning after 10 a.m. ET as there are a whopping 16 College Football games plus a ton of hoops action on this day-after-Thanksgiving menu and then be back with us after 10 a.m. ET on Saturday/Sunday for more Turkey Shoot Winners …
On Sunday in NFL Week 13 divisional play, it’s …
DENVER (9-2) at KANSAS CITY (9-2) – 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS
For the very first time this year BOTH the Broncos and Chiefs are comin’ off a loss, but the $64,000 question is just how does Denver respond after blowing that 24-0 lead in a 34-31 OT loss at New England last Sunday night?
Maybe what’s most disturbing about that game for the Broncos is they rushed for a whopping 280 yards (or 5.8 ypg), lost, and may not have a healthy RB Knowshon Moreno after he ran for 224 yards against the Pats. Ugh!
No doubt the KayCee Chiefs had their own bit of soul-searching to do following last weekend’s bitter back-and-forth 41-38 home loss versus San Diego, but what gives here with a defense that didn’t force a single SD turnover, and now will be without pass-rushing LB Justin Houston (dislocated elbow) and could be without LB Tamba Hali (ankle sprain).
The Chiefs allowed 31 second-half points to the Chargers last week after both difference-makers were sidelined, and so forgive Denver QB Peyton Manning for salivating a bit here.
Two quickie notes on the Broncos:
*Their pass defense ranks a shoddy 29th in the league while yielding 283.2 ypg – Kansas City slinger Alex Smith should get to try out at least a half-dozen long flings to WRs Dwayne Bowe and friends here – and acting head coach Jack Del Rio is starting to feel the heat of stepping in for the sidelined John Fox.
Might Del Rio and Company (see offensive coordinator Adam Gase) get a bit “too conservative” here?
Spread Notes – Denver is 6-4 against the odds so far this season, and the Broncos have covered six-of-nine AFC West duels since the start of last year. On the flip side, Kansas City’s now dropped four of its last five spread verdicts after a tasty 5-1 ATS (against the spread) start. Note that the Chiefs are 6-11 spreadwise as underdogs since the start of 2012.
TAMPA BAY (3-8) at CAROLINA (8-3) – 1 p.m. ET, Fox
You have to go all the way back to October 6th to find the last time the Carolina Panthers tasted defeat – and if QB Cam Newton and mates are gonna tack on to this NFL-best seven-game SU (straight-up) winning streak, then getting major pressure on rookie QB Mike Glennon is key here.
Hey, the former N.C. State star threw for 247 yards and a pair of touchdown strikes to WR Tiquan Underwood in last Sunday’s 24-21 comeback win against 7-point fav Detroit, and it’s worth noting the Lions did sack Glennon four times – look for some off-the-corner blitzes of Glennon here and maybe a “pick six” or two for the home team.
The Panthers are allowing just 13.3 ppg during this aforementioned win streak, while Tampa Bay’s scored a grand total of 87 points during its current three-game win streak. Note that Carolina won the first meeting this year 31-13 as 7-point road favs back in Week 8 play.
Spread Notes – Carolina has notched spread wins in six of its seven SU (straight-up) wins since mid-October, and did you know the Panthers are 6-2 ATS in divisional games since the start of last year? Meanwhile, Tampa Bay rolls into this NFC South clash riding a four-game spread winning streak, and the Bucs are a collective 18-13 ATS in divisional road games the past 10-plus seasons.
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On Friday in NCAA Football Action, it's ...
ARKANSAS (3-8, 0-7 SEC) at #17 LSU (8-3, 4-3 SEC) - 2:30 p.m. ET, CBS
You saw that right - the LSU Tigers are a whopping 25-point betting favorite for this annual day-after-Thanksgiving tilt against archrival Arkansas which staggers into this one on an eight-game losing skid.
The storyline here for LSU is the Bengals are still in the hunt for a fourth consecutive double-digit win season and there are a slew of January 1st bowl games that would like 'em part of their game but will QB Zach Mettenberger (2,926 yards passing with 22 TDs and 7 INTs) and Company be mentally sharp after going full-tilt to beat Texas A&M last weekend?
Spread Note - Believe it or not, LSU is a wobbly 1-5 against the odds in its last seven hoedowns against the Hogs.
OREGON STATE (6-5, 4-4 Pac-12) at #13 OREGON (9-2, 6-2 Pac-12) - 7 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1
Let's just say the Oregon Ducks didn't endear themselves to a lot of folks in the college football world last week with those negative comments regarding the Rose Bowl followed by the ugly 42-16 loss at three-TD dog Arizona - but all rookie head coach Mark Helfrich's team can do now is right the ship and try to get QB Marcus Mariota straightened away as the one-time Heisman Trophy candidate has looked lost in recent losses to Stanford and 'Zona.
No Rose Bowl berth or any sort of national championship implications on the line here and who knew that Oregon State - losers of five in a row in this series - would be trying to salvage its season too after a heady 6-1 SU start? The stats these days for State QB Sean Mannion read 34 TDs and 13 INTs and he's thrown a slew of picks during his team's current four-game SU losing streak.
Spread Note - Since 2003, the Oregon Ducks are 7-3 ATS in their Civil War showdowns against Oregon State.
On Saturday, it’s …
#3 OHIO STATE (11-0, 7-0 Big 10) at MICHIGAN (7-4, 3-4 Big 10) – 12 p.m. ET, ABC
The Ohio State Buckeyes have not given up the hope for playing for a BCS crown this year – yes, Urban Meyer’s crew (averaging 55.3 ppg in its last four outings) have become big Auburn Tigers fans this holiday weekend but first things first and that means dispatching erratic Michigan inside the famed “Big House” and for that Buckeyes’ RB Carlos Hyde must keep up the beat that’s seen him rush for 938 yards (or 8.1 ypc) and 14 TDs in his last six games.
Hey, Ohio State’s handed the Wolverines some major beatings in recent years – see 37-7 back in 2010 and 42-7 in the 2008 season – so this two-TD road favorite’s price may not be out of whack especially if the Michigan O-line can’t protect QB Devin Gardner, who has been sacked a gazillion times this year.
Can Gardner move-and-juke his way around this Buckeyes defense to make some big pass plays downfield and can a Michigan rushing attack that ranks 100th nationally (just 128.8 ypg this year) come alive … or this game headed for another Ohio State blowout as Meyer’s guys have won eight games by 18-or-more points.
Spread Notes – Ohio State has hardly been the money-maker you might think this year as the Buckeyes are a modest 6-5 ATS so far and they’re 13-10 spreadwise in the Meyer Era (not quite as good as you thought, right?). Note Ohio State’s 7-1-1 spreadwise in its last nine head-to-head showdowns against the maize-and-blue. Meanwhile, despite the angst of this current campaign the Michigan Wolverines still are 6-5 against the odds and that includes underdog covers the past two weeks at Northwestern and at Iowa.
#2 FLORIDA STATE (11-0, 8-0 ACC) at FLORIDA (4-7, 3-5 SEC) – 12 p.m. ET, CBS
Let’s say things are playing out like a three-part theatre act in/around Tallahassee these days:
There’s the pursuit of the first national championship since 1999 for these here-and-now Florida State Seminoles;
There’s the quest to win this year’s Heisman Trophy for now-runaway leader QB Jameis Winston;
And then there’s the legal issues involving Winston that may or may not kayo him for whatever bowl game the ‘Noles play in this year... to say nothing of his pending status as a free man.
Now, let’s throw another log on the fire and bring up the fact that underachieving – but still arch-rival – Florida serves here as a four-TD home underdog, and Florida State could be in for a tougher fit than imagined with under-siege Gators head coach Will Muschamp likely leaving no stone unturned here.
If Winston and mates can gallop out to their usual quicksilver start, then the not-so-mighty Gators will be left in the dust and keep in mind that FSU has scored 607 points this year and has exceeded the 40-point mark in 11 consecutive games. Not only has Winston thrown for 3,163 yards with 32 TDs and 7 INTs, but this State defense leads the country with 23 interceptions.
Spread Notes – Florida State is an electric 9-2 versus the vig this season and the Seminoles have covered three-of-four road games after going a dismal 1-6 ATS away in 2012. Note that Florida is an ugly 4-7 against the Las Vegas price tags this season and that makes the Gators 16-19 ATS in the Muschamp Era. P.S., the betting favorite has covered seven of the last 10 games in this Sunshine State series.
NOTE: There’s plenty more NCAA Football and NFL Week 13 Previews/Forecasts straight ahead in the next couple of editions of Jim Sez … so don’t dare miss out as tomorrow we’ll check out the biggest/best College Football game on the Saturday:
It’s #1 Alabama at #6 Auburn!