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Submitted by Jim Hurley on Wednesday, October 9, 2013 at 8:00 PM

In the Lovie Smith era, the LAST team you’d want to face if you had huge troubles on the offensive line was the Chicago Bears. They would bully you up front…blitz your quarterback at will…and likely humiliate you through 60 minutes of gridiron battle. Oh, and that’s if the weather was GOOD! If Chicago weather was helping out...forget about it.

Thursday Night, the New York Giants take their shockingly horrible 0-5 record to face Chicago in a game that will be nationally televised by the NFL Network. The only good piece of news is that Lovie Smith is no longer the head coach and motivational force behind the defense. In fact, Chicago’s defense has turned pretty mortal in short order under new head man Marc Trestman. The bad news is that the Giants were still inept last week against the poor defense of the Philadelphia Eagles. Is there any chance New York can get off the schneid and score their first win of the season?

 

Won-Lost Records (opponents so far)

NY Giants: 0-5 (at Dallas, Denver, at Carolina, at Kansas City, Philadelphia)

Chicago: 3-2 (Cincinnati, at Pittsburgh, Minnesota, at Detroit, New Orleans)

At first glance, the Giants have been dealing with a tough schedule. They played three road games. One of their two home games was against the best team in the league that’s absolutely on fire so far. There weren’t any gifts on the card unless Philadelphia turns out to be a gift once we have a bigger sample size. The problem is:

*Dallas and Philly have been inconsistent at best in their other games

*Carolina has mostly been a big disappointment this year

*Kansas City isn’t exactly dominating people (outside of the Giants)

When it’s all said and done, that may not have been a very tough schedule!

Chicago is a playoff contender given what we’ve seen so far. But, they’ve played three of their first five games at home…and they very easily could have lost those home games to Cincinnati and Minnesota. They can’t count on winning all the close ones this season.

 

Yards-Per Play

NY Giants: 5.5 on offense, 5.4 on defense

Chicago: 6.0 on offense, 6.0 on defense

This is interesting…because those differentials don’t suggest that the visitor is a doormat, while the host is a playoff team. The Giants actually have the better yardage differential! And, it’s a potential red flag to be sure about the Chicago defense that opponents are averaging a whopping 6.0 yards-per-play. Yes, they’ve faced some quarterbacks. Eli Manning is a good quarterback when given time to throw.

 

Turnover Differential

NY Giants: -13

Chicago: +4

Now, THAT’S the story! Manning isn’t being given time to throw, and has generally been in panic mode anyway because the team is constantly playing from behind. The Giants are 0-5 because of a turnover debacle. And, part of the reason the Bears have a winning record is due to a positive differential in this important stat. Can they count on that moving forward with Jay Cutler as their quarterback?

 

Market Performance

NY Giants: 0-5 ATS

Chicago: 1-3-1 ATS

Everybody knows that the Giants have been horrible this season…and greatly overpriced by Las Vegas. They’ve yet to cover a spread, and only really sniffed the season opener at Dallas. What’s gone underreported is that the Bears have only covered once all season! This team got a lot of media hype after some good Preseason games. Did the market react to the storybook angle of Trestman finally getting a shot at running an NFL team?

Current Line: Chicago by 7.5, total 47

The market obviously assumes that the Giants woes are going to continue. They’ve finally made a price adjustment that reflects the troubles they’ve been having this season. Did oddsmakers go too far? The keys for handicappers will be:

*Evaluating the Chicago pass rush

*Determining if the Giants have thrown in the towel

*Keeping an eye on the weather

This is why JIM HURLEY’S NETWORK is so ideally positioned to pick winners day-after-day. Thanks to our SCOUTS, SOURCES, STATHEADS, COMPUTER PROGRAMMERS, and WISE GUY CONNECTIONS, we have all the information needed to win right at our finger tips. You can purchase Thursday football (which will also include the best from Rutgers/Louisville, Arizona/USC, and SDSU/Air Force) right here at the website with your credit card. If you have any questions, call us in the office at 1-888-777-4155.

Our football previews continue tomorrow and through the weekend…

Friday: Missouri at Georgia from the early Saturday slate

Saturday: A&M and Ole Miss set for prime time

Sunday: Washington at Dallas Sunday Night in a classic rivalry renewal

Monday: Indianapolis at San Diego on MNF

Do YOU need to get off the schneid because your own picks have been losing? Hook up TODAY with JIM HURLEY’S NETWORK!

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